Lens
Match Timeline
Marseille
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Lens Win 0%
Draw 0%
Marseille Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lens1.3
Marseille1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lens
WWDLW
12 GF / 7 GA
Marseille
WLDWL
27 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2.45
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
8
4.5
Shots on Goal
5.73
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lens
8 matches
Marseille
11 matches
| Lens | Statistic | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 4 |
| 12 | Goals For | 27 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.45 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 5.73 |
| 13.88 | Total Shots | 13.91 |
| 6.38 | Corners | 4.64 |
| 44.4% | Ball Possession | 57% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lens won 7 times, Marseille won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:26 from Lens's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Lens 3-4-2-1 / Marseille 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Lens wins 7, draws 1, Marseille wins 7
Stats
Lens
Marseille
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
6
6
Blocked Shots
0
0
Blocked Shots
8
8
Lineups
Lens
Formation
Marseille
R. Risser
J. Gradit
S. Baidoo
M. Sarr
R. Aguilar
M. Sangare
A. Thomasson
M. Udol
F. Thauvin
W. Said
O. Edouard
G. Rulli
B. Pavard
N. Aguerd
Emerson
T. Weah
M. O'Riley
A. Vermeeren
M. Murillo
M. Greenwood
I. Paixao
R. Vaz
Lens
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
40
R. Risser
G
24
J. Gradit
D
6
S. Baidoo
D
20
M. Sarr
D
2
R. Aguilar
M
↓ 85'
8
M. Sangare
M
🟨 88'
28
A. Thomasson
M
🟨 34'
14
M. Udol
M
10
F. Thauvin
F
↓ 81'
22
W. Said
F
↓ 69'
11
O. Edouard
F
⚽ 23'
↓ 81'
Substitutes
1
R. Gurtner
G
23
S. Abdulhamid
D
↑ 85'
25
I. Ganiou
D
3
D. Machado
D
5
A. Bulatovic
M
38
R. Fofana
F
↑ 81'
29
M. Guilavogui
F
↑ 69'
🟨 84'
19
A. Sima
F
↑ 81'
7
F. Sotoca
F
Marseille
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
G. Rulli
G
28
B. Pavard
D
⚽ 53'
↓ 61'
🟨 22'
21
N. Aguerd
D
33
Emerson
D
22
T. Weah
M
🎯 17'
↓ 52'
17
M. O'Riley
M
↓ 74'
18
A. Vermeeren
M
62
M. Murillo
M
↓ 74'
10
M. Greenwood
F
⚽ 17'
🟨 86'
14
I. Paixao
F
34
R. Vaz
F
↓ 52'
Substitutes
12
J. De Lange
G
5
L. Balerdi
D
↑ 52'
🟨 87'
4
C. Egan-Riley
D
6
U. Garcia
D
8
A. Gomes
M
↑ 74'
50
D. Bakola
M
23
P. Hojbjerg
M
↑ 74'
26
B. Nadir
M
↑ 61'
97
P. Aubameyang
F
↑ 52'
Last matches: Lens
08.08.26
Fri
Lens
Sunderland
0
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Lens
Charleroi
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Lens
Boulogne
4
1
W
22.05.26
Cou
Lens
Nice
3
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lens
Lyon
4
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
08.05.26
Lig
Lens
Nantes
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Lens
Nice
1
1
D
24.04.26
Lig
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
3
3
D
21.04.26
Cou
Lens
Toulouse
4
1
W
17.04.26
Lig
Lens
Toulouse
3
2
W
11.04.26
Fri
Lens
Rouen
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Lens
Lille
0
3
L
20.03.26
Lig
Lens
Angers
5
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
Lens
Lorient
1
2
L
08.03.26
Lig
Lens
Metz
3
0
W
05.03.26
Cou
Lens
Lyon
2
2
D
27.02.26
Lig
Lens
Strasbourg
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Lens
Monaco
2
3
L
14.02.26
Lig
Lens
Paris FC
5
0
W
Last matches: Marseille
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
H2H: Lens vs Marseille
24.01.26
H2H
Marseille
Lens
3
1
L
25.10.25
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
1
W
08.03.25
H2H
Marseille
Lens
0
1
W
23.11.24
H2H
Lens
Marseille
1
3
L
28.04.24
H2H
Marseille
Lens
2
1
L
12.11.23
H2H
Lens
Marseille
1
0
W
06.05.23
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
1
W
22.10.22
H2H
Marseille
Lens
0
1
W
22.01.22
H2H
Lens
Marseille
0
2
L
26.09.21
H2H
Marseille
Lens
2
3
W
03.02.21
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
2
D
20.01.21
H2H
Marseille
Lens
0
1
W
22.03.15
H2H
Lens
Marseille
0
4
L
02.11.14
H2H
Marseille
Lens
2
1
L
25.10.11
H2H
Marseille
Lens
4
0
L
Last matches: Lens
08.08.26
Fri
Lens
Sunderland
0
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Lens
Charleroi
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Lens
Boulogne
4
1
W
22.05.26
Cou
Lens
Nice
3
1
W
13.05.26
Lig
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
08.05.26
Lig
Lens
Nantes
1
0
W
21.04.26
Cou
Lens
Toulouse
4
1
W
17.04.26
Lig
Lens
Toulouse
3
2
W
11.04.26
Fri
Lens
Rouen
2
1
W
20.03.26
Lig
Lens
Angers
5
1
W
08.03.26
Lig
Lens
Metz
3
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Lens
Monaco
2
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
Lens
Rennes
3
1
W
30.01.26
Lig
Lens
Le Havre
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lig
Lens
Auxerre
1
0
W
19.12.25
Cou
Lens
Feignies-Aulnoye
3
1
W
14.12.25
Lig
Lens
Nice
2
0
W
22.11.25
Lig
Lens
Strasbourg
1
0
W
02.11.25
Lig
Lens
Lorient
3
0
W
19.10.25
Lig
Lens
Paris FC
2
1
W
H2H at home: Lens
25.10.25
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
1
W
23.11.24
H2H
Lens
Marseille
1
3
L
12.11.23
H2H
Lens
Marseille
1
0
W
06.05.23
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
1
W
22.01.22
H2H
Lens
Marseille
0
2
L
03.02.21
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
2
D
22.03.15
H2H
Lens
Marseille
0
4
L
Last matches: Marseille
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
31.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris FC
2
2
D
28.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Club Brugge KV
0
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Angers
5
2
W
13.01.26
Cou
Marseille
Bayeux
9
0
W
21.12.25
Cou
Marseille
Bourg-en-bresse 01
6
0
W
09.12.25
UEF
Marseille
Union St. Gilloise
3
2
W
05.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Lille
0
1
L
21.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Nice
5
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
22.10.25
UEF
Marseille
Sporting CP
1
2
L
04.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
0
W
26.09.25
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
1
W
16.09.25
UEF
Marseille
Real Madrid
1
2
L
H2H away: Marseille
25.10.25
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
1
L
23.11.24
H2H
Lens
Marseille
1
3
W
12.11.23
H2H
Lens
Marseille
1
0
L
06.05.23
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
1
L
22.01.22
H2H
Lens
Marseille
0
2
W
03.02.21
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
2
D
22.03.15
H2H
Lens
Marseille
0
4
W
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Lens
Home
|
34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Marseille
Away
|
34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation