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SPAIN › LA LIGA
12.10.2026 19:00
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Referee: Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
Levante
Match Timeline
Sevilla
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
Robbie Ure
Sevilla
🟨
39'
Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla
Levante
🟨
48'
Felix Correia
Sevilla
⚽
54'
Felix Correia · Assist: Robbie Ure
Sevilla
VAR
55'
Felix Correia
Sevilla
🔄
56'
Yanis Musuayi ↔ Petar Ratkov
Levante
🔄
56'
Víctor García ↔ Thiago Cruz Fernandez
Levante
⚽
57'
Iván Romero · Assist: Roger Brugué
Levante
🟨
63'
Andrés Castrín
Sevilla
🟨
66'
Luis García Plaza
Sevilla
🔄
68'
Miguel Sierra ↔ Alfonso González Martínez
Sevilla
🔄
68'
Robbie Ure ↔ Isaac Romero
Sevilla
🔄
68'
Oriol Rey ↔ Daniel Requena Sánchez
Levante
🔄
72'
Felix Correia ↔ Julio Diaz
Sevilla
🟨
76'
Daniel Requena Sánchez
Levante
🟨
84'
Alfonso González Martínez
Sevilla
🔄
88'
Giorgi Kochorashvili ↔ Jon Guridi
Sevilla
🔄
90'
Jeremy Toljan ↔ Nacho Pérez Gómez
Levante
🔄
90'
Jon Ander Olasagasti ↔ Paco Cortés
Levante
🟨
90+2'
Isaac Romero
Sevilla
⚽
90+2'
Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla
Levante
⚽
90+5'
Isaac Romero · Assist: Youssouf Fofana
Sevilla
🟨
90+6'
Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez
Sevilla
🟥
90+6'
Isaac Romero
Sevilla
⚽
90+10'
Ifeanyi Ndukwe
Levante

Levante vs Sevilla Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Levante Win 36.3%
Draw 12%
Sevilla Win 51.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Levante1.3
Sevilla1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Levante Levante
L L D W D
8 GF / 9 GA
Sevilla Sevilla
L L W W D
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
7
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
8
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Levante Levante 12 matches
Sevilla Sevilla 15 matches
Levante Statistic Sevilla
5 Wins 8
2 Draws 2
5 Losses 5
17 Goals For 18
18 Goals Against 17
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
7 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 2
3.67 Shots On Goal 4.14
10.67 Total Shots 11
3 Corners 3.29
40% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Sevilla's more proactive style and Levante's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sevilla. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Sevilla carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 13 points while Levante sit 17 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Levante expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Sevilla in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sevilla having the stronger overall control.

Levante Analysis

Levante sit 17 with 5 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 8:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Brugui (3 goals), Iván Romero (2 goals), Jon Ander Olasagasti (1 goals), with creative support from Jon Ander Olasagasti (1 assists), E. Bardeli (1 assists), J. Toljan (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sevilla Analysis

Sevilla come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 13 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Sierra (2 goals), Juan Iglesias (1 goals), Y. Fofana (1 goals), with creative support from R. Ure (1 assists), Félix Correia (1 assists), G. Kochorashvili (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Levante won 3 times, Sevilla won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:31 from Levante's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: Levante 4-1-4-1 / Sevilla 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Levante 3, Sevilla 4
H2H summary: Levante wins 3, draws 3, Sevilla wins 9

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 9 0 0 39:9 30 27
W W W W W
2 9 7 1 1 19:8 11 22
W W W W W
3 9 7 0 2 23:9 14 21
W W L W W
4 9 6 1 2 16:14 2 19
L W D W W
5 9 5 1 3 17:17 0 16
W W W L W
6 9 4 2 3 14:16 -2 14
L D L W W
7 9 3 2 4 13:10 3 11
L L D L L
8 9 2 5 2 10:7 3 11
W D W D D
9 9 2 5 2 13:12 1 11
D L D L D
10 9 3 2 4 10:18 -8 11
W L D L L
11 9 2 4 3 15:17 -2 10
W D D L L
12 9 2 3 4 13:13 0 9
D L W W L
13 8 2 3 3 8:9 -1 9
L D D D
14 8 2 3 3 12:17 -5 9
D D W L
15 9 2 3 4 5:11 -6 9
D L W L D
16 9 2 2 5 11:12 -1 8
L D L L W
17 9 2 2 5 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
18 9 1 4 4 11:17 -6 7
D D W L D
19 9 1 3 5 6:15 -9 6
D D L W L
20 9 0 4 5 6:18 -12 4
L D L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2