MEXICO LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Leon
Referee: J. Valle
Leon
Match Timeline
Atlas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
Duk
Atlas
27'
D. Cambindo
Leon
🟥
42'
D. Cambindo
Leon
🔄
46'
J. Rodriguez ↔ M. Valenzuela
Atlas
50'
A. Gonzalez · Assist: Gustavo Ferrareis
Atlas
🔄
55'
S. Santos ↔ J. Cortizo
Leon
🔄
56'
D. Arcila ↔ E. Guerra
Leon
🔄
56'
I. Diaz ↔ A. Alvarado
Leon
🔄
58'
A. Gonzalez ↔ L. Esteves
Atlas
🔄
64'
E. Zaldivar ↔ V. H. Rios De Alba
Atlas
🟨
73'
R. Echeverria
Leon
73'
A. Rocha
Atlas
🔄
74'
R. Echeverria ↔ L. Valadez
Leon
77'
J. Cortizo · Assist: A. Alvarado
Leon
🔄
82'
I. Moreno ↔ F. Beltran Cruz
Leon
🟨
84'
M. Capasso
Atlas
🟨
85'
A. Rocha
Atlas
🔄
89'
Duk ↔ J. Lozano
Atlas
🟨
90+9'
A. Alvarado
Leon

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Leon Win 65.1%
Draw 4.4%
Atlas Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leon2.33
Atlas1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leon Leon
WWDLW
12 GF / 8 GA
Atlas Atlas
WLDWL
4 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
0.67
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leon Leon 4 matches
Atlas Atlas 6 matches
Leon Statistic Atlas
2 Wins 0
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 4
12 Goals For 4
8 Goals Against 8
3 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
3 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leon won 8 times, Atlas won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:17 from Leon's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Leon 4-1-4-1 / Atlas 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leon wins 8, draws 3, Atlas wins 4
Stats
Leon Leon
Atlas Atlas
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 2
15 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 4
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Goal 7
6 Shots off Goal 1
2 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 5
9 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 6
351 Total passes 427
283 Passes accurate 352
1.23 expected_goals 1.72
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Leon
Formation
Atlas
O. Garcia
O. Garcia
I. Moreno
I. Moreno
J. Guevara
J. Guevara
S. Vegas
S. Vegas
S. Reyes
S. Reyes
I. Rodriguez
I. Rodriguez
S. Santos
S. Santos
R. Echeverria
R. Echeverria
D. Arcila
D. Arcila
I. Diaz
I. Diaz
D. Cambindo
D. Cambindo
A. Sanchez
A. Sanchez
Gustavo Ferrareis
🎯
Gustavo Ferrareis
M. Capasso
M. Capasso
R. Schlegel
R. Schlegel
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
A. Rocha
A. Rocha
E. Zaldivar
E. Zaldivar
Duk
Duk
A. Gonzalez
A. Gonzalez
S. Hernandez
S. Hernandez
R. Mmaee
R. Mmaee
Leon 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
23
O. Garcia
G
7
I. Moreno
↓ 82'
D
3
J. Guevara
D
5
S. Vegas
D
26
S. Reyes
D
29
I. Rodriguez
M
22
S. Santos
↓ 55'
M
20
R. Echeverria
↓ 74' 🟨 73'
M
13
D. Arcila
↓ 56'
M
11
I. Diaz
↓ 56'
M
27
D. Cambindo
⚽ 27' 🟥 42'
F
Substitutes
1
Garcia Jordan
G
16
J. Cortizo
⚽ 77' ↑ 55'
M
18
E. Guerra
↑ 56'
M
35
L. Valadez
↑ 74'
M
185
C. Mora
4
B. Colula
D
6
F. Beltran Cruz
↑ 82'
25
P. Bellon
D
19
A. Alvarado
🎯 77' ↑ 56' 🟨 90+9'
F
33
A. Villegas
D
Atlas 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
A. Sanchez
G
2
Gustavo Ferrareis
🎯 50'
D
28
M. Capasso
🟨 84'
D
21
R. Schlegel
D
5
J. Rodriguez
↓ 46'
D
26
A. Rocha
⚽ 73' 🟨 85'
M
6
E. Zaldivar
↓ 64'
M
11
Duk
⚽ 2' ↓ 89'
M
58
A. Gonzalez
⚽ 50' ↓ 58'
M
23
S. Hernandez
M
8
R. Mmaee
F
Substitutes
181
L. Hernandez
G
16
M. Valenzuela
↑ 46'
D
4
A. Mora
D
15
P. Ramirez
D
203
J. Martin
F
13
G. Aguirre
D
17
J. Lozano
↑ 89'
D
10
L. Esteves
↑ 58'
M
27
V. H. Rios De Alba
↑ 64'
M
192
J. Serrato
M
Last matches: Leon
29.08.26
Lig
Leon
Atlante FC
1
1
D
22.08.26
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
1
0
W
18.08.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
02.08.26
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
25.07.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
0
0
D
03.07.26
Fri
Leon
Tapatío
4
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Leon
Mineros de Zacatecas
7
4
W
26.04.26
Lig
Leon
Toluca
1
4
L
22.04.26
Lig
Leon
Club America
2
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Leon
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
19.03.26
Lig
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
0
5
L
15.03.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Leon
Mazatlán
2
4
L
01.03.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Leon
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
0
1
L
Last matches: Atlas
29.08.26
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
1
3
L
23.08.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
2
0
W
16.08.26
Lig
Atlas
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
02.08.26
Lig
Atlas
Monterrey
0
2
L
26.07.26
Lig
Atlas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Puebla
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Necaxa
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Club America
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Monterrey
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Leon
0
2
L
30.03.26
Fri
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Toluca
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
1
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Club Tijuana
2
1
W
H2H: Leon vs Atlas
18.07.26
H2H
Leon
Atlas
2
3
L
05.04.26
H2H
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
23.10.25
H2H
Atlas
Leon
2
0
L
19.01.25
H2H
Atlas
Leon
1
2
W
24.10.24
H2H
Leon
Atlas
0
0
D
18.02.24
H2H
Atlas
Leon
0
1
W
25.10.23
H2H
Leon
Atlas
1
1
D
11.03.23
H2H
Atlas
Leon
0
1
W
29.08.22
H2H
Leon
Atlas
4
2
W
20.01.22
H2H
Leon
Atlas
1
1
D
13.12.21
H2H
Atlas
Leon
1
0
L
10.12.21
H2H
Leon
Atlas
3
2
W
25.09.21
H2H
Atlas
Leon
2
0
L
11.04.21
H2H
Atlas
Leon
1
3
W
01.09.20
H2H
Leon
Atlas
2
1
W
Last matches: Leon
22.08.26
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
1
0
W
02.08.26
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
0
0
D
03.07.26
Fri
Leon
Tapatío
4
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Leon
Mineros de Zacatecas
7
4
W
22.04.26
Lig
Leon
Club America
2
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Leon
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Leon
Tigres UANL
1
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Leon
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
03.01.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
2
L
26.10.25
Lig
Leon
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
05.10.25
Lig
Leon
Toluca
2
4
L
24.09.25
Lig
Leon
Mazatlán
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Leon
Club Queretaro
3
0
W
23.08.25
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
H2H at home: Leon
18.07.26
H2H
Leon
Atlas
2
3
L
05.04.26
H2H
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
24.10.24
H2H
Leon
Atlas
0
0
D
25.10.23
H2H
Leon
Atlas
1
1
D
29.08.22
H2H
Leon
Atlas
4
2
W
20.01.22
H2H
Leon
Atlas
1
1
D
10.12.21
H2H
Leon
Atlas
3
2
W
01.09.20
H2H
Leon
Atlas
2
1
W
Last matches: Atlas
23.08.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Atlas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Club America
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Leon
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Toluca
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
Atlas
FC Juarez
1
3
L
14.02.26
Lig
Atlas
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Necaxa
1
0
W
14.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
08.11.25
Lig
Atlas
Club Tijuana
0
2
L
26.10.25
Lig
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
1
4
L
18.10.25
Lig
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
0
2
L
25.09.25
Lig
Atlas
Tigres UANL
0
2
L
20.09.25
Lig
Atlas
Mazatlán
1
1
D
31.08.25
Lig
Atlas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
17.08.25
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
3
3
D
27.07.25
Lig
Atlas
Monterrey
1
3
L
12.07.25
Lig
Atlas
Puebla
3
2
W
H2H away: Atlas
18.07.26
H2H
Leon
Atlas
2
3
W
05.04.26
H2H
Leon
Atlas
2
0
L
24.10.24
H2H
Leon
Atlas
0
0
D
25.10.23
H2H
Leon
Atlas
1
1
D
29.08.22
H2H
Leon
Atlas
4
2
L
20.01.22
H2H
Leon
Atlas
1
1
D
10.12.21
H2H
Leon
Atlas
3
2
L
01.09.20
H2H
Leon
Atlas
2
1
L

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 12:2 10 16
W W W W D
2 6 4 1 1 10:7 3 13
W L W D W
3
Atlas Away
6 4 0 2 9:8 1 12
L W W L W
4 6 3 2 1 9:6 3 11
D W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
W D W L W
6 6 3 1 2 9:7 2 10
W L D W W
7
Leon Home
6 3 1 2 8:6 2 10
D W W W L
8 6 3 1 2 9:9 0 10
L W W D L
9 5 3 0 2 12:7 5 9
L W W L W
10 6 3 0 3 11:11 0 9
W L L L W
11 6 2 2 2 8:8 0 8
L D D W W
12 6 2 1 3 8:11 -3 7
L D L L W
13 6 1 3 2 6:8 -2 6
D L D W D
14 6 1 2 3 8:8 0 5
D D L L L
15 6 1 2 3 8:10 -2 5
D W L L D
16 5 0 3 2 5:9 -4 3
D L D D L
17 6 0 1 5 4:11 -7 1
D L L L L
18 5 0 0 5 3:15 -12 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)