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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
17.10.2026 14:00
King Power Stadium

Leicester vs Doncaster Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.55
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69%
1.25 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.55 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Leicester Win 46.7%
Draw 22.3%
Doncaster Win 31%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leicester1.37
Doncaster1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leicester Leicester
WWDLW
22 GF / 19 GA
Doncaster Doncaster
WLDWL
22 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
7
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
6
4.88
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leicester Leicester 14 matches
Doncaster Doncaster 15 matches
Leicester Statistic Doncaster
6 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 5
22 Goals For 22
19 Goals Against 16
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
7 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 5
4.88 Shots On Goal 3.75
16.25 Total Shots 13.75
6.88 Corners 4.63
68.3% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Doncaster. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leicester expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Doncaster in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Doncaster having the stronger overall control.

Leicester Analysis

Leicester approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 9 points from 7 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 9:11 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Riis (2 goals), L. Cullen (2 goals), W. Burns (1 goals), with creative support from L. Page (2 assists), L. Thomas (1 assists), W. Alves (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Doncaster Analysis

Doncaster sit 21 with 6 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 8:9, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. May (2 goals), J. Senior (1 goals), O. Bailey (1 goals), with creative support from L. Ayinde (1 assists), J. Thomas (1 assists), Bayley McCann (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Leicester won 2 times, Doncaster won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Leicester's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.7%)
Predicted formations: Leicester 4-1-4-1 / Doncaster 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Leicester wins 2, draws 0, Doncaster wins 2

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:12 6 19
W W L W W
2 9 5 2 2 8:5 3 17
D D W W W
3 9 5 1 3 20:11 9 16
W W D L W
4 9 4 4 1 16:9 7 16
D W L D D
5 9 4 4 1 14:11 3 16
W D D W D
6 9 4 3 2 22:11 11 15
W D D W L
7 8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
D D D W W
8 7 4 2 1 15:8 7 14
W D W W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:8 4 12
W L W W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L L W D L
11 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
L D D W W
12 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
D L W L D
13 8 3 2 3 16:15 1 11
W L L D W
14 8 3 2 3 12:14 -2 11
W D D L L
15 9 2 4 3 14:20 -6 10
L D W W D
16 8 2 3 3 9:9 0 9
W W L L D
17 8 2 3 3 10:14 -4 9
L D W L W
18 8 2 2 4 13:14 -1 8
L L D L L
19 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D L L W
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
W L L D L
21 8 2 2 4 9:20 -11 8
L W D L L
22 8 1 4 3 8:11 -3 7
L L L D D
23 8 0 6 2 9:15 -6 6
L D D D L
24 8 1 1 6 5:13 -8 4
L L D L W
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two