ICELAND 1. DEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.65
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.43
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.2%
1.65
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.43
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.87
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Leiknir R. Win 76.2%
Draw 10.1%
Völsungur Win 13.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leiknir R.1.57
Völsungur1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leiknir R. Leiknir R.
WWDLW
14 GF / 12 GA
Völsungur Völsungur
WLDWL
13 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.18
5
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leiknir R. Leiknir R. 12 matches
Völsungur Völsungur 11 matches
Leiknir R. Statistic Völsungur
5 Wins 1
4 Draws 4
3 Losses 6
14 Goals For 13
12 Goals Against 24
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.18
5 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Leiknir R.'s more proactive style and Völsungur's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Völsungur. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Leiknir R. arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 18 points compared to Völsungur in 12 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Leiknir R. come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Völsungur having the stronger overall control.

Leiknir R. Analysis

Leiknir R. are currently 6 in the standings with 18 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 14:12 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Völsungur Analysis

Völsungur sit 12 with 6 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 11:22 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Leiknir R. won 2 times, Völsungur won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Leiknir R.'s perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
H2H summary: Leiknir R. wins 2, draws 1, Völsungur wins 0
Last matches: Leiknir R.
26.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
2
1
W
19.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Njardvik
0
1
L
13.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Vestri
1
0
W
05.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Ægir
3
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
HK Kopavogur
4
1
W
27.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Fylkir
0
3
L
22.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
0
0
D
18.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Throttur Reykjavik
1
1
D
08.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
0
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Völsungur
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Leiknir R.
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Völsungur
27.06.26
1.
Völsungur
Grotta
2
2
D
21.06.26
1.
Völsungur
IR Reykjavik
4
4
D
13.06.26
1.
Völsungur
Njardvik
2
1
W
06.06.26
1.
Völsungur
Vestri
1
5
L
31.05.26
1.
Völsungur
Ægir
2
3
L
27.05.26
1.
Völsungur
HK Kopavogur
0
1
L
23.05.26
1.
Völsungur
Fylkir
0
1
L
17.05.26
1.
Völsungur
Grindavik
1
3
L
09.05.26
1.
Völsungur
Throttur Reykjavik
0
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Völsungur
Afturelding
0
0
D
25.04.26
1.
Völsungur
Leiknir R.
1
1
D
H2H: Leiknir R. vs Völsungur
25.04.26
H2H
Völsungur
Leiknir R.
1
1
D
17.08.25
H2H
Völsungur
Leiknir R.
1
2
W
09.06.25
H2H
Leiknir R.
Völsungur
3
1
W
Last matches: Leiknir R.
26.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
2
1
W
13.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Vestri
1
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
HK Kopavogur
4
1
W
22.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
0
0
D
08.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
0
3
L
H2H at home: Leiknir R.
09.06.25
H2H
Leiknir R.
Völsungur
3
1
W
Last matches: Völsungur
21.06.26
1.
Völsungur
IR Reykjavik
4
4
D
06.06.26
1.
Völsungur
Vestri
1
5
L
27.05.26
1.
Völsungur
HK Kopavogur
0
1
L
17.05.26
1.
Völsungur
Grindavik
1
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Völsungur
Afturelding
0
0
D
H2H away: Völsungur
09.06.25
H2H
Leiknir R.
Völsungur
3
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.24
Draw 4.26
Home 1.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.48
Draw 2.60
Home 2.06
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.43
Over 2.75 1.53
Over 3.0 1.68
Over 3.25 1.92
Over 3.5 2.12
Over 3.75 2.40
Over 4.0 2.90
Under 2.5 2.68
Under 2.75 2.41
Under 3.0 2.16
Under 3.25 1.88
Under 3.5 1.70
Under 3.75 1.53
Under 4.0 1.38
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 3.90
Home 1.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.60
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.88
Home 1.91
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.5 6.00
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 13.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.62
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.16
Draw 4.05
Home 1.63
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.47
Draw 2.38
Home 2.15
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.18
Draw 2.95
Home 1.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 1.75 1.12
Over 2.0 1.15
Over 2.25 1.29
Over 2.5 1.41
Over 2.75 1.51
Over 3.0 1.63
Over 3.25 1.85
Over 3.5 2.05
Over 3.75 2.30
Over 4.0 2.70
Over 4.25 2.99
Over 4.5 3.20
Over 4.75 3.90
Over 5.0 5.05
Over 5.25 5.30
Over 5.5 5.60
Over 6.0 9.20
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 13.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 15.50
Under 1.0 11.50
Under 1.5 5.10
Under 1.75 4.70
Under 2.0 4.30
Under 2.25 3.10
Under 2.5 2.52
Under 2.75 2.30
Under 3.0 2.03
Under 3.25 1.83
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 3.75 1.51
Under 4.0 1.36
Under 4.25 1.31
Under 4.5 1.26
Under 4.75 1.18
Under 5.0 1.10
Under 5.25 1.09
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.0 1.00
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 4.10
Home 1.58
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 2.70
Home 2.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.90
Draw 3.10
Home 1.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.09
Over 2.5 1.34
Over 3.5 1.87
Over 4.5 2.95
Over 5.5 4.90
Under 1.5 5.60
Under 2.5 2.85
Under 3.5 1.77
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.12

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 25:12 13 23
D W W W W
2 11 7 1 3 33:18 15 22
W W L L W
3 11 7 0 4 19:15 4 21
L W W L L
4 12 6 2 4 22:20 2 20
D W W L W
5 11 6 1 4 20:18 2 19
W D L W L
6 11 5 3 3 14:12 2 18
W L W W W
7 11 4 2 5 13:11 2 14
L W L W L
8 10 4 1 5 19:24 -5 13
D L L W W
9 11 3 2 6 23:29 -6 11
L D W L L
10 10 1 6 3 9:12 -3 9
D D L L L
11 12 2 2 8 13:28 -15 8
L D L L L
12 11 1 4 6 13:24 -11 7
D D W L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation