Leeds
Match Timeline
Arsenal
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Leeds Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arsenal Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leeds1.13
Arsenal1.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leeds
WWDLW
34 GF / 39 GA
Arsenal
WLDWL
69 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
2.16
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
0.69
16
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
18
4.42
Shots on Goal
5.63
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leeds
24 matches
Arsenal
32 matches
| Leeds | Statistic | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 24 |
| 8 | Draws | 5 |
| 9 | Losses | 3 |
| 34 | Goals For | 69 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.16 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.69 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.42 | Shots On Goal | 5.63 |
| 13.25 | Total Shots | 15.41 |
| 4.58 | Corners | 5.88 |
| 46.3% | Ball Possession | 57.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Leeds won 0 times, Arsenal won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:27 from Leeds's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Leeds 3-4-2-1 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leeds wins 0, draws 1, Arsenal wins 9
Stats
Leeds
Arsenal
Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots on Goal
8
8
Shots off Goal
1
1
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
1
1
Blocked Shots
2
2
Lineups
Leeds
Formation
Arsenal
K. Darlow
J. Justin
J. Rodon
P. Struijk
J. Bogle
E. Ampadu
I. Gruev
G. Gudmundsson
A. Stach
B. Aaronson
D. Calvert-Lewin
D. Raya
J. Timber
W. Saliba
Gabriel
P. Hincapie
M. Zubimendi
D. Rice
N. Madueke
K. Havertz
L. Trossard
V. Gyökeres
Leeds
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
26
K. Darlow
G
24
J. Justin
D
↓ 46'
6
J. Rodon
D
5
P. Struijk
D
2
J. Bogle
M
4
E. Ampadu
M
44
I. Gruev
M
↓ 46'
3
G. Gudmundsson
M
🟨 37'
18
A. Stach
F
↓ 81'
11
B. Aaronson
F
↓ 71'
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
F
↓ 85'
Substitutes
1
Lucas Perri
G
23
S. Bornauw
D
19
N. Okafor
F
↑ 46'
25
S. Byram
D
8
S. Longstaff
M
↑ 46'
10
J. Piroe
F
↑ 85'
22
A. Tanaka
M
29
W. Gnonto
F
↑ 81'
40
F. Buonanotte
M
↑ 71'
Arsenal
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
D. Raya
G
12
J. Timber
D
🟨 59'
2
W. Saliba
D
6
Gabriel
D
5
P. Hincapie
D
↓ 75'
36
M. Zubimendi
M
⚽ 27'
41
D. Rice
M
20
N. Madueke
M
⚽ 38'
🎯 27'
↓ 61'
29
K. Havertz
M
↓ 61'
19
L. Trossard
M
↓ 81'
14
V. Gyökeres
F
⚽ 69'
↓ 76'
Substitutes
13
K. Arrizabalaga
G
8
M. Odegaard
M
🎯 86'
↑ 61'
9
Gabriel Jesus
F
⚽ 86'
↑ 76'
4
B. White
D
11
G. Martinelli
F
🎯 69'
↑ 61'
3
C. Mosquera
D
16
C. Norgaard
M
10
E. Eze
M
↑ 81'
33
R. Calafiori
D
↑ 75'
Last matches: Leeds
12.08.26
Fri
Leeds
Manchester United
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Leeds
RB Leipzig
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
W
26.04.26
FA
Leeds
Chelsea
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
2
1
W
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
08.03.26
FA
Leeds
Norwich
3
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
06.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
Last matches: Arsenal
12.08.26
Fri
Arsenal
Como
1
1
D
05.08.26
Fri
Arsenal
Real Betis
1
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Arsenal
Girona
4
1
W
30.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
18.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Burnley
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
West Ham
1
0
W
05.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Fulham
3
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Newcastle
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Manchester City
1
2
L
15.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Bournemouth
1
2
L
07.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
1
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Arsenal
Southampton
1
2
L
17.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Everton
2
0
W
11.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Arsenal
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
H2H: Leeds vs Arsenal
31.01.26
H2H
Leeds
Arsenal
0
4
L
23.08.25
H2H
Arsenal
Leeds
5
0
L
01.04.23
H2H
Arsenal
Leeds
4
1
L
16.10.22
H2H
Leeds
Arsenal
0
1
L
08.05.22
H2H
Arsenal
Leeds
2
1
L
18.12.21
H2H
Leeds
Arsenal
1
4
L
26.10.21
H2H
Arsenal
Leeds
2
0
L
14.02.21
H2H
Arsenal
Leeds
4
2
L
22.11.20
H2H
Leeds
Arsenal
0
0
D
06.01.20
H2H
Arsenal
Leeds
1
0
L
Last matches: Leeds
08.08.26
Fri
Leeds
RB Leipzig
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
1
0
W
01.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
0
0
D
08.03.26
FA
Leeds
Norwich
3
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
0
1
L
06.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
17.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Fulham
1
0
W
04.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
4
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Liverpool
3
3
D
03.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
3
1
W
23.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
2
L
24.10.25
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
2
1
W
04.10.25
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
2
L
27.09.25
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
30.08.25
Pre
Leeds
Newcastle
0
0
D
18.08.25
Pre
Leeds
Everton
1
0
W
H2H at home: Leeds
31.01.26
H2H
Leeds
Arsenal
0
4
L
16.10.22
H2H
Leeds
Arsenal
0
1
L
18.12.21
H2H
Leeds
Arsenal
1
4
L
22.11.20
H2H
Leeds
Arsenal
0
0
D
Last matches: Arsenal
01.08.26
Fri
Arsenal
Girona
4
1
W
30.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
West Ham
1
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Manchester City
1
2
L
07.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
1
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Arsenal
Southampton
1
2
L
11.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Arsenal
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Brighton
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Tottenham
4
1
W
18.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Wolves
2
2
D
12.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Brentford
1
1
D
20.01.26
UEF
Arsenal
Inter
3
1
W
17.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
11.01.26
FA
Arsenal
Portsmouth
4
1
W
03.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Bournemouth
3
2
W
20.12.25
Pre
Arsenal
Everton
1
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Arsenal
Club Brugge KV
3
0
W
H2H away: Arsenal
31.01.26
H2H
Leeds
Arsenal
0
4
W
16.10.22
H2H
Leeds
Arsenal
0
1
W
18.12.21
H2H
Leeds
Arsenal
1
4
W
22.11.20
H2H
Leeds
Arsenal
0
0
D
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
Away
|
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Leeds
Home
|
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship