Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
76.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
68.6%
|
- |
Leicester
Millwall
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leicester
46 matches
Millwall
45 matches
| Leicester | Statistic | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 23 |
| 15 | Draws | 10 |
| 19 | Losses | 12 |
| 59 | Goals For | 62 |
| 69 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 33 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 40 | Over 1.5 | 36 |
| 26 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.09 | Shots On Goal | 4.2 |
| 12.87 | Total Shots | 12.56 |
| 5.33 | Corners | 5.33 |
| 52.5% | Ball Possession | 46% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Millwall's more proactive style and Leicester's more cautious structure. Millwall seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Millwall. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Millwall carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 79 points while Leicester sit 23 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
With 42 points from 44 games and a place of 23, Leicester still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 15 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 54:64 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. James (11 goals), I. Fatawu (9 goals), Jordan Ayew (6 goals), with creative support from I. Fatawu (7 assists), Luke Thomas (5 assists), J. James (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with V. Kristiansen unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Operating from 3 place with 79 points from 44 games, Millwall bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 23 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats plus a goal balance of 56:47, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by F. Azeez (9 goals), Josh Coburn (9 goals), M. Ivanovic (9 goals), with creative support from F. Azeez (7 assists), T. Crama (6 assists), T. Ballo (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Jensen, D. Kelly, M. Luongo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Leicester won 5 times, Millwall won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from Leicester's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.
Leicester
3
4
2
7
5
11
Lineups
Leicester
Genoa
Leicester
Malaga
Leicester
Cadiz
Leicester
Burton Albion
Leicester
Bristol Rovers
Leicester
Northampton
Leicester
Blackburn
Leicester
Hull City
Leicester
Portsmouth
Leicester
Swansea
Leicester
Sheffield Wednesday
Leicester
Preston
Leicester
Watford
Leicester
QPR
Leicester
Bristol City
Leicester
Ipswich
Leicester
Norwich
Leicester
Middlesbrough
Leicester
Stoke City
Leicester
Southampton
Millwall
Antwerp
Millwall
Bromley
Millwall
Stevenage
Millwall
Gillingham
Millwall
Eldense
Millwall
FC Andorra
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Oxford United
Millwall
Stoke City
Millwall
QPR
Millwall
West Brom
Millwall
Norwich
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Millwall
Ipswich
Millwall
Blackburn
Millwall
Derby
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Preston
Millwall
Birmingham
Leicester
Genoa
Leicester
Northampton
Leicester
Hull City
Leicester
Swansea
Leicester
Preston
Leicester
QPR
Leicester
Bristol City
Leicester
Norwich
Leicester
Southampton
Leicester
Charlton
Leicester
Oxford United
Leicester
West Brom
Leicester
Derby
Leicester
Watford
Leicester
Ipswich
Leicester
Sheffield Utd
Leicester
Stoke City
Leicester
Middlesbrough
Leicester
Blackburn
Leicester
Portsmouth
Millwall
Bromley
Millwall
Stevenage
Millwall
Gillingham
Millwall
Eldense
Millwall
FC Andorra
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Stoke City
Millwall
West Brom
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Millwall
Ipswich
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Preston
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
Millwall
Wrexham
Millwall
Coventry
Millwall
Watford
Millwall
Burnley
Millwall
Southampton
Millwall
Blackburn
Millwall
Derby
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Millwall
Away
|
46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 |
Leicester
Home
|
46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|