SPAIN LA LIGA
23.04.2026 17:00
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Referee: J. Sanchez
Levante
Match Timeline
Sevilla
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Oriol Rey
Levante
🟨
-5'
Isaac Romero
Sevilla
VAR
5'
Iván Romero
Levante
🟨
10'
Akor Adams
Sevilla
38'
I. Romero · Assist: J. A. Olasagasti
Levante
🔄
42'
K. Tunde ↔ V. Garcia
Levante
🟨
59'
Ugo Raghouber
Levante
🟨
60'
Lucien Agoumé
Sevilla
🔄
63'
J. A. Olasagasti ↔ K. Arriaga
Levante
🔄
63'
U. Raghouber ↔ C. Alvarez
Levante
🔄
65'
M. Bueno ↔ D. Sow
Sevilla
🔄
65'
J. Sanchez ↔ J. A. Carmona
Sevilla
🔄
71'
I. Romero ↔ A. Sanchez
Sevilla
🔄
72'
N. Gudelj ↔ Peque
Sevilla
🟨
77'
Djibril Sow
Sevilla
VAR
81'
Oso
Sevilla
🔄
84'
R. Vargas ↔ C. Ejuke
Sevilla
🔄
85'
C. Espi ↔ K. Etta Eyong
Levante
🟨
90+1'
Iván Romero
Levante
90'
I. Romero · Assist: K. Arriaga
Levante

Levante vs Sevilla Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 80.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
80.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Levante Win 59.7%
Draw 0%
Sevilla Win 40.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Levante1.34
Sevilla1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Levante Levante
WWDLW
40 GF / 54 GA
Sevilla Sevilla
WLDWL
45 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
16
BTTS Yes
21
14
Over 2.5
20
3.53
Shots on Goal
3.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Levante Levante 34 matches
Sevilla Sevilla 34 matches
Levante Statistic Sevilla
9 Wins 11
8 Draws 7
17 Losses 16
40 Goals For 45
54 Goals Against 54
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
16 BTTS Yes 21
28 Over 1.5 28
14 Over 2.5 20
9 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 5
12 Failed To Score 8
3.53 Shots On Goal 3.53
11.71 Total Shots 10.85
3.91 Corners 4.94
41.3% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Sevilla. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Levante expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Sevilla in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sevilla having the stronger overall control. Sevilla arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Levante Analysis

With 29 points from 31 games and a place of 19, Levante still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 34:50, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Espi (8 goals), I. Romero (5 goals), Adrián de la Fuente (3 goals), with creative support from J. Toljan (3 assists), J. A. Olasagasti (2 assists), Manuel Sánchez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with R. Brugue, U. Elgezabal unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Sevilla Analysis

With 34 points from 31 games and a place of 16, Sevilla still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 39:51, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Adams (8 goals), D. Sow (5 goals), I. Romero (4 goals), with creative support from R. Vargas (5 assists), A. Adams (3 assists), José Ángel Carmona (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with C. Azpilicueta unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Levante won 3 times, Sevilla won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:31 from Levante's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Levante 4-1-4-1 / Sevilla 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Levante 2, Sevilla 4
H2H summary: Levante wins 3, draws 3, Sevilla wins 9

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2