ICELAND 1. DEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.8%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Leiknir R. Win 45.2%
Draw 13.2%
Grotta Win 41.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leiknir R.1.66
Grotta1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leiknir R. Leiknir R.
WWDLW
14 GF / 12 GA
Grotta Grotta
WLDWL
19 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.9
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.4
5
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leiknir R. Leiknir R. 12 matches
Grotta Grotta 10 matches
Leiknir R. Statistic Grotta
5 Wins 4
4 Draws 1
3 Losses 5
14 Goals For 19
12 Goals Against 24
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.4
5 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Leiknir R.'s more proactive style and Grotta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Grotta. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Leiknir R. come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Grotta having the stronger overall control.

Leiknir R. Analysis

So far, Leiknir R. have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 18 points from 11 matches. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 14:12 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Grotta Analysis

Grotta are currently 8 in the standings with 13 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 19:24 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Leiknir R. won 6 times, Grotta won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:18 from Leiknir R.'s perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
H2H summary: Leiknir R. wins 6, draws 1, Grotta wins 2
Last matches: Leiknir R.
26.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
2
1
W
19.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Njardvik
0
1
L
13.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Vestri
1
0
W
05.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Ægir
3
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
HK Kopavogur
4
1
W
27.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Fylkir
0
3
L
22.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
0
0
D
18.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Throttur Reykjavik
1
1
D
08.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
0
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Völsungur
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Leiknir R.
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Grotta
27.06.26
1.
Grotta
Völsungur
2
2
D
21.06.26
1.
Grotta
Fylkir
2
5
L
17.06.26
1.
Grotta
IR Reykjavik
1
2
L
31.05.26
1.
Grotta
Njardvik
2
1
W
27.05.26
1.
Grotta
Throttur Reykjavik
3
2
W
23.05.26
1.
Grotta
Vestri
5
3
W
18.05.26
1.
Grotta
Afturelding
1
3
L
09.05.26
1.
Grotta
Ægir
1
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Grotta
Leiknir R.
1
2
L
25.04.26
1.
Grotta
HK Kopavogur
1
4
L
H2H: Leiknir R. vs Grotta
01.05.26
H2H
Grotta
Leiknir R.
1
2
W
30.07.24
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grotta
3
1
W
25.05.24
H2H
Grotta
Leiknir R.
4
3
L
11.08.23
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
1
W
02.06.23
H2H
Grotta
Leiknir R.
5
1
L
30.07.19
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
2
D
24.05.19
H2H
Grotta
Leiknir R.
2
3
W
23.09.17
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
1
W
11.07.17
H2H
Grotta
Leiknir R.
1
3
W
Last matches: Leiknir R.
26.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
2
1
W
13.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Vestri
1
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
HK Kopavogur
4
1
W
22.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
0
0
D
08.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
0
3
L
H2H at home: Leiknir R.
30.07.24
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grotta
3
1
W
11.08.23
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
1
W
30.07.19
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
2
D
23.09.17
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
1
W
Last matches: Grotta
27.06.26
1.
Grotta
Völsungur
2
2
D
17.06.26
1.
Grotta
IR Reykjavik
1
2
L
31.05.26
1.
Grotta
Njardvik
2
1
W
27.05.26
1.
Grotta
Throttur Reykjavik
3
2
W
09.05.26
1.
Grotta
Ægir
1
0
W
25.04.26
1.
Grotta
HK Kopavogur
1
4
L
H2H away: Grotta
30.07.24
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grotta
3
1
L
11.08.23
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
1
L
30.07.19
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
2
D
23.09.17
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
1
L

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 25:12 13 23
D W W W W
2 11 7 1 3 33:18 15 22
W W L L W
3 11 7 0 4 19:15 4 21
L W W L L
4 12 6 2 4 22:20 2 20
D W W L W
5 11 6 1 4 20:18 2 19
W D L W L
6 11 5 3 3 14:12 2 18
W L W W W
7 11 4 2 5 13:11 2 14
L W L W L
8 10 4 1 5 19:24 -5 13
D L L W W
9 11 3 2 6 23:29 -6 11
L D W L L
10 10 1 6 3 9:12 -3 9
D D L L L
11 12 2 2 8 13:28 -15 8
L D L L L
12 11 1 4 6 13:24 -11 7
D D W L L
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