BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
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Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.3%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Levski Sofia Win 61.3%
Draw 8.7%
CSKA 1948 Win 30%
Expected Goals (xG)
Levski Sofia1.73
CSKA 19481.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
WWDLW
50 GF / 15 GA
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
WLDWL
40 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.17
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
9
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
15
1.09
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 23 matches
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 24 matches
Levski Sofia Statistic CSKA 1948
15 Wins 11
6 Draws 6
2 Losses 7
50 Goals For 40
15 Goals Against 26
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
0.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
9 BTTS Yes 15
17 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 6
13 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 5
1.09 Shots On Goal 1
4.27 Total Shots 4.88
1.36 Corners 2
19% Ball Possession 16.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward CSKA 1948. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. CSKA 1948 carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 16 points while Levski Sofia sit 3 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Levski Sofia Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 15 points from 5 games, Levski Sofia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:2, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

CSKA 1948 Analysis

CSKA 1948 approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 16 points after 7 outings. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 15:7 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Levski Sofia won 7 times, CSKA 1948 won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:10 from Levski Sofia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
Predicted formations: Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1 / CSKA 1948 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Levski Sofia wins 7, draws 5, CSKA 1948 wins 3