Leon vs Toluca H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsLeon vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
53.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Leon
Toluca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leon
16 matches
Toluca
22 matches
| Leon | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 10 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 5 | Losses | 7 |
| 30 | Goals For | 49 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.23 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.42 | Shots On Goal | 6.26 |
| 13.5 | Total Shots | 17.42 |
| 4.25 | Corners | 5.63 |
| 50.3% | Ball Possession | 58.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leon expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Toluca in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Toluca having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Toluca. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Leon arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 18 points after 11 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 15:12 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Cambindo (3 goals), D. Arcila (3 goals), J. Alvarado (2 goals), with creative support from D. Cambindo (1 assists), J. Alvarado (1 assists), J. Romaña (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Toluca come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 20 points from 11 matches. The record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 25:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Vega (4 goals), Paulinho (3 goals), F. Viñas (3 goals), with creative support from Helinho (4 assists), A. Vega (2 assists), N. Castro (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Leon won 3 times, Toluca won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:27 from Leon's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.64 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27:14 | 13 | 24 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Away
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 21 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 21 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 20 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 |
Leon
Home
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 18 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 17 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 16 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 16 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 14 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 13 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 13 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 9 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8:31 | -23 | 4 |
L
D
L
W
L
|