Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
68.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Leon Win 70.6%
Draw 4.8%
Necaxa Win 24.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leon2.8
Necaxa2.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leon
WWDLW
12 GF / 8 GA
Necaxa
WLDWL
9 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
4
Average Goals Scored
2.25
2.67
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leon
3 matches
Necaxa
4 matches
| Leon | Statistic | Necaxa |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 0 |
| 12 | Goals For | 9 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 4 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.25 |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leon won 9 times, Necaxa won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:17 from Leon's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Leon 4-1-4-1 / Necaxa 3-4-3
H2H summary: Leon wins 9, draws 2, Necaxa wins 4
Last matches: Leon
03.07.26
Fri
Leon
Tapatío
4
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Leon
Mineros de Zacatecas
7
4
W
26.04.26
Lig
Leon
Toluca
1
4
L
22.04.26
Lig
Leon
Club America
2
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Leon
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
19.03.26
Lig
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
0
5
L
15.03.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Leon
Mazatlán
2
4
L
01.03.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Leon
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Leon
Club Queretaro
0
2
L
01.02.26
Lig
Leon
Tigres UANL
1
2
L
18.01.26
Lig
Leon
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
14.01.26
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Leon
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
03.01.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
1
2
L
Last matches: Necaxa
04.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Atlas
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Correcaminos Uat
6
3
W
20.06.26
Fri
Necaxa
Monarcas
1
0
W
27.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Cruz Azul
1
4
L
23.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Queretaro
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Mazatlán
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Tijuana
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Puebla
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
04.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Leon
1
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
Toluca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
FC Juarez
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
Atletico San Luis
4
1
W
31.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club America
0
2
L
17.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Atlas
0
1
L
14.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Monterrey
0
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
H2H: Leon vs Necaxa
01.03.26
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
03.01.26
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
1
2
L
16.08.25
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
0
1
W
15.03.25
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
2
1
L
22.07.24
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
1
1
D
01.04.24
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
1
2
W
02.09.23
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
1
1
D
17.01.23
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
03.09.22
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
3
2
L
26.02.22
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
0
1
W
06.11.21
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
3
0
W
03.07.21
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
0
3
L
16.03.21
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
3
1
W
05.09.20
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
0
2
W
22.02.20
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
Last matches: Leon
03.07.26
Fri
Leon
Tapatío
4
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Leon
Mineros de Zacatecas
7
4
W
22.04.26
Lig
Leon
Club America
2
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Leon
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Leon
Tigres UANL
1
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Leon
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
03.01.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
2
L
26.10.25
Lig
Leon
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
05.10.25
Lig
Leon
Toluca
2
4
L
24.09.25
Lig
Leon
Mazatlán
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Leon
Club Queretaro
3
0
W
23.08.25
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.08.25
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
1
3
L
20.07.25
Lig
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
W
14.07.25
Lig
Leon
Atletico San Luis
0
1
L
H2H at home: Leon
01.03.26
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
03.01.26
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
1
2
L
22.07.24
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
1
1
D
02.09.23
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
1
1
D
17.01.23
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
06.11.21
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
3
0
W
03.07.21
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
0
3
L
16.03.21
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.02.20
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
Last matches: Necaxa
04.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Atlas
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Correcaminos Uat
6
3
W
27.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Cruz Azul
1
4
L
11.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Queretaro
1
3
L
14.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Puebla
0
0
D
04.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Leon
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
FC Juarez
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club America
0
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
03.01.26
Fri
Necaxa
Leon
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Necaxa
Mazatlán
1
1
D
27.10.25
Lig
Necaxa
Atletico San Luis
4
3
W
18.10.25
Lig
Necaxa
Tigres UANL
3
5
L
27.09.25
Lig
Necaxa
Atlas
2
3
L
24.09.25
Lig
Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas
1
3
L
01.09.25
Lig
Necaxa
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
24.08.25
Lig
Necaxa
Monterrey
0
3
L
11.08.25
Lig
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
13.07.25
Lig
Necaxa
Toluca
1
3
L
H2H away: Necaxa
01.03.26
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
L
03.01.26
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
1
2
W
22.07.24
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
1
1
D
02.09.23
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
1
1
D
17.01.23
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
L
06.11.21
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
3
0
L
03.07.21
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
0
3
W
16.03.21
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
3
1
L
22.02.20
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
L