Leeds
Match Timeline
Aston Villa
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Leeds Win 0%
Draw 0%
Aston Villa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leeds0.87
Aston Villa1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leeds
WWDLW
10 GF / 20 GA
Aston Villa
WLDWL
19 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
5
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
6
3.45
Shots on Goal
4.07
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leeds
11 matches
Aston Villa
15 matches
| Leeds | Statistic | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 8 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 6 | Losses | 4 |
| 10 | Goals For | 19 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.8 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.45 | Shots On Goal | 4.07 |
| 12 | Total Shots | 11.27 |
| 4.27 | Corners | 5.4 |
| 48.3% | Ball Possession | 55.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leeds won 3 times, Aston Villa won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:19 from Leeds's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Leeds 4-3-3 / Aston Villa 4-4-2
H2H summary: Leeds wins 3, draws 6, Aston Villa wins 6
Stats
Leeds
Aston Villa
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
7
7
Blocked Shots
4
4
Blocked Shots
4
4
Lineups
Leeds
Formation
Aston Villa
Lucas Perri
J. Bogle
J. Rodon
P. Struijk
G. Gudmundsson
S. Longstaff
E. Ampadu
A. Stach
B. Aaronson
L. Nmecha
N. Okafor
E. Martinez
M. Cash
E. Konsa
P. Torres
L. Digne
J. McGinn
B. Kamara
Y. Tielemans
E. Buendia
M. Rogers
O. Watkins
Leeds
4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Lucas Perri
G
2
J. Bogle
D
🟨 41'
6
J. Rodon
D
5
P. Struijk
D
🟨 74'
3
G. Gudmundsson
D
8
S. Longstaff
M
4
E. Ampadu
M
🟨 63'
18
A. Stach
M
↓ 23'
11
B. Aaronson
F
↓ 80'
14
L. Nmecha
F
⚽ 8'
↓ 71'
19
N. Okafor
F
↓ 80'
Substitutes
26
K. Darlow
G
7
D. James
M
↑ 71'
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
F
↑ 71'
24
J. Justin
D
15
J. Bijol
D
10
J. Piroe
F
↑ 80'
44
I. Gruev
M
22
A. Tanaka
M
↑ 23'
🟨 45+3'
29
W. Gnonto
F
↑ 80'
🟨 89'
Aston Villa
4-4-2
Starting XI
23
E. Martinez
G
2
M. Cash
D
4
E. Konsa
D
14
P. Torres
D
12
L. Digne
D
↓ 46'
7
J. McGinn
M
↓ 68'
🟨 53'
44
B. Kamara
M
8
Y. Tielemans
M
↓ 84'
10
E. Buendia
M
↓ 46'
27
M. Rogers
F
⚽ 48'
⚽ 75'
11
O. Watkins
F
↓ 68'
Substitutes
40
M. Bizot
G
6
R. Barkley
M
↑ 68'
3
V. Lindelof
D
17
D. Malen
F
🎯 48'
↑ 46'
22
I. Maatsen
D
↑ 46'
26
L. Bogarde
M
↑ 84'
19
J. Sancho
F
↑ 68'
29
E. Guessand
F
53
G. Hemmings
M
Last matches: Leeds
15.08.26
Fri
Leeds
FC Augsburg
4
0
W
12.08.26
Fri
Leeds
Manchester United
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Leeds
RB Leipzig
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
W
26.04.26
FA
Leeds
Chelsea
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
2
1
W
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
08.03.26
FA
Leeds
Norwich
3
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
Last matches: Aston Villa
15.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
2
L
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
H2H: Leeds vs Aston Villa
21.02.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
23.11.25
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
2
L
13.01.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
2
1
L
02.10.22
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
0
0
D
17.07.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
0
L
10.03.22
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
0
3
L
09.02.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
3
3
D
27.02.21
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
0
1
L
23.10.20
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
0
3
W
28.04.19
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
23.12.18
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
2
3
W
13.04.18
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
0
L
01.12.17
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
29.12.16
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
03.12.16
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
2
0
W
Last matches: Leeds
15.08.26
Fri
Leeds
FC Augsburg
4
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Leeds
RB Leipzig
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
1
0
W
01.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
0
0
D
08.03.26
FA
Leeds
Norwich
3
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
0
1
L
06.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Arsenal
0
4
L
17.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Fulham
1
0
W
04.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
4
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Liverpool
3
3
D
03.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
3
1
W
24.10.25
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
2
1
W
04.10.25
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
2
L
27.09.25
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
30.08.25
Pre
Leeds
Newcastle
0
0
D
H2H at home: Leeds
23.11.25
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
2
L
02.10.22
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
0
0
D
10.03.22
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
0
3
L
27.02.21
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
0
1
L
28.04.19
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
01.12.17
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
03.12.16
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
2
0
W
Last matches: Aston Villa
15.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
2
L
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
1
3
L
12.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Newcastle
2
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe
1
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Aston Villa
Tottenham
2
1
W
H2H away: Aston Villa
23.11.25
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
2
W
02.10.22
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
0
0
D
10.03.22
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
0
3
W
27.02.21
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
0
1
W
28.04.19
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
01.12.17
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
03.12.16
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
2
0
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Aston Villa
Away
|
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Leeds
Home
|
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship