COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
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Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 80%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.45
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
80%
1.40
BTTS No
60.3%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.45
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.09
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 0-1
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Leones FC Win 20%
Draw 39.1%
Real Cundinamarca Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leones FC0.85
Real Cundinamarca1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leones FC Leones FC
WWDLW
11 GF / 25 GA
Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca
WLDWL
18 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.61
Average Goals Scored
1
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
6
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leones FC Leones FC 18 matches
Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca 18 matches
Leones FC Statistic Real Cundinamarca
4 Wins 3
5 Draws 8
9 Losses 7
11 Goals For 18
25 Goals Against 22
0.61 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
6 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 3
9 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Soacha. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Soacha having the stronger overall control. Leones FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Leones FC Analysis

Leones FC sit 14 with 10 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 8:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Cundinamarca Analysis

Real Soacha sit 13 with 13 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, while the 14:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Leones FC won 4 times, Real Cundinamarca won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:13 from Leones FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (80%)
H2H summary: Leones FC wins 4, draws 0, Real Cundinamarca wins 3
Last matches: Leones FC
06.08.26
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
1
0
W
03.08.26
Pri
Leones FC
Quindio
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pri
Leones FC
Tigres FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Leones FC
Orsomarso
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Santander
1
0
W
01.04.26
Pri
Leones FC
Patriotas
0
1
L
25.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Barranquilla
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Popayan
1
2
L
11.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Envigado
0
3
L
03.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Depor FC
0
0
D
27.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
3
2
W
14.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Union Magdalena
1
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Cundinamarca
0
2
L
05.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Quindio
0
3
L
26.01.26
Pri
Leones FC
Tigres FC
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pri
Leones FC
Depor FC
1
0
W
Last matches: Real Cundinamarca
06.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
3
1
W
02.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
27.07.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Tigres FC
0
2
L
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Bogota FC
2
2
D
25.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Depor FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Barranquilla
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Quindio
0
0
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
2
0
W
05.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
26.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
2
L
02.12.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
2
L
28.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
0
W
H2H: Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca
08.02.26
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
2
0
L
30.08.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
3
0
L
25.03.25
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cundinamarca
3
1
W
16.10.24
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cundinamarca
1
0
W
05.05.24
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
4
2
L
04.10.23
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cundinamarca
3
2
W
06.09.23
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
1
2
W
Last matches: Leones FC
03.08.26
Pri
Leones FC
Quindio
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Santander
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
11.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Envigado
0
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Union Magdalena
1
3
L
05.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
1
1
D
26.01.26
Pri
Leones FC
Tigres FC
0
0
D
18.10.25
Pri
Leones FC
Depor FC
1
0
W
28.09.25
Pri
Leones FC
Huila
1
2
L
20.09.25
Pri
Leones FC
Patriotas
0
1
L
05.09.25
Pri
Leones FC
Jaguares
0
1
L
25.08.25
Pri
Leones FC
Real Santander
1
1
D
11.08.25
Pri
Leones FC
Tigres FC
1
1
D
04.08.25
Pri
Leones FC
Barranquilla
2
2
D
19.07.25
Pri
Leones FC
Orsomarso
0
1
L
17.05.25
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
3
0
W
05.05.25
Pri
Leones FC
Jaguares
1
3
L
26.04.25
Pri
Leones FC
Cucuta
0
1
L
06.04.25
Pri
Leones FC
Quindio
4
1
W
H2H at home: Leones FC
25.03.25
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cundinamarca
3
1
W
16.10.24
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cundinamarca
1
0
W
04.10.23
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cundinamarca
3
2
W
Last matches: Real Cundinamarca
27.07.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Bogota FC
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Quindio
0
0
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
1
2
L
05.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
02.12.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
2
L
23.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
3
0
W
12.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
07.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
W
21.10.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Huila
0
2
L
12.10.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Bogota FC
3
0
W
01.10.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Barranquilla
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Tigres FC
2
0
W
22.08.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
W
19.08.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Depor FC
3
2
W
05.08.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
H2H away: Real Cundinamarca
25.03.25
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cundinamarca
3
1
L
16.10.24
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cundinamarca
1
0
L
04.10.23
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cundinamarca
3
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.85
Home 2.93
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.33
Over 1.5 1.51
Over 1.75 1.67
Over 2.0 1.97
Over 2.25 2.31
Over 2.5 2.63
Over 2.75 3.19
Under 1.25 3.13
Under 1.5 2.47
Under 1.75 2.17
Under 2.0 1.84
Under 2.25 1.59
Under 2.5 1.45
Under 2.75 1.32
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.55
Draw 3.00
Home 2.88
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 1.91
Home 3.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.50
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.47
Draw 2.90
Home 2.77
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.26
Draw 1.87
Home 3.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.89
Draw 2.14
Home 3.28
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 0.75 1.08
Over 1.0 1.11
Over 1.25 1.32
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 1.75 1.64
Over 2.0 1.84
Over 2.25 2.14
Over 2.5 2.43
Over 2.75 2.92
Over 3.0 3.96
Over 3.25 4.36
Over 3.5 4.75
Over 3.75 6.04
Over 4.0 8.70
Over 4.5 9.30
Over 5.5 29.00
Under 0.5 6.15
Under 0.75 5.55
Under 1.0 4.90
Under 1.25 3.10
Under 1.5 2.41
Under 1.75 2.11
Under 2.0 1.78
Under 2.25 1.57
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 2.75 1.31
Under 3.0 1.17
Under 3.25 1.14
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 3.75 1.06
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.00
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.55
Draw 2.85
Home 2.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 1.94
Home 3.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.45
Over 2.5 2.38
Under 1.5 2.43
Under 2.5 1.46

Standings

Primera B: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 2 1 0 5:1 4 7
W D W
2 3 2 1 0 3:1 2 7
W D W
3 3 1 1 1 6:4 2 4
L D W
4 2 1 1 0 5:3 2 4
D W
5 3 1 1 1 4:3 1 4
W D L
6 2 1 1 0 1:0 1 4
D W
7 3 1 1 1 3:3 0 4
L D W
8 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
W D L
9 3 1 1 1 1:1 0 4
L D W
10 3 1 1 1 2:3 -1 4
L D W
11 3 0 2 1 2:3 -1 2
D D L
12 3 0 2 1 4:6 -2 2
D D L
13 3 0 2 1 2:4 -2 2
D D L
14 3 0 2 1 5:9 -4 2
D D L
15 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
16 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
D L
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)