BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
16.05.2026 13:00
Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov
Referee: R. Gidzhenov
Levski Sofia
Match Timeline
CSKA Sofia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
J. Perea
Levski Sofia
🔄
46'
J. Perea ↔ M. Sangare
Levski Sofia
🟨
53'
Mustapha Sangaré
Levski Sofia
🟨
53'
Max Ebong
CSKA Sofia
🔄
58'
M. Ebong ↔ I. Solet
CSKA Sofia
🔄
59'
A. Piedrahita ↔ I. Pittas
CSKA Sofia
🔄
61'
C. Ohene ↔ A. Oko-Flex
Levski Sofia
🔄
61'
↔ M. Dugandzic
Levski Sofia
🟨
63'
Ioannis Pittas
CSKA Sofia
74'
Everton Bala
Levski Sofia
🔄
80'
Everton Bala ↔ M. Soula
Levski Sofia
🔄
84'
Leo Pereira ↔ A. Yordanov
CSKA Sofia
🔄
85'
R. Kirilov ↔ Rildo
Levski Sofia
🔄
85'
B. Jordao ↔ A. Lapena
CSKA Sofia
🟨
90+3'
Maicon
Levski Sofia
🟨
90+1'
Leandro Godoy
CSKA Sofia
🟨
90+1'
Petko Panayotov
CSKA Sofia

Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Levski Sofia Win 60.6%
Draw 3.6%
CSKA Sofia Win 35.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Levski Sofia1.37
CSKA Sofia1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
WWDLW
74 GF / 33 GA
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
WLDWL
47 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
18
BTTS Yes
14
20
Over 2.5
11
3.58
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 42 matches
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 34 matches
Levski Sofia Statistic CSKA Sofia
26 Wins 18
8 Draws 9
8 Losses 7
74 Goals For 47
33 Goals Against 27
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
18 BTTS Yes 14
27 Over 1.5 22
20 Over 2.5 11
12 Over 3.5 7
17 Clean Sheets 14
11 Failed To Score 8
3.58 Shots On Goal 3.29
9.03 Total Shots 11.42
3.9 Corners 4.32
36.8% Ball Possession 41.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Levski Sofia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and CSKA Sofia in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CSKA Sofia having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors CSKA Sofia.

Levski Sofia Analysis

Levski Sofia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 76 points after 33 outings. With 24 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 68:24, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Everton Bala (17 goals), M. Sangare (9 goals), M. Petkov (7 goals), with creative support from M. Soula (8 assists), R. Kirilov (5 assists), Maicon Araujo dos Santos (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 14 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

CSKA Sofia Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 62 points from 33 games, CSKA Sofia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 18 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a 46:26 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on I. Pittas (8 goals), J. Eto'o (4 goals), Mohamed Brahimi (4 goals), with creative support from J. Eto'o (10 assists), Pastor (4 assists), I. Pittas (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Levski Sofia won 5 times, CSKA Sofia won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Levski Sofia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1 / CSKA Sofia 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Levski Sofia wins 5, draws 6, CSKA Sofia wins 4

Standings

A PFG: Championship Group
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 25 6 5 71:25 46 81
D W D L W
2 36 20 7 9 54:35 19 67
D W D L L
3 36 19 10 7 61:25 36 67
W L D W L
4 36 18 9 9 47:30 17 63
L L D W W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)