MEXICO LIGA MX
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Leon Win 65.1%
Draw 4.4%
Atlas Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leon2.93
Atlas1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leon Leon
WWDLW
12 GF / 8 GA
Atlas Atlas
WLDWL
4 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
4
Average Goals Scored
0.67
2.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leon Leon 3 matches
Atlas Atlas 6 matches
Leon Statistic Atlas
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 2
1 Losses 4
12 Goals For 4
8 Goals Against 8
4 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
2.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
3 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Leon won 8 times, Atlas won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:14 from Leon's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Leon 4-1-4-1 / Atlas 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Leon wins 8, draws 3, Atlas wins 3
Last matches: Leon
03.07.26
Fri
Leon
Tapatío
4
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Leon
Mineros de Zacatecas
7
4
W
26.04.26
Lig
Leon
Toluca
1
4
L
22.04.26
Lig
Leon
Club America
2
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Leon
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
19.03.26
Lig
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
0
5
L
15.03.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Leon
Mazatlán
2
4
L
01.03.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Leon
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Leon
Club Queretaro
0
2
L
01.02.26
Lig
Leon
Tigres UANL
1
2
L
18.01.26
Lig
Leon
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
14.01.26
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Leon
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
03.01.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
1
2
L
Last matches: Atlas
10.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Puebla
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Necaxa
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Club America
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Monterrey
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Leon
0
2
L
30.03.26
Fri
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Toluca
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
1
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Club Tijuana
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Atlas
FC Juarez
1
3
L
21.02.26
Lig
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
3
2
W
14.02.26
Lig
Atlas
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
08.02.26
Lig
Atlas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
31.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Mazatlán
1
0
W
H2H: Leon vs Atlas
05.04.26
H2H
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
23.10.25
H2H
Atlas
Leon
2
0
L
19.01.25
H2H
Atlas
Leon
1
2
W
24.10.24
H2H
Leon
Atlas
0
0
D
18.02.24
H2H
Atlas
Leon
0
1
W
25.10.23
H2H
Leon
Atlas
1
1
D
11.03.23
H2H
Atlas
Leon
0
1
W
29.08.22
H2H
Leon
Atlas
4
2
W
20.01.22
H2H
Leon
Atlas
1
1
D
13.12.21
H2H
Atlas
Leon
1
0
L
10.12.21
H2H
Leon
Atlas
3
2
W
25.09.21
H2H
Atlas
Leon
2
0
L
11.04.21
H2H
Atlas
Leon
1
3
W
01.09.20
H2H
Leon
Atlas
2
1
W
02.05.20
H2H
Atlas
Leon
0
0
D
Last matches: Leon
03.07.26
Fri
Leon
Tapatío
4
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Leon
Mineros de Zacatecas
7
4
W
22.04.26
Lig
Leon
Club America
2
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Leon
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Leon
Tigres UANL
1
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Leon
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
03.01.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
2
L
26.10.25
Lig
Leon
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
05.10.25
Lig
Leon
Toluca
2
4
L
24.09.25
Lig
Leon
Mazatlán
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Leon
Club Queretaro
3
0
W
23.08.25
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.08.25
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
1
3
L
20.07.25
Lig
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
W
14.07.25
Lig
Leon
Atletico San Luis
0
1
L
H2H at home: Leon
05.04.26
H2H
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
24.10.24
H2H
Leon
Atlas
0
0
D
25.10.23
H2H
Leon
Atlas
1
1
D
29.08.22
H2H
Leon
Atlas
4
2
W
20.01.22
H2H
Leon
Atlas
1
1
D
10.12.21
H2H
Leon
Atlas
3
2
W
01.09.20
H2H
Leon
Atlas
2
1
W
Last matches: Atlas
10.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Club America
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Leon
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Toluca
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
Atlas
FC Juarez
1
3
L
14.02.26
Lig
Atlas
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Necaxa
1
0
W
14.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
08.11.25
Lig
Atlas
Club Tijuana
0
2
L
26.10.25
Lig
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
1
4
L
18.10.25
Lig
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
0
2
L
25.09.25
Lig
Atlas
Tigres UANL
0
2
L
20.09.25
Lig
Atlas
Mazatlán
1
1
D
31.08.25
Lig
Atlas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
17.08.25
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
3
3
D
27.07.25
Lig
Atlas
Monterrey
1
3
L
12.07.25
Lig
Atlas
Puebla
3
2
W
17.04.25
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
2
1
W
29.03.25
Lig
Atlas
Mazatlán
2
3
L
H2H away: Atlas
05.04.26
H2H
Leon
Atlas
2
0
L
24.10.24
H2H
Leon
Atlas
0
0
D
25.10.23
H2H
Leon
Atlas
1
1
D
29.08.22
H2H
Leon
Atlas
4
2
L
20.01.22
H2H
Leon
Atlas
1
1
D
10.12.21
H2H
Leon
Atlas
3
2
L
01.09.20
H2H
Leon
Atlas
2
1
L