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25.10.2026 17:00
Stadio Via del Mare
Referee: Fabio Maresca
Lecce
Match Timeline
Juventus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
29'
W. McKennie · Assist: Douglas Luiz
Juventus
⚽
41'
Douglas Luiz · Assist: F. Gatti
Juventus
🔄
46'
M. Kaba ↔ J. Siebert
Lecce
🔄
46'
A. Fatah ↔ J. Monteiro
Lecce
🔄
60'
Tiago Gabriel ↔ C. Ndaba
Lecce
🔄
68'
A. Cambiaso ↔ J. Cabal
Juventus
🔄
68'
R. Kolo Muani ↔ J. Boga
Juventus
🔄
71'
W. Geubbels ↔ P. Esteban
Lecce
🟨
76'
Kialonda Gaspar
Lecce
🔄
83'
Douglas Luiz ↔ P. M. Sarr
Juventus
🔄
86'
K. Ndri ↔ N. Stulic
Lecce
🟥
90+4'
Kialonda Gaspar
Lecce
🔄
90'
W. McKennie ↔ K. Alajbegovic
Juventus

Lecce vs Juventus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Lecce Win 37.5%
Draw 13%
Juventus Win 49.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lecce1.16
Juventus1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lecce Lecce
W L L W L
7 GF / 8 GA
Juventus Juventus
D L W D L
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
4
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
6
4.63
Shots on Goal
5.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lecce Lecce 13 matches
Juventus Juventus 17 matches
Lecce Statistic Juventus
6 Wins 9
1 Draws 4
6 Losses 4
18 Goals For 25
19 Goals Against 14
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
4 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 3
4.63 Shots On Goal 5.8
12 Total Shots 16.6
4.88 Corners 7.1
42.3% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Juventus's more proactive style and Lecce's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lecce have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lecce expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Juventus in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventus having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Juventus. Juventus carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 11 points while Lecce sit 13 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Lecce Analysis

Lecce approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 6 points from 6 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 6:12, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through L. Coulibaly (2 goals), Tiago Gabriel (2 goals), A. Ahmed Fatah (1 goals), with creative support from Danilo Veiga (2 assists), I. Ilić (2 assists), L. Coulibaly (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Juventus Analysis

So far, Juventus have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 11 points from 6 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 9:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Zhegrova (2 goals), Bremer (2 goals), R. Kolo Muani (1 goals), with creative support from E. Zhegrova (1 assists), R. Kolo Muani (1 assists), Francisco Conceição (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Lecce won 1 times, Juventus won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:23 from Lecce's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.21 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
Predicted formations: Lecce 4-3-3 / Juventus 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Lecce 4, Juventus 9
H2H summary: Lecce wins 1, draws 4, Juventus wins 9

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 24:8 16 28
W W W W W
2 10 8 1 1 26:13 13 25
L W W W W
3 10 7 3 0 28:10 18 24
W W D W D
4 10 7 2 1 18:8 10 23
W W W W D
5 10 6 3 1 21:12 9 21
W L W W D
6 10 6 2 2 24:14 10 20
W W D W L
7 10 5 2 3 13:10 3 17
W L W L D
8 10 4 2 4 17:13 4 14
L W D L W
9 10 4 2 4 14:13 1 14
W W W L W
10 10 4 1 5 14:16 -2 13
L L W W W
11 10 4 1 5 10:14 -4 13
W W W L W
12 10 4 1 5 9:15 -6 13
L L L L D
13 10 3 2 5 16:20 -4 11
L D D L W
14
Lecce Home
10 3 0 7 11:21 -10 9
L L L W L
15 10 2 2 6 8:15 -7 8
W D L L L
16 10 2 2 6 15:23 -8 8
W D L L L
17 10 2 2 6 16:26 -10 8
L L L L D
18 10 2 1 7 17:24 -7 7
L L L W L
19 10 1 2 7 11:23 -12 5
L D L L L
20 10 1 0 9 6:20 -14 3
L L L W L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation