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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Leicester
FT
2 - 1
Derby
King Power Stadium
Referee: Gavin Ward, England
Leicester
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
B. De Cordova-Reid · Assist: I. Fatawu
Leicester
⚽
9'
R. Brewster · Assist: C. Elder
Derby
⚽
41'
J. James · Assist: L. Thomas
Leicester
🔄
51'
H. Choudhury ↔ R. Pereira
Leicester
🔄
65'
J. Ayew ↔ S. Thomas
Leicester
🔄
65'
B. De Cordova-Reid ↔ A. Ramsey
Leicester
🔄
67'
R. Brewster ↔ C. Blackett-Taylor
Derby
🔄
67'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby
🔄
69'
↔ L. Page
Leicester
🔄
69'
I. Fatawu ↔ J. Monga
Leicester
🔄
73'
B. Clark ↔ A. Weimann
Derby
🟨
83'
Jordan James
Leicester
🔄
89'
C. Elder ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🔄
89'
E. Adams ↔ L. Travis
Derby
🟨
90+6'
Kayden Jackson
Derby
🟨
90+6'
Liam Thompson
Derby

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Leicester Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leicester1.37
Derby1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leicester Leicester
WWDLW
32 GF / 33 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
32 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
17
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
11
3.87
Shots on Goal
3.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leicester Leicester 23 matches
Derby Derby 23 matches
Leicester Statistic Derby
8 Wins 8
7 Draws 8
8 Losses 7
32 Goals For 32
33 Goals Against 31
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
17 BTTS Yes 17
20 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
3.87 Shots On Goal 3.22
12.04 Total Shots 9.48
5.17 Corners 4.91
53.1% Ball Possession 41.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Leicester won 10 times, Derby won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:11 from Leicester's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.42 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Leicester 4-2-3-1 / Derby 4-4-2
H2H summary: Leicester wins 10, draws 1, Derby wins 1
Stats
Leicester Leicester
Derby Derby
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 2
5 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
357 Total passes 437
269 Passes accurate 340
0.68 expected_goals 0.69
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Leicester
Formation
Derby
J. Stolarczyk
J. Stolarczyk
H. Choudhury
↓
H. Choudhury
C. Okoli
C. Okoli
B. Nelson
B. Nelson
L. Thomas
🎯
L. Thomas
O. Skipp
O. Skipp
J. James
⚽
J. James
I. Fatawu
🎯 ↓
I. Fatawu
B. De Cordova-Reid
⚽ ↓
B. De Cordova-Reid
S. Mavididi
S. Mavididi
J. Ayew
↓
J. Ayew
J. Widell Zetterstrom
J. Widell Zetterstrom
S. Langas
S. Langas
D. Sanderson
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
M. Clarke
C. Elder
🎯 ↓
C. Elder
B. Brereton Diaz
↓
B. Brereton Diaz
E. Adams
↓
E. Adams
L. Thompson
L. Thompson
B. Clark
↓
B. Clark
R. Brewster
⚽ ↓
R. Brewster
P. Agyemang
P. Agyemang
Leicester 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Stolarczyk
G
17
H. Choudhury
↓ 51'
D
5
C. Okoli
D
4
B. Nelson
D
33
L. Thomas
🎯 41'
D
22
O. Skipp
M
6
J. James
⚽ 41' 🟨 83'
M
7
I. Fatawu
🎯 6' ↓ 69'
M
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
⚽ 6' ↓ 65'
M
10
S. Mavididi
M
9
J. Ayew
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
31
A. Begovic
G
3
W. Faes
D
56
O. Aluko
D
21
R. Pereira
↑ 51'
D
25
L. Page
↑ 69'
M
39
S. Thomas
↑ 65'
F
30
A. Ramsey
↑ 65'
M
28
J. Monga
↑ 69'
M
18
J. Carranza
F
Derby 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
G
6
S. Langas
D
28
D. Sanderson
D
5
M. Clarke
D
20
C. Elder
🎯 9' ↓ 89'
D
25
B. Brereton Diaz
↓ 67'
M
32
E. Adams
↓ 89'
M
16
L. Thompson
🟨 90+6'
M
42
B. Clark
↓ 73'
M
10
R. Brewster
⚽ 9' ↓ 67'
F
7
P. Agyemang
F
Substitutes
12
R. O'Donnell
G
3
C. Forsyth
D
4
D. Batth
D
11
C. Blackett-Taylor
↑ 67'
F
14
A. Weimann
↑ 73'
F
15
L. Salvesen
↑ 67'
F
19
K. Jackson
↑ 89' 🟨 90+6'
F
27
L. Travis
↑ 89'
M
35
C. Nelson
D
Last matches: Leicester
01.08.26
Fri
Leicester
Genoa
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Malaga
3
3
D
22.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Cadiz
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Burton Albion
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Bristol Rovers
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Northampton
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Leicester
Blackburn
1
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Millwall
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Hull City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Portsmouth
0
1
L
11.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Swansea
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Preston
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Watford
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Leicester
QPR
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Bristol City
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Ipswich
1
1
D
28.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Norwich
0
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Stoke City
2
2
D
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
H2H: Leicester vs Derby
29.12.25
H2H
Leicester
Derby
2
1
W
06.12.25
H2H
Derby
Leicester
1
3
W
23.07.22
H2H
Derby
Leicester
1
3
W
08.02.17
H2H
Leicester
Derby
3
1
W
27.01.17
H2H
Derby
Leicester
2
2
D
10.01.14
H2H
Leicester
Derby
4
1
W
24.09.13
H2H
Leicester
Derby
2
1
W
17.08.13
H2H
Derby
Leicester
0
1
W
16.03.13
H2H
Derby
Leicester
2
1
L
01.12.12
H2H
Leicester
Derby
4
1
W
23.02.12
H2H
Derby
Leicester
0
1
W
01.10.11
H2H
Leicester
Derby
4
0
W
Last matches: Leicester
01.08.26
Fri
Leicester
Genoa
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Northampton
3
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Millwall
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Hull City
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Swansea
0
1
L
03.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Preston
2
2
D
14.03.26
Cha
Leicester
QPR
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Bristol City
2
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Norwich
0
2
L
10.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Southampton
3
4
L
31.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Charlton
0
2
L
24.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Oxford United
1
2
L
05.01.26
Cha
Leicester
West Brom
2
1
W
26.12.25
Cha
Leicester
Watford
1
2
L
13.12.25
Cha
Leicester
Ipswich
3
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Utd
2
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Stoke City
2
1
W
04.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Blackburn
0
2
L
18.10.25
Cha
Leicester
Portsmouth
1
1
D
H2H at home: Leicester
29.12.25
H2H
Leicester
Derby
2
1
W
08.02.17
H2H
Leicester
Derby
3
1
W
10.01.14
H2H
Leicester
Derby
4
1
W
24.09.13
H2H
Leicester
Derby
2
1
W
01.12.12
H2H
Leicester
Derby
4
1
W
01.10.11
H2H
Leicester
Derby
4
0
W
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
H2H away: Derby
29.12.25
H2H
Leicester
Derby
2
1
L
08.02.17
H2H
Leicester
Derby
3
1
L
10.01.14
H2H
Leicester
Derby
4
1
L
24.09.13
H2H
Leicester
Derby
2
1
L
01.12.12
H2H
Leicester
Derby
4
1
L
01.10.11
H2H
Leicester
Derby
4
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester Home
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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