Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Lens Win 0%
Draw 0%
Marseille Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lens1.2
Marseille1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lens
WWDLW
12 GF / 9 GA
Marseille
WLDWL
24 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
2.18
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
4
BTTS Yes
7
2
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lens
11 matches
Marseille
11 matches
| Lens | Statistic | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 12 | Goals For | 24 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.18 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lens won 7 times, Marseille won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:26 from Lens's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Lens 3-4-2-1 / Marseille 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lens wins 7, draws 1, Marseille wins 7
Last matches: Lens
22.08.26
Lig
Lens
Auxerre
5
2
W
08.08.26
Fri
Lens
Sunderland
0
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Lens
Charleroi
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Lens
Boulogne
4
1
W
22.05.26
Cou
Lens
Nice
3
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lens
Lyon
4
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
08.05.26
Lig
Lens
Nantes
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Lens
Nice
1
1
D
24.04.26
Lig
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
3
3
D
21.04.26
Cou
Lens
Toulouse
4
1
W
17.04.26
Lig
Lens
Toulouse
3
2
W
11.04.26
Fri
Lens
Rouen
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Lens
Lille
0
3
L
20.03.26
Lig
Lens
Angers
5
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
Lens
Lorient
1
2
L
08.03.26
Lig
Lens
Metz
3
0
W
05.03.26
Cou
Lens
Lyon
2
2
D
27.02.26
Lig
Lens
Strasbourg
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Lens
Monaco
2
3
L
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
H2H: Lens vs Marseille
24.01.26
H2H
Marseille
Lens
3
1
L
25.10.25
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
1
W
08.03.25
H2H
Marseille
Lens
0
1
W
23.11.24
H2H
Lens
Marseille
1
3
L
28.04.24
H2H
Marseille
Lens
2
1
L
12.11.23
H2H
Lens
Marseille
1
0
W
06.05.23
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
1
W
22.10.22
H2H
Marseille
Lens
0
1
W
22.01.22
H2H
Lens
Marseille
0
2
L
26.09.21
H2H
Marseille
Lens
2
3
W
03.02.21
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
2
D
20.01.21
H2H
Marseille
Lens
0
1
W
22.03.15
H2H
Lens
Marseille
0
4
L
02.11.14
H2H
Marseille
Lens
2
1
L
25.10.11
H2H
Marseille
Lens
4
0
L
Last matches: Lens
22.08.26
Lig
Lens
Auxerre
5
2
W
08.08.26
Fri
Lens
Sunderland
0
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Lens
Charleroi
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Lens
Boulogne
4
1
W
22.05.26
Cou
Lens
Nice
3
1
W
13.05.26
Lig
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
08.05.26
Lig
Lens
Nantes
1
0
W
21.04.26
Cou
Lens
Toulouse
4
1
W
17.04.26
Lig
Lens
Toulouse
3
2
W
11.04.26
Fri
Lens
Rouen
2
1
W
20.03.26
Lig
Lens
Angers
5
1
W
08.03.26
Lig
Lens
Metz
3
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Lens
Monaco
2
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
Lens
Rennes
3
1
W
30.01.26
Lig
Lens
Le Havre
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lig
Lens
Auxerre
1
0
W
19.12.25
Cou
Lens
Feignies-Aulnoye
3
1
W
14.12.25
Lig
Lens
Nice
2
0
W
22.11.25
Lig
Lens
Strasbourg
1
0
W
02.11.25
Lig
Lens
Lorient
3
0
W
H2H at home: Lens
25.10.25
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
1
W
23.11.24
H2H
Lens
Marseille
1
3
L
12.11.23
H2H
Lens
Marseille
1
0
W
06.05.23
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
1
W
22.01.22
H2H
Lens
Marseille
0
2
L
03.02.21
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
2
D
22.03.15
H2H
Lens
Marseille
0
4
L
Last matches: Marseille
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
31.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris FC
2
2
D
28.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Club Brugge KV
0
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Angers
5
2
W
13.01.26
Cou
Marseille
Bayeux
9
0
W
21.12.25
Cou
Marseille
Bourg-en-bresse 01
6
0
W
09.12.25
UEF
Marseille
Union St. Gilloise
3
2
W
05.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Lille
0
1
L
21.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Nice
5
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
25.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Lens
1
2
L
22.10.25
UEF
Marseille
Sporting CP
1
2
L
04.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
0
W
26.09.25
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
1
W
H2H away: Marseille
25.10.25
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
1
L
23.11.24
H2H
Lens
Marseille
1
3
W
12.11.23
H2H
Lens
Marseille
1
0
L
06.05.23
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
1
L
22.01.22
H2H
Lens
Marseille
0
2
W
03.02.21
H2H
Lens
Marseille
2
2
D
22.03.15
H2H
Lens
Marseille
0
4
W
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92:35 | 57 | 84 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 2 |
Away
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74:47 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63:41 | 22 | 61 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66:41 | 25 | 60 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52:36 | 16 | 60 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 |
|
34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 57 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 7 |
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:44 | 12 | 57 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 8 |
Home
|
34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 52 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 9 |
|
34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52:59 | -7 | 50 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 42 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 |
|
34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 |
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 14 |
|
34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32:53 | -21 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 15 |
|
34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40:71 | -31 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 16 |
|
34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 17 |
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39:77 | -38 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 18 |
|
34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23:79 | -56 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation