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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
29.12.2025 19:45
Leicester
FT
2 - 1
Derby
King Power Stadium
Referee: Gavin Ward, England
Leicester
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
B. De Cordova-Reid · Assist: I. Fatawu
Leicester
⚽
9'
R. Brewster · Assist: C. Elder
Derby
⚽
41'
J. James · Assist: L. Thomas
Leicester
🔄
51'
H. Choudhury ↔ R. Pereira
Leicester
🔄
65'
J. Ayew ↔ S. Thomas
Leicester
🔄
65'
B. De Cordova-Reid ↔ A. Ramsey
Leicester
🔄
67'
R. Brewster ↔ C. Blackett-Taylor
Derby
🔄
67'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby
🔄
69'
↔ L. Page
Leicester
🔄
69'
I. Fatawu ↔ J. Monga
Leicester
🔄
73'
B. Clark ↔ A. Weimann
Derby
🟨
83'
Jordan James
Leicester
🔄
89'
C. Elder ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🔄
89'
E. Adams ↔ L. Travis
Derby
🟨
90+6'
Kayden Jackson
Derby
🟨
90+6'
Liam Thompson
Derby

Leicester vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Leicester Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leicester1.37
Derby1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leicester Leicester
WWDLW
32 GF / 33 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
32 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
17
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
11
3.87
Shots on Goal
3.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leicester Leicester 23 matches
Derby Derby 23 matches
Leicester Statistic Derby
8 Wins 8
7 Draws 8
8 Losses 7
32 Goals For 32
33 Goals Against 31
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
17 BTTS Yes 17
20 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
3.87 Shots On Goal 3.22
12.04 Total Shots 9.48
5.17 Corners 4.91
53.1% Ball Possession 41.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Leicester won 10 times, Derby won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:11 from Leicester's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.42 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Leicester 4-2-3-1 / Derby 4-4-2
H2H summary: Leicester wins 10, draws 1, Derby wins 1

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester Home
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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