ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
24.04.2026 19:00
King Power Stadium
Referee: F. Hallam
Leicester
Match Timeline
Millwall
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
J. Coburn ↔ M. Ivanovic
Millwall
🟨
50'
Jake Cooper
Millwall
🟨
60'
Femi Azeez
Millwall
🔄
60'
D. Mukasa ↔ L. Page
Leicester
🔄
60'
B. De Cordova-Reid ↔ J. Monga
Leicester
🟨
67'
Thierno Ballo
Millwall
🟨
72'
Hamza Choudhury
Leicester
🔄
72'
T. Ballo ↔ M. Langstaff
Millwall
78'
J. Cooper
Leicester
🔄
80'
I. Fatawu ↔ S. Mavididi
Leicester
🔄
80'
O. Skipp ↔ J. James
Leicester
🔄
82'
D. Mazou-Sacko ↔ B. Bannan
Millwall
🔄
82'
Z. Sturge ↔ L. Cundle
Millwall
🔄
82'
C. De Norre ↔ T. Watson
Millwall
🔄
90+5'
P. Daka ↔ O. Aluko
Leicester
90'
M. Langstaff · Assist: R. Leonard
Millwall

Leicester vs Millwall Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Leicester Win 23.6%
Draw 0%
Millwall Win 76.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leicester1.24
Millwall1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leicester Leicester
WWDLW
59 GF / 69 GA
Millwall Millwall
WLDWL
62 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
33
BTTS Yes
23
26
Over 2.5
23
4.09
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leicester Leicester 46 matches
Millwall Millwall 45 matches
Leicester Statistic Millwall
12 Wins 23
15 Draws 10
19 Losses 12
59 Goals For 62
69 Goals Against 53
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
33 BTTS Yes 23
40 Over 1.5 36
26 Over 2.5 23
13 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 17
9 Failed To Score 8
4.09 Shots On Goal 4.2
12.87 Total Shots 12.56
5.33 Corners 5.33
52.5% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Millwall's more proactive style and Leicester's more cautious structure. Millwall seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Millwall. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Millwall carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 79 points while Leicester sit 23 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Leicester Analysis

With 42 points from 44 games and a place of 23, Leicester still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 15 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 54:64 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. James (11 goals), I. Fatawu (9 goals), Jordan Ayew (6 goals), with creative support from I. Fatawu (7 assists), Luke Thomas (5 assists), J. James (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with V. Kristiansen unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Millwall Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 79 points from 44 games, Millwall bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 23 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats plus a goal balance of 56:47, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by F. Azeez (9 goals), Josh Coburn (9 goals), M. Ivanovic (9 goals), with creative support from F. Azeez (7 assists), T. Crama (6 assists), T. Ballo (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Jensen, D. Kelly, M. Luongo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Leicester won 5 times, Millwall won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from Leicester's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Leicester 4-2-3-1 / Millwall 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Leicester 1, Millwall 6
H2H summary: Leicester wins 5, draws 1, Millwall wins 7

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation