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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
24.08.2026 22:00
Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui
Leones FC
Match Timeline
Real Cartagena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
C. Rodriguez Cespedes
Leones FC
⚽
19'
E. Lopez
Real Cartagena
🟨
22'
J. Renteria
Leones FC
🟨
24'
O. Segura
Leones FC
🟨
29'
J. Rodriguez
Real Cartagena
⚽
36'
J. Aleman
Real Cartagena
⚽
38'
F. Montero
Real Cartagena
🟨
42'
R. Lora
Real Cartagena
⚽
45'
J. Barrera
Real Cartagena
🔄
46'
A. Ceballos ↔ J. F. Hincapie Ossa
Leones FC
🔄
46'
J. Martinez ↔ D. Moreno
Leones FC
🔄
46'
C. Graciano ↔ A. Melendez
Real Cartagena
🟨
50'
J. Aleman
Real Cartagena
⚽
60'
F. Montero
Real Cartagena
🔄
61'
J. Rodriguez ↔ A. Escobar
Real Cartagena
🔄
61'
E. Lopez ↔ D. Pino
Real Cartagena
🔄
64'
O. Segura ↔ K. Penaloza
Leones FC
🔄
64'
C. Rodriguez Cespedes ↔ L. Pacheco
Leones FC
🔄
70'
J. Barrera ↔ J. P. Gallego
Real Cartagena
🔄
70'
J. Aleman ↔ M. Manotas
Real Cartagena
🔄
76'
M. Arboleda ↔ J. Restrepo
Leones FC
⚽
89'
M. Manotas
Real Cartagena

Leones FC vs Real Cartagena Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Leones FC Win 19%
Draw 20.6%
Real Cartagena Win 60.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leones FC0.81
Real Cartagena1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leones FC Leones FC
WWDLW
12 GF / 26 GA
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
WLDWL
42 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
7
BTTS Yes
16
7
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leones FC Leones FC 19 matches
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena 27 matches
Leones FC Statistic Real Cartagena
4 Wins 13
6 Draws 8
9 Losses 6
12 Goals For 42
26 Goals Against 29
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
7 BTTS Yes 16
12 Over 1.5 21
7 Over 2.5 13
2 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Real Cartagena's more proactive style and Leones FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Real Cartagena carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 44 points while Leones FC sit 14 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Cartagena having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Real Cartagena.

Leones FC Analysis

Leones FC sit 14 with 17 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 11:25, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Cartagena Analysis

Real Cartagena come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 44 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, while the 40:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leones FC won 6 times, Real Cartagena won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Leones FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (81%)
H2H summary: Leones FC wins 6, draws 4, Real Cartagena wins 5

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 17 9 7 41:29 12 60
D L W W W
2 35 15 12 8 47:32 15 57
D D D W D
3 33 16 9 8 34:25 9 57
L W W L L
4 35 15 11 9 55:41 14 56
D L D D L
5 33 15 9 9 47:33 14 54
D D W D W
6 33 12 10 11 33:27 6 46
D W D W D
7 27 11 10 6 29:21 8 43
D W W L W
8 33 9 12 12 28:35 -7 39
D D L W D
9 33 10 8 15 41:44 -3 38
W D L L L
10 27 9 9 9 33:30 3 36
L W W W W
11 27 9 8 10 30:34 -4 35
D L L L W
12 27 7 10 10 33:35 -2 31
L D W W W
13 27 7 9 11 21:28 -7 30
W L D L D
14 27 5 9 13 27:42 -15 24
D L L L W
15 27 4 10 13 23:41 -18 22
W L D D L
16 27 4 9 14 18:43 -25 21
D D L L D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)