COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
19.09.2026 20:30
Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui
Leones FC
Match Timeline
Popayan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
28'
H. Mosquera
Popayan
🟨
38'
Popayan
Popayan
57'
J. Aponza
Popayan
🟨
59'
M. Arboleda
Leones FC
🔄
60'
M. Arboleda ↔ N. Restrepo
Leones FC
🔄
60'
I. Lopez Posada ↔ J. Echeverry
Leones FC
🔄
60'
T. Soto ↔ J. Castano
Leones FC
🔄
70'
J. Bonilla ↔ J. Montoya
Leones FC
🟨
75'
D. Cortes
Popayan
🔄
80'
L. Perez ↔ S. Hoyos
Popayan
🔄
80'
D. Cortes ↔ J. Salcedo
Popayan
88'
C. Rodriguez Cespedes
Leones FC

Leones FC vs Popayan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 35.3%
Odds 3.14
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.84
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.16
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
35.3%
3.14
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.84
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.16
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.30
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
4.75
Correct Score 2-2
-
19.00
Probability Distribution
Leones FC Win 29.5%
Draw 35.3%
Popayan Win 35.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leones FC0.89
Popayan1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leones FC Leones FC
WWDLW
14 GF / 37 GA
Popayan Popayan
WLDWL
23 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.61
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
9
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leones FC Leones FC 23 matches
Popayan Popayan 22 matches
Leones FC Statistic Popayan
4 Wins 4
7 Draws 9
12 Losses 9
14 Goals For 23
37 Goals Against 29
0.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
9 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 17
9 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 5
11 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Popayan. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Popayan having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Leones FC Analysis

Leones FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 18 points from 22 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 13:36, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Popayan Analysis

Popayan approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 18 points from 21 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 21:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leones FC won 4 times, Popayan won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:21 from Leones FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (70.5%)
H2H summary: Leones FC wins 4, draws 7, Popayan wins 4

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 15 8 8 50:35 15 53
L W L W W
2 29 15 8 6 38:27 11 53
W L L L W
3 29 14 9 6 30:18 12 51
L D D W W
4 30 14 8 8 40:28 12 50
D D L L L
5 29 14 6 9 40:28 12 48
W L L W L
6 29 10 8 11 27:25 2 38
D W L W W
7 23 9 9 5 23:16 7 36
W D W W L
8 24 9 7 8 29:29 0 34
L W W W L
9 29 9 7 13 35:39 -4 34
L L W W L
10 29 8 10 11 23:30 -7 34
D L L W L
11 23 6 9 8 27:27 0 27
W W W L D
12 22 6 7 9 17:23 -6 25
L L L W D
13 23 5 8 10 24:32 -8 23
W W W W L
14 22 4 9 9 23:29 -6 21
W D L L L
15 23 4 7 12 14:37 -23 19
D L L L D
16 23 3 8 12 20:37 -17 17
L D W W D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)