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10.10.2026 14:00
King Power Stadium
Referee: Simon Hooper
Leicester
Match Timeline
Peterborough
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
O. Edwards · Assist: H. Mills
Peterborough
⚽
36'
H. Leonard · Assist: B. Shofowoke
Peterborough
⚽
44'
W. O'Hora
Peterborough
🔄
46'
W. O'Hora ↔ I. Kangasniemi
Leicester
🔄
46'
O. Aluko ↔ K. Doyle
Leicester
🔄
46'
L. Cullen ↔ W. Burns
Leicester
🔄
59'
E. Williams ↔ M. Garbett
Peterborough
🔄
65'
B. De Cordova-Reid ↔ S. Braybrooke
Leicester
🔄
67'
B. Shofowoke ↔ V. Masara
Peterborough
🔄
67'
H. Ashfield ↔ B. Woods
Peterborough
⚽
68'
E. Riis · Assist: W. Burns
Leicester
🔄
78'
C. Okoli ↔ H. Howell
Leicester
🔄
78'
L. Kelly ↔ B. Khela
Peterborough
🔄
78'
H. Leonard ↔ D. Ormerod
Peterborough
🟨
85'
Matthew Garbett
Peterborough

Leicester vs Peterborough Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Leicester Win 57.7%
Draw 20.2%
Peterborough Win 22.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leicester1.52
Peterborough0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leicester Leicester
D W L W D
7 GF / 8 GA
Peterborough Peterborough
L L D L D
2 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
6
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
5
5
Shots on Goal
2.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leicester Leicester 13 matches
Peterborough Peterborough 14 matches
Leicester Statistic Peterborough
6 Wins 4
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 7
21 Goals For 10
16 Goals Against 19
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
6 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 8
5 Shots On Goal 2.88
15.43 Total Shots 13.38
6.71 Corners 5.25
68% Ball Possession 57.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Peterborough. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leicester expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Peterborough in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Peterborough having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Leicester arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 14 with 9 points compared to Peterborough in 23 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Peterborough arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Leicester Analysis

Leicester sit 14 with 9 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 9:11, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Riis (2 goals), L. Cullen (2 goals), W. Burns (1 goals), with creative support from L. Page (2 assists), L. Thomas (1 assists), W. Alves (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Peterborough Analysis

With 5 points from 8 games and a place of 23, Peterborough still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 4:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Woods (2 goals), H. Leonard (1 goals), C. Conn-Clarke (1 goals), with creative support from James Dornelly (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Leicester won 2 times, Peterborough won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Leicester's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.8%)
Predicted formations: Leicester 4-1-4-1 / Peterborough 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leicester wins 2, draws 1, Peterborough wins 2

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 5 1 28:12 16 29
D W W W W
2 14 8 2 4 26:14 12 26
W L D W W
3 13 7 5 1 22:11 11 26
W D W D W
4 14 7 3 4 27:21 6 24
D W W W W
5 14 7 2 5 21:19 2 23
D W L L W
6 14 6 4 4 25:15 10 22
L D W W L
7 13 6 4 3 10:8 2 22
L D D W D
8 14 5 6 3 21:21 0 21
L D L D W
9 13 5 5 3 22:14 8 20
D D L L W
10 13 5 4 4 22:19 3 19
D W L W W
11 13 5 4 4 20:18 2 19
D L W W D
12 13 4 6 3 22:20 2 18
W W W L W
13 13 4 6 3 21:23 -2 18
W D D W L
14 13 5 2 6 19:14 5 17
W L L W D
15 14 4 5 5 18:21 -3 17
L W D D L
16 12 4 4 4 17:13 4 16
D L W L W
17 12 3 5 4 13:14 -1 14
W D W L L
18 13 3 4 6 9:21 -12 13
L D L L L
19 12 3 3 6 17:21 -4 12
D L W L L
20 13 3 3 7 14:22 -8 12
L L W L L
21 14 3 2 9 11:22 -11 11
D W L L L
22 13 2 4 7 11:23 -12 10
L D L D W
23 12 2 3 7 12:22 -10 9
D L L L L
24 13 2 3 8 13:33 -20 9
L L D L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two