Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
32.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
88.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Leones del Norte
Macara
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leones del Norte
15 matches
Macara
17 matches
| Leones del Norte | Statistic | Macara |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 14 | Goals For | 16 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.94 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 2.87 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 9.07 | Total Shots | 12.93 |
| 3.47 | Corners | 5.13 |
| 43.1% | Ball Possession | 50.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Macara. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leones del Norte expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Macara in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Macara having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Leones del Norte sit 14 with 16 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 14:17 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Anangono (4 goals), E. Griffa (3 goals), E. Pepinos (2 goals), with creative support from Jonathan Arroyo (2 assists), E. Pepinos (1 assists), Caicedo Nestor (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Macara approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 19 points from 15 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 14:17, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Franco Posse (4 goals), F. Paz (3 goals), M. Tello (2 goals), with creative support from F. Paz (2 assists), J. Klinger (2 assists), Franco Posse (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Leones del Norte won 0 times, Macara won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Leones del Norte's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
Leones del Norte
3
2
5
4
4
1
Lineups
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Macara
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
LDU de Quito
Macara
Emelec
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Manta FC
Macara
Orense SC
Macara
Libertad
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Barcelona SC
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Aucas
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Delfin SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
LDU de Quito
Macara
Leones del Norte
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
FBC Melgar
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Emelec
Macara
Manta FC
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
LDU de Quito
Macara
FBC Melgar
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 30 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 19:14 | 5 | 28 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 27 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
Macara
Away
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 26 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 19:19 | 0 | 23 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Leones del Norte
Home
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 23 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | -5 | 22 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 21 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 18 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 10:18 | -8 | 17 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 7:23 | -16 | 13 |
D
L
W
L
D
|