ITALY › SERIE A

13.09.2026 13:00

Lecce

3 - 2

Monza

Via del Mare

Referee: Valerio Crezzini, Italy

Lecce

Match Timeline

Monza

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Lecce vs Monza Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 91.8%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 71%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	91.8%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	71%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Lecce Win 43.2%

Draw 8.2%

Monza Win 48.5%

Expected Goals (xG)

Lecce1.49

Monza1.73

Recent Form (Last 5)

Lecce

WWDLW

11 GF / 12 GA

Monza

WLDWL

18 GF / 17 GA

Key Stats

1.22

Average Goals Scored

1.33

Average Goals Conceded

1.89

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

3.75

Shots on Goal

5.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lecce 9 matches

Monza 9 matches

Lecce	Statistic	Monza
4	Wins	4
1	Draws	2
4	Losses	3
11	Goals For	18
12	Goals Against	17
1.22	Avg Goals Scored	2
1.33	Avg Goals Conceded	1.89
2	BTTS Yes	6
5	Over 1.5	8
3	Over 2.5	6
3	Over 3.5	5
3	Clean Sheets	3
4	Failed To Score	0
3.75	Shots On Goal	5.2
11.75	Total Shots	15.8
4.5	Corners	4.4
44.5%	Ball Possession	47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Lecce won 4 times, Monza won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:5 from Lecce's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)

Predicted formations: Lecce 4-3-3 / Monza 3-4-2-1

Missing players: Lecce 2, Monza 5

H2H summary: Lecce wins 4, draws 5, Monza wins 1

Standings

Serie A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Inter	6	5	1	0	18:8	10	16	W D W W W
2	Lazio	6	5	1	0	11:4	7	16	W W D W W
3	AS Roma	6	4	2	0	14:3	11	14	D D W W W
4	Cagliari	6	4	1	1	6:3	3	13	D W W W L
5	AC Milan	6	3	3	0	11:5	6	12	D W D D W
6	Juventus	6	3	2	1	9:5	4	11	D W L D W
7	Como	6	3	2	1	9:6	3	11	D L W W W
8	Napoli	6	3	1	2	10:6	4	10	W D W L L
9	Frosinone	6	3	1	2	9:7	2	10	L W D W W
10	Atalanta	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9	W L L L W
11	Sassuolo	6	2	2	2	10:10	0	8	D L W D W
12	Torino	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7	W D L W L
13	Lecce Home	6	2	0	4	6:12	-6	6	L L W L L
14	Bologna	6	1	2	3	5:7	-2	5	W D L D L
15	Udinese	6	1	1	4	9:13	-4	4	L L L L W
16	Monza Away	6	1	1	4	9:15	-6	4	L W L D L
17	Genoa	6	1	1	4	5:11	-6	4	W L D L L
18	Parma	6	1	1	4	4:10	-6	4	L W L D L
19	Fiorentina	6	1	1	4	7:14	-7	4	L D W L L
20	Venezia	6	0	0	6	5:16	-11	0	L L L L L

Champions League league stage

Europa League league stage

Play-offs

Relegation