Leon vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Leon Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leon1.63
Toluca1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leon
WWDLW
27 GF / 20 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
48 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
2.29
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
10
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
16
5.27
Shots on Goal
6.56
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leon
15 matches
Toluca
21 matches
| Leon | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 10 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 7 |
| 27 | Goals For | 48 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.29 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.27 | Shots On Goal | 6.56 |
| 13.55 | Total Shots | 18.11 |
| 4 | Corners | 5.11 |
| 49.9% | Ball Possession | 59% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Leon won 3 times, Toluca won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:27 from Leon's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.64 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Leon 4-1-4-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leon wins 3, draws 7, Toluca wins 4
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 21 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Away
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 20 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Leon
Home
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 18 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22:21 | 1 | 17 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 13 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:17 | -5 | 11 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 9 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8:26 | -18 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)