ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
King Power Stadium
Referee: F. Hallam
Leicester
Match Timeline
Millwall
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
J. Coburn ↔ M. Ivanovic
Millwall
🟨
50'
Jake Cooper
Millwall
🟨
60'
Femi Azeez
Millwall
🔄
60'
D. Mukasa ↔ L. Page
Leicester
🔄
60'
B. De Cordova-Reid ↔ J. Monga
Leicester
🟨
67'
Thierno Ballo
Millwall
🟨
72'
Hamza Choudhury
Leicester
🔄
72'
T. Ballo ↔ M. Langstaff
Millwall
78'
J. Cooper
Leicester
🔄
80'
I. Fatawu ↔ S. Mavididi
Leicester
🔄
80'
O. Skipp ↔ J. James
Leicester
🔄
82'
D. Mazou-Sacko ↔ B. Bannan
Millwall
🔄
82'
Z. Sturge ↔ L. Cundle
Millwall
🔄
82'
C. De Norre ↔ T. Watson
Millwall
🔄
90+5'
P. Daka ↔ O. Aluko
Leicester
90'
M. Langstaff · Assist: R. Leonard
Millwall

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Leicester Win 23.6%
Draw 0%
Millwall Win 76.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leicester1.24
Millwall1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leicester Leicester
WWDLW
59 GF / 69 GA
Millwall Millwall
WLDWL
62 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
33
BTTS Yes
23
26
Over 2.5
23
4.09
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leicester Leicester 46 matches
Millwall Millwall 45 matches
Leicester Statistic Millwall
12 Wins 23
15 Draws 10
19 Losses 12
59 Goals For 62
69 Goals Against 53
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
33 BTTS Yes 23
40 Over 1.5 36
26 Over 2.5 23
13 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 17
9 Failed To Score 8
4.09 Shots On Goal 4.2
12.87 Total Shots 12.56
5.33 Corners 5.33
52.5% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Millwall's more proactive style and Leicester's more cautious structure. Millwall seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Millwall. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Millwall carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 79 points while Leicester sit 23 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Leicester Analysis

With 42 points from 44 games and a place of 23, Leicester still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 15 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 54:64 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. James (11 goals), I. Fatawu (9 goals), Jordan Ayew (6 goals), with creative support from I. Fatawu (7 assists), Luke Thomas (5 assists), J. James (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with V. Kristiansen unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Millwall Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 79 points from 44 games, Millwall bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 23 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats plus a goal balance of 56:47, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by F. Azeez (9 goals), Josh Coburn (9 goals), M. Ivanovic (9 goals), with creative support from F. Azeez (7 assists), T. Crama (6 assists), T. Ballo (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Jensen, D. Kelly, M. Luongo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Leicester won 5 times, Millwall won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from Leicester's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Leicester 4-2-3-1 / Millwall 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Leicester 1, Millwall 6
H2H summary: Leicester wins 5, draws 1, Millwall wins 7
Stats
Leicester Leicester
Millwall Millwall
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
11
2 Corner Kicks 12
12 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 3
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 7
5 Blocked Shots 11
3 Shots insidebox 12
7 Shots outsidebox 10
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
386 Total passes 413
313 Passes accurate 322
0.93 expected_goals 1.94
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Leicester
Formation
Millwall
J. Stolarczyk
J. Stolarczyk
H. Choudhury
H. Choudhury
H. Souttar
H. Souttar
J. Vestergaard
J. Vestergaard
L. Thomas
L. Thomas
O. Skipp
O. Skipp
H. Winks
H. Winks
I. Fatawu
I. Fatawu
D. Mukasa
D. Mukasa
B. De Cordova-Reid
B. De Cordova-Reid
P. Daka
P. Daka
A. Patterson
A. Patterson
R. Leonard
🎯
R. Leonard
T. Crama
T. Crama
J. Cooper
J. Cooper
Z. Sturge
Z. Sturge
D. Mazou-Sacko
D. Mazou-Sacko
C. De Norre
C. De Norre
F. Azeez
F. Azeez
C. Neghli
C. Neghli
T. Ballo
T. Ballo
J. Coburn
J. Coburn
Leicester 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Stolarczyk
G
17
H. Choudhury
🟨 72'
D
15
H. Souttar
D
23
J. Vestergaard
D
33
L. Thomas
D
22
O. Skipp
↓ 80'
M
8
H. Winks
M
7
I. Fatawu
↓ 80'
M
29
D. Mukasa
↓ 60'
M
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
↓ 60'
M
20
P. Daka
↓ 90+5'
F
Substitutes
31
A. Begovic
G
9
J. Ayew
F
21
R. Pereira
D
10
S. Mavididi
↑ 80'
F
30
A. Ramsey
M
6
J. James
↑ 80'
M
25
L. Page
↑ 60'
M
28
J. Monga
↑ 60'
M
56
O. Aluko
↑ 90+5'
D
Millwall 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
A. Patterson
G
18
R. Leonard
🎯 90'
D
4
T. Crama
D
5
J. Cooper
⚽ 78' 🟨 50'
D
3
Z. Sturge
↓ 82'
D
49
D. Mazou-Sacko
↓ 82'
M
24
C. De Norre
↓ 82'
M
11
F. Azeez
🟨 60'
M
10
C. Neghli
M
7
T. Ballo
↓ 72' 🟨 67'
M
19
J. Coburn
↓ 10'
F
Substitutes
15
M. Crocombe
G
67
B. Bannan
↑ 82'
M
39
W. Smallbone
M
2
D. McNamara
D
25
L. Cundle
↑ 82'
M
9
M. Ivanovic
↑ 10'
F
17
M. Langstaff
⚽ 90' ↑ 72'
F
22
T. Watson
↑ 82'
F
30
R. Lamptey
M
Last matches: Leicester
01.08.26
Fri
Leicester
Genoa
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Malaga
3
3
D
22.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Cadiz
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Burton Albion
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Bristol Rovers
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Northampton
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Leicester
Blackburn
1
0
W
21.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Hull City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Portsmouth
0
1
L
11.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Swansea
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Preston
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Watford
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Leicester
QPR
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Bristol City
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Ipswich
1
1
D
28.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Norwich
0
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Stoke City
2
2
D
14.02.26
FA
Leicester
Southampton
1
2
L
Last matches: Millwall
01.08.26
Fri
Millwall
Antwerp
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Bromley
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
11.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Oxford United
2
0
W
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Millwall
QPR
2
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
25.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Birmingham
3
0
W
H2H: Leicester vs Millwall
24.04.26
H2H
Leicester
Millwall
1
1
D
25.10.25
H2H
Millwall
Leicester
1
0
L
09.04.24
H2H
Millwall
Leicester
1
0
L
06.01.24
H2H
Millwall
Leicester
2
3
W
13.12.23
H2H
Leicester
Millwall
3
2
W
22.09.21
H2H
Millwall
Leicester
0
2
W
18.02.17
H2H
Millwall
Leicester
1
0
L
01.01.14
H2H
Millwall
Leicester
1
3
W
30.11.13
H2H
Leicester
Millwall
3
0
W
29.03.13
H2H
Leicester
Millwall
0
1
L
15.12.12
H2H
Millwall
Leicester
1
0
L
14.04.12
H2H
Millwall
Leicester
2
1
L
22.10.11
H2H
Leicester
Millwall
0
3
L
Last matches: Leicester
01.08.26
Fri
Leicester
Genoa
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Northampton
3
0
W
21.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Hull City
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Swansea
0
1
L
03.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Preston
2
2
D
14.03.26
Cha
Leicester
QPR
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Bristol City
2
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Norwich
0
2
L
10.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Southampton
3
4
L
31.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Charlton
0
2
L
24.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Oxford United
1
2
L
05.01.26
Cha
Leicester
West Brom
2
1
W
29.12.25
Cha
Leicester
Derby
2
1
W
26.12.25
Cha
Leicester
Watford
1
2
L
13.12.25
Cha
Leicester
Ipswich
3
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Utd
2
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Stoke City
2
1
W
04.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Blackburn
0
2
L
18.10.25
Cha
Leicester
Portsmouth
1
1
D
H2H at home: Leicester
24.04.26
H2H
Leicester
Millwall
1
1
D
13.12.23
H2H
Leicester
Millwall
3
2
W
30.11.13
H2H
Leicester
Millwall
3
0
W
29.03.13
H2H
Leicester
Millwall
0
1
L
22.10.11
H2H
Leicester
Millwall
0
3
L
Last matches: Millwall
28.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Bromley
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Wrexham
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Coventry
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Watford
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Millwall
Burnley
1
5
L
01.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Southampton
0
0
D
20.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
0
2
L
10.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
H2H away: Millwall
24.04.26
H2H
Leicester
Millwall
1
1
D
13.12.23
H2H
Leicester
Millwall
3
2
L
30.11.13
H2H
Leicester
Millwall
3
0
L
29.03.13
H2H
Leicester
Millwall
0
1
W
22.10.11
H2H
Leicester
Millwall
0
3
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Leicester 1 missing
-
V. Kristiansen
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Millwall 6 missing
-
L. Jensen
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Kelly
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
M. Luongo
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Doughty
Questionable Calf Injury
OUT
-
J. Bryan
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
B. Mitchell
Questionable Inactive
OUT