ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
23.11.2025 14:00
Elland Road
Referee: R. Jones
Leeds
Match Timeline
Aston Villa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
L. Nmecha
Leeds
🔄
23'
A. Stach ↔ A. Tanaka
Leeds
🟨
41'
Jayden Bogle
Leeds
🟨
45+3'
Ao Tanaka
Leeds
🔄
46'
E. Buendia ↔ D. Malen
Aston Villa
🔄
46'
L. Digne ↔ I. Maatsen
Aston Villa
⚽
48'
M. Rogers · Assist: D. Malen
Aston Villa
🟨
53'
John McGinn
Aston Villa
🟨
63'
Ethan Ampadu
Leeds
🔄
68'
J. McGinn ↔ R. Barkley
Aston Villa
🔄
68'
O. Watkins ↔ J. Sancho
Aston Villa
🔄
71'
L. Nmecha ↔ D. James
Leeds
🔄
71'
↔ D. Calvert-Lewin
Leeds
🟨
74'
Pascal Struijk
Leeds
⚽
75'
M. Rogers
Aston Villa
VAR
78'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Leeds
🔄
80'
B. Aaronson ↔ J. Piroe
Leeds
🔄
80'
N. Okafor ↔ W. Gnonto
Leeds
🔄
84'
Y. Tielemans ↔ L. Bogarde
Aston Villa
🟨
89'
Wilfried Gnonto
Leeds

Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Leeds Win 0%
Draw 0%
Aston Villa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leeds0.87
Aston Villa1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leeds Leeds
WWDLW
10 GF / 20 GA
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WLDWL
19 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
5
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
6
3.45
Shots on Goal
4.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leeds Leeds 11 matches
Aston Villa Aston Villa 15 matches
Leeds Statistic Aston Villa
3 Wins 8
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 4
10 Goals For 19
20 Goals Against 12
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
5 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 5
3.45 Shots On Goal 4.07
12 Total Shots 11.27
4.27 Corners 5.4
48.3% Ball Possession 55.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leeds won 3 times, Aston Villa won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:19 from Leeds's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Leeds 4-3-3 / Aston Villa 4-4-2
H2H summary: Leeds wins 3, draws 6, Aston Villa wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14
Leeds Home
38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship