COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
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Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 80%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
80%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Leones FC Win 20%
Draw 39.1%
Real Soacha Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leones FC0.85
Real Soacha1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leones FC Leones FC
WWDLW
10 GF / 25 GA
Real Soacha Real Soacha
WLDWL
15 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.59
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
6
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leones FC Leones FC 17 matches
Real Soacha Real Soacha 17 matches
Leones FC Statistic Real Soacha
3 Wins 2
5 Draws 8
9 Losses 7
10 Goals For 15
25 Goals Against 21
0.59 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
6 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 3
9 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Soacha. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Soacha having the stronger overall control. Leones FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Leones FC Analysis

Leones FC sit 14 with 10 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 8:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Soacha Analysis

Real Soacha sit 13 with 13 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, while the 14:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Leones FC won 4 times, Real Soacha won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:13 from Leones FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (80%)
H2H summary: Leones FC wins 4, draws 0, Real Soacha wins 3
Last matches: Leones FC
03.08.26
Pri
Leones FC
Quindio
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pri
Leones FC
Tigres FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Leones FC
Orsomarso
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Santander
1
0
W
01.04.26
Pri
Leones FC
Patriotas
0
1
L
25.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Barranquilla
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Popayan
1
2
L
11.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Envigado
0
3
L
03.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Depor FC
0
0
D
27.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
3
2
W
14.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Union Magdalena
1
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Soacha
0
2
L
05.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Quindio
0
3
L
26.01.26
Pri
Leones FC
Tigres FC
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pri
Leones FC
Depor FC
1
0
W
11.10.25
Pri
Leones FC
Jaguares
0
4
L
Last matches: Real Soacha
02.08.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
27.07.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Envigado
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Tigres FC
0
2
L
01.04.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Bogota FC
2
2
D
25.03.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Depor FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Barranquilla
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Quindio
0
0
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Patriotas
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Orsomarso
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Real Santander
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Leones FC
2
0
W
05.02.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Popayan
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
26.01.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Envigado
0
2
L
02.12.25
Pri
Real Soacha
Cucuta
1
2
L
28.11.25
Pri
Real Soacha
Cucuta
1
0
W
23.11.25
Pri
Real Soacha
Patriotas
3
0
W
H2H: Leones FC vs Real Soacha
08.02.26
H2H
Real Soacha
Leones FC
2
0
L
30.08.25
H2H
Real Soacha
Leones FC
3
0
L
25.03.25
H2H
Leones FC
Real Soacha
3
1
W
16.10.24
H2H
Leones FC
Real Soacha
1
0
W
05.05.24
H2H
Real Soacha
Leones FC
4
2
L
04.10.23
H2H
Leones FC
Real Soacha
3
2
W
06.09.23
H2H
Real Soacha
Leones FC
1
2
W
Last matches: Leones FC
03.08.26
Pri
Leones FC
Quindio
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Santander
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
11.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Envigado
0
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Union Magdalena
1
3
L
05.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
1
1
D
26.01.26
Pri
Leones FC
Tigres FC
0
0
D
18.10.25
Pri
Leones FC
Depor FC
1
0
W
28.09.25
Pri
Leones FC
Huila
1
2
L
20.09.25
Pri
Leones FC
Patriotas
0
1
L
05.09.25
Pri
Leones FC
Jaguares
0
1
L
25.08.25
Pri
Leones FC
Real Santander
1
1
D
11.08.25
Pri
Leones FC
Tigres FC
1
1
D
04.08.25
Pri
Leones FC
Barranquilla
2
2
D
19.07.25
Pri
Leones FC
Orsomarso
0
1
L
17.05.25
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
3
0
W
05.05.25
Pri
Leones FC
Jaguares
1
3
L
26.04.25
Pri
Leones FC
Cucuta
0
1
L
06.04.25
Pri
Leones FC
Quindio
4
1
W
H2H at home: Leones FC
25.03.25
H2H
Leones FC
Real Soacha
3
1
W
16.10.24
H2H
Leones FC
Real Soacha
1
0
W
04.10.23
H2H
Leones FC
Real Soacha
3
2
W
Last matches: Real Soacha
27.07.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Envigado
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
01.04.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Bogota FC
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Quindio
0
0
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Patriotas
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Real Santander
1
2
L
05.02.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Popayan
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Real Soacha
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
02.12.25
Pri
Real Soacha
Cucuta
1
2
L
23.11.25
Pri
Real Soacha
Patriotas
3
0
W
12.11.25
Pri
Real Soacha
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
07.11.25
Pri
Real Soacha
Popayan
1
0
W
21.10.25
Pri
Real Soacha
Huila
0
2
L
12.10.25
Pri
Real Soacha
Bogota FC
3
0
W
01.10.25
Pri
Real Soacha
Barranquilla
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pri
Real Soacha
Tigres FC
2
0
W
22.08.25
Pri
Real Soacha
Popayan
1
0
W
19.08.25
Pri
Real Soacha
Depor FC
3
2
W
05.08.25
Pri
Real Soacha
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
H2H away: Real Soacha
25.03.25
H2H
Leones FC
Real Soacha
3
1
L
16.10.24
H2H
Leones FC
Real Soacha
1
0
L
04.10.23
H2H
Leones FC
Real Soacha
3
2
L