ITALY SERIE A
11.01.2026 11:30
Stadio Via del Mare
Referee: Livio Marinelli, Italy
Lecce
Match Timeline
Parma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
N. Stulic · Assist: L. Banda
Lecce
🟨
23'
Santiago Pierotti
Lecce
🔄
54'
S. Pierotti ↔ K. Ndri
Lecce
🟨
55'
Ylber Ramadani
Lecce
VAR
56'
Lameck Banda
Lecce
🟥
57'
Lameck Banda
Lecce
🟨
62'
Mohamed Kaba
Lecce
🔄
63'
M. Keita ↔ N. Estevez
Parma
64'
Tiago Gabriel
Parma
🔄
65'
N. Stulic ↔ A. Gallo
Lecce
🟨
69'
Enrico Del Prato
Parma
72'
M. Pellegrino · Assist: A. Bernabe
Parma
🔄
77'
C. Ndaba ↔ R. Sottil
Lecce
🔄
78'
Y. Maleh ↔ O. Gandelman
Lecce
🔄
78'
Y. Ramadani ↔ L. Coulibaly
Lecce
🔄
80'
J. Ondrejka ↔ A. Benedyczak
Parma
🔄
80'
A. Bernabe ↔ C. Ordonez
Parma
🔄
84'
G. Oristanio ↔ S. Britschgi
Parma
🟥
90+2'
Kialonda Gaspar
Lecce

Lecce vs Parma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Lecce Win 0%
Draw 0%
Parma Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lecce0.9
Parma1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lecce Lecce
WWDLW
14 GF / 28 GA
Parma Parma
WLDWL
17 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
0.81
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
6
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
7
2.6
Shots on Goal
3.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lecce Lecce 20 matches
Parma Parma 21 matches
Lecce Statistic Parma
5 Wins 5
5 Draws 7
10 Losses 9
14 Goals For 17
28 Goals Against 25
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
6 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 9
2.6 Shots On Goal 3.43
9.3 Total Shots 11.52
4.75 Corners 3.38
42.8% Ball Possession 42.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lecce won 5 times, Parma won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:23 from Lecce's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Lecce 4-2-3-1 / Parma 4-3-3
H2H summary: Lecce wins 5, draws 4, Parma wins 6

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13
Parma Away
38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17
Lecce Home
38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B