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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
25.10.2025 19:05
Lens
FT
2 - 1
Marseille
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Referee: Stephanie Frappart, France
Lens
Match Timeline
Marseille
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
M. Greenwood · Assist: T. Weah
Marseille
VAR
21'
Odsonne Édouard
Lens
🟨
22'
Benjamin Pavard
Marseille
⚽
23'
O. Edouard
Lens
🟨
34'
Adrien Thomasson
Lens
🔄
52'
T. Weah ↔ L. Balerdi
Marseille
🔄
52'
R. Vaz ↔ P. Aubameyang
Marseille
⚽
53'
B. Pavard
Lens
🔄
61'
B. Pavard ↔ B. Nadir
Marseille
🔄
69'
W. Said ↔ M. Guilavogui
Lens
🔄
74'
M. Murillo ↔ A. Gomes
Marseille
🔄
74'
M. O'Riley ↔ P. Hojbjerg
Marseille
🔄
81'
O. Edouard ↔ R. Fofana
Lens
🔄
81'
F. Thauvin ↔ A. Sima
Lens
🟨
84'
Morgan Guilavogui
Lens
🔄
85'
R. Aguilar ↔ S. Abdulhamid
Lens
🟨
86'
Mason Greenwood
Marseille
🟨
87'
Leonardo Balerdi
Marseille
🟨
88'
Mamadou Sangare
Lens

Lens vs Marseille Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Lens Win 0%
Draw 0%
Marseille Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lens1.3
Marseille1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lens Lens
WWDLW
12 GF / 7 GA
Marseille Marseille
WLDWL
27 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2.45
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
8
4.5
Shots on Goal
5.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lens Lens 8 matches
Marseille Marseille 11 matches
Lens Statistic Marseille
5 Wins 7
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 4
12 Goals For 27
7 Goals Against 11
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2.45
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 2
4.5 Shots On Goal 5.73
13.88 Total Shots 13.91
6.38 Corners 4.64
44.4% Ball Possession 57%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lens won 7 times, Marseille won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:26 from Lens's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Lens 3-4-2-1 / Marseille 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Lens wins 7, draws 1, Marseille wins 7

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Paris Saint Germain
34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2
Lens Home
34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3
Lille
34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4
Lyon
34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5
Marseille Away
34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6
Rennes
34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7
Monaco
34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8
Strasbourg
34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9
Lorient
34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10
Toulouse
33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11
Paris FC
34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12
Stade Brestois 29
34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13
Angers
34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14
Le Havre
34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15
Auxerre
34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16
Nice
34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17
Nantes
33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18
Metz
34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
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