Leon vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Leon Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leon1.58
Toluca1.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leon
WWDLW
24 GF / 18 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
42 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
2.33
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
8
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
13
5.78
Shots on Goal
6.44
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leon
13 matches
Toluca
18 matches
| Leon | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 10 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 24 | Goals For | 42 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.33 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.78 | Shots On Goal | 6.44 |
| 14.56 | Total Shots | 18.19 |
| 4.11 | Corners | 5.06 |
| 49.4% | Ball Possession | 58.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Leon won 3 times, Toluca won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:27 from Leon's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.64 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Leon 4-1-4-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leon wins 3, draws 7, Toluca wins 4
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toluca
Away
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:9 | 11 | 19 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 18 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 17 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Leon
Home
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 13 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 12 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 9 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:23 | -17 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)