ICELAND 1. DEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Leiknir R. Win 85%
Draw 7.5%
Ægir Win 7.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leiknir R.1.85
Ægir1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leiknir R. Leiknir R.
WWDLW
23 GF / 25 GA
Ægir Ægir
WLDWL
21 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
2.71
8
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leiknir R. Leiknir R. 18 matches
Ægir Ægir 17 matches
Leiknir R. Statistic Ægir
6 Wins 2
5 Draws 2
7 Losses 13
23 Goals For 21
25 Goals Against 46
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 2.71
8 BTTS Yes 11
12 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ægir. Leiknir R. arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 22 points compared to Ægir in 12 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ægir having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Leiknir R. Analysis

Leiknir R. sit 7 with 22 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 23:25, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ægir Analysis

Ægir approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 8 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 13 defeats with a 21:46 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Leiknir R. won 3 times, Ægir won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:2 from Leiknir R.'s perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.5%)
H2H summary: Leiknir R. wins 3, draws 0, Ægir wins 0
Last matches: Leiknir R.
07.08.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Fylkir
3
0
W
29.07.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
0
1
L
23.07.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Throttur Reykjavik
1
5
L
16.07.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
2
3
L
10.07.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grotta
0
1
L
04.07.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Völsungur
3
3
D
26.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
2
1
W
19.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Njardvik
0
1
L
13.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Vestri
1
0
W
05.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Ægir
3
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
HK Kopavogur
4
1
W
27.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Fylkir
0
3
L
22.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
0
0
D
18.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Throttur Reykjavik
1
1
D
08.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
0
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Völsungur
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Leiknir R.
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Ægir
06.08.26
1.
Ægir
IR Reykjavik
2
3
L
28.07.26
1.
Ægir
Njardvik
0
1
L
18.07.26
1.
Ægir
Grotta
1
6
L
10.07.26
1.
Ægir
HK Kopavogur
3
4
L
03.07.26
1.
Ægir
Fylkir
2
4
L
29.06.26
1.
Ægir
Afturelding
1
8
L
26.06.26
1.
Ægir
Grindavik
0
0
D
21.06.26
1.
Ægir
Throttur Reykjavik
1
3
L
17.06.26
1.
Ægir
Vestri
2
3
L
05.06.26
1.
Ægir
Leiknir R.
0
3
L
31.05.26
1.
Ægir
Völsungur
3
2
W
27.05.26
1.
Ægir
IR Reykjavik
4
1
W
23.05.26
1.
Ægir
Njardvik
0
0
D
17.05.26
1.
Ægir
Vestri
1
2
L
09.05.26
1.
Ægir
Grotta
0
1
L
01.05.26
1.
Ægir
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
24.04.26
1.
Ægir
Fylkir
0
3
L
H2H: Leiknir R. vs Ægir
05.06.26
H2H
Ægir
Leiknir R.
0
3
W
16.09.23
H2H
Ægir
Leiknir R.
0
5
W
12.07.23
H2H
Leiknir R.
Ægir
3
2
W
Last matches: Leiknir R.
07.08.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Fylkir
3
0
W
23.07.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Throttur Reykjavik
1
5
L
10.07.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grotta
0
1
L
04.07.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Völsungur
3
3
D
26.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
2
1
W
13.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Vestri
1
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
HK Kopavogur
4
1
W
22.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
0
0
D
08.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
0
3
L
H2H at home: Leiknir R.
12.07.23
H2H
Leiknir R.
Ægir
3
2
W
Last matches: Ægir
06.08.26
1.
Ægir
IR Reykjavik
2
3
L
18.07.26
1.
Ægir
Grotta
1
6
L
29.06.26
1.
Ægir
Afturelding
1
8
L
26.06.26
1.
Ægir
Grindavik
0
0
D
17.06.26
1.
Ægir
Vestri
2
3
L
31.05.26
1.
Ægir
Völsungur
3
2
W
23.05.26
1.
Ægir
Njardvik
0
0
D
01.05.26
1.
Ægir
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
24.04.26
1.
Ægir
Fylkir
0
3
L
H2H away: Ægir
12.07.23
H2H
Leiknir R.
Ægir
3
2
L

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 11 1 4 48:26 22 34
W L W W W
2 17 10 4 3 37:17 20 34
D W W W D
3 17 11 0 6 35:26 9 33
L W L W W
4 17 9 2 6 27:22 5 29
W W W L W
5 17 9 1 7 40:32 8 28
L L W W W
6 16 8 2 6 33:29 4 26
D W W L W
7 17 6 4 7 23:25 -2 22
W L L L L
8 17 6 3 8 27:37 -10 21
L L L L D
9 17 5 4 8 30:38 -8 19
W W D L D
10 17 3 8 6 17:24 -7 17
L W L D W
11 17 3 5 9 23:39 -16 14
W L W L L
12
Ægir Away
17 2 2 13 21:46 -25 8
L L L L L
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