POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
13.09.2026 15:30
Stadion Wojska Polskiego

Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.5%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Legia Warszawa Win 69.5%
Draw 4.5%
Widzew Łódź Win 26%
Expected Goals (xG)
Legia Warszawa1.62
Widzew Łódź1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
WWDLW
39 GF / 20 GA
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
WLDWL
29 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
1.81
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
13
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
8
5.29
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 20 matches
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 16 matches
Legia Warszawa Statistic Widzew Łódź
12 Wins 7
7 Draws 7
1 Losses 2
39 Goals For 29
20 Goals Against 18
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.81
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
13 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 8
9 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 3
5.29 Shots On Goal 4.29
16.14 Total Shots 15.43
4.71 Corners 5.57
52% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Legia Warszawa's more proactive style and Widzew Łódź's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Legia Warszawa expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Widzew Łódź in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Widzew Łódź having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Widzew Łódź. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Legia Warszawa arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 12 points compared to Widzew Łódź in 13 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Legia Warszawa Analysis

Placed 2 with 12 points from 6 outings, Legia Warszawa continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, while the 12:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ł. Zjawiński (3 goals), R. Augustyniak (2 goals), B. Kapustka (2 goals), with creative support from Paweł Wszołek (4 assists), Rúben Vinagre (2 assists), R. Augustyniak (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Widzew Łódź Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Widzew Łódź have collected 7 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:10 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Fran Álvarez (2 goals), Mario García (1 goals), K. Świderski (1 goals), with creative support from Mario García (2 assists), K. Świderski (1 assists), M. Fornalczyk (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Legia Warszawa won 8 times, Widzew Łódź won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:13 from Legia Warszawa's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Legia Warszawa 3-1-4-2 / Widzew Łódź 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Legia Warszawa wins 8, draws 2, Widzew Łódź wins 2

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 11:4 7 16
W W W W W
2 7 4 3 0 15:6 9 15
W D D W D
3 6 5 0 1 12:7 5 15
W W L W W
4 6 4 0 2 11:8 3 12
W L W L W
5 7 3 2 2 13:11 2 11
D W D L W
6 7 3 1 3 13:13 0 10
W W D L L
7 6 3 0 3 12:9 3 9
L W W L W
8 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W D W D
9 5 2 2 1 7:4 3 8
D D W W L
10 5 2 2 1 5:4 1 8
D D W L W
11 7 2 2 3 6:8 -2 8
L L W W D
12 7 2 2 3 6:13 -7 8
D W D L L
13 7 1 4 2 10:10 0 7
D L D L W
14 7 1 3 3 9:11 -2 6
L D D L D
15 7 1 2 4 8:13 -5 5
L L D W L
16 5 1 1 3 3:10 -7 4
L L L D W
17 5 1 0 4 8:12 -4 3
L L W L L
18 6 0 0 6 6:14 -8 0
L L L L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation