ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Via del Mare
Referee: A. Colombo
Lecce
Match Timeline
Juventus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
D. Vlahovic · Assist: A. Cambiaso
Juventus
VAR
49'
Dušan Vlahović
Juventus
VAR
61'
Pierre Kalulu
Juventus
🔄
62'
O. Ngom ↔ G. Jean
Lecce
🔄
70'
D. Veiga ↔ T. J. Helgason
Lecce
🔄
76'
W. Cheddira ↔ F. Camarda
Lecce
🔄
76'
L. Banda ↔ K. Ndri
Lecce
🔄
77'
D. Vlahovic ↔ E. Holm
Juventus
🟨
80'
Francisco Conceição
Juventus
🟨
82'
Gaby Jean
Lecce
🔄
83'
A. Cambiaso ↔ J. David
Juventus
🔄
83'
K. Yildiz ↔ J. Boga
Juventus
🔄
83'
F. Conceicao ↔ E. Zhegrova
Juventus
🔄
86'
W. McKennie ↔ F. Gatti
Juventus

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lecce Win 25.6%
Draw 10.4%
Juventus Win 64%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lecce0.84
Juventus1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lecce Lecce
WWDLW
26 GF / 50 GA
Juventus Juventus
WLDWL
79 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
13
BTTS Yes
22
14
Over 2.5
20
2.38
Shots on Goal
5.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lecce Lecce 37 matches
Juventus Juventus 47 matches
Lecce Statistic Juventus
9 Wins 23
8 Draws 15
20 Losses 9
26 Goals For 79
50 Goals Against 50
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
13 BTTS Yes 22
24 Over 1.5 36
14 Over 2.5 20
4 Over 3.5 13
10 Clean Sheets 19
19 Failed To Score 10
2.38 Shots On Goal 5.83
9.57 Total Shots 16.34
4.27 Corners 5.53
41.8% Ball Possession 55.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Juventus's more proactive style and Lecce's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Juventus. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Juventus carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 65 points while Lecce sit 17 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lecce expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Juventus in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventus having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Lecce Analysis

Lecce sit 17 with 32 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 24:47, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Lameck Banda (4 goals), Lassana Coulibaly (3 goals), Nikola Štulić (3 goals), with creative support from Antonino Gallo (4 assists), Lameck Banda (3 assists), M. Berisha (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Juventus Analysis

Juventus come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 65 points after 35 matches. The return of 18 wins, 11 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 58:30, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through K. Yildiz (10 goals), J. David (6 goals), Andrea Cambiaso (5 goals), with creative support from K. Yildiz (6 assists), Weston McKennie (5 assists), J. David (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Lecce won 1 times, Juventus won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:23 from Lecce's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.21 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.6%)
Predicted formations: Lecce 4-2-3-1 / Juventus 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Lecce 4, Juventus 2
H2H summary: Lecce wins 1, draws 4, Juventus wins 9
Stats
Lecce Lecce
Juventus Juventus
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
2
1 Corner Kicks 7
7 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 6
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 7
0 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 14
2 Shots outsidebox 1
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
270 Total passes 500
197 Passes accurate 431
0.88 expected_goals 2.29
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lecce
Formation
Juventus
W. Falcone
W. Falcone
D. Veiga
D. Veiga
J. Siebert
J. Siebert
Tiago Gabriel
Tiago Gabriel
A. Gallo
A. Gallo
Y. Ramadani
Y. Ramadani
O. Ngom
O. Ngom
S. Pierotti
S. Pierotti
L. Coulibaly
L. Coulibaly
L. Banda
L. Banda
W. Cheddira
W. Cheddira
M. Di Gregorio
M. Di Gregorio
P. Kalulu
P. Kalulu
Bremer
Bremer
L. Kelly
L. Kelly
A. Cambiaso
🎯
A. Cambiaso
M. Locatelli
M. Locatelli
T. Koopmeiners
T. Koopmeiners
F. Conceicao
F. Conceicao
W. McKennie
W. McKennie
K. Yildiz
K. Yildiz
D. Vlahovic
D. Vlahovic
Lecce 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
W. Falcone
G
17
D. Veiga
↓ 70'
D
5
J. Siebert
D
44
Tiago Gabriel
D
25
A. Gallo
D
20
Y. Ramadani
M
79
O. Ngom
↓ 62'
M
50
S. Pierotti
M
29
L. Coulibaly
M
19
L. Banda
↓ 76'
M
99
W. Cheddira
↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
1
C. Fruchtl
G
32
J. Samooja
G
14
T. J. Helgason
↑ 70'
M
36
F. Marchwinski
M
16
O. Gandelman
M
6
A. Sala
M
28
O. Gorter
M
22
F. Camarda
↑ 76'
F
3
C. Ndaba
D
11
K. Ndri
↑ 76'
F
18
G. Jean
↑ 62' 🟨 82'
D
9
N. Stulic
F
80
N. Kovac
M
13
M. Perez
D
Juventus 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
M. Di Gregorio
G
15
P. Kalulu
D
3
Bremer
D
6
L. Kelly
D
27
A. Cambiaso
🎯 1' ↓ 83'
D
5
M. Locatelli
M
8
T. Koopmeiners
M
7
F. Conceicao
↓ 83' 🟨 80'
M
22
W. McKennie
↓ 86'
M
10
K. Yildiz
↓ 83'
M
9
D. Vlahovic
⚽ 1' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Perin
G
23
C. Pinsoglio
G
30
J. David
↑ 83'
F
4
F. Gatti
↑ 86'
D
21
F. Miretti
M
17
V. Adzic
M
18
F. Kostic
M
13
J. Boga
↑ 83'
F
20
L. Openda
F
19
K. Thuram
M
11
E. Zhegrova
↑ 83'
F
2
E. Holm
↑ 77'
D
Last matches: Lecce
25.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Istra 1961
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
Lecce
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0
1
L
19.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Szombathelyi Haladas
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Genoa
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Sassuolo
3
2
W
01.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Pisa
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
20.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Bologna
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Atalanta
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Lecce
AS Roma
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Napoli
1
2
L
08.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Cremonese
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Como
1
3
L
21.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Inter
0
2
L
16.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Cagliari
2
0
W
08.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Udinese
2
1
W
01.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Torino
0
1
L
24.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Lazio
0
0
D
18.01.26
Ser
Lecce
AC Milan
0
1
L
Last matches: Juventus
18.07.26
Fri
Juventus
FC Basel 1893
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Juventus
Torino
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
Juventus
Fiorentina
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Juventus
Hellas Verona
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventus
AC Milan
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Juventus
Bologna
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventus
Atalanta
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Juventus
Genoa
2
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Juventus
Sassuolo
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ser
Juventus
Udinese
1
0
W
07.03.26
Ser
Juventus
Pisa
4
0
W
01.03.26
Ser
Juventus
AS Roma
3
3
D
25.02.26
UEF
Juventus
Galatasaray
3
2
W
21.02.26
Ser
Juventus
Como
0
2
L
17.02.26
UEF
Juventus
Galatasaray
2
5
L
14.02.26
Ser
Juventus
Inter
2
3
L
08.02.26
Ser
Juventus
Lazio
2
2
D
05.02.26
Cop
Juventus
Atalanta
0
3
L
01.02.26
Ser
Juventus
Parma
4
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Juventus
Monaco
0
0
D
H2H: Lecce vs Juventus
09.05.26
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
L
03.01.26
H2H
Juventus
Lecce
1
1
D
12.04.25
H2H
Juventus
Lecce
2
1
L
01.12.24
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
1
1
D
21.01.24
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
0
3
L
26.09.23
H2H
Juventus
Lecce
1
0
L
03.05.23
H2H
Juventus
Lecce
2
1
L
29.10.22
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
L
26.06.20
H2H
Juventus
Lecce
4
0
L
26.10.19
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
1
1
D
02.05.12
H2H
Juventus
Lecce
1
1
D
08.01.12
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
L
20.02.11
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
2
0
W
17.10.10
H2H
Juventus
Lecce
4
0
L
Last matches: Lecce
25.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Istra 1961
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
Lecce
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Genoa
1
0
W
20.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Atalanta
0
3
L
08.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Cremonese
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Inter
0
2
L
08.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Udinese
2
1
W
24.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Lazio
0
0
D
11.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Parma
1
2
L
06.01.26
Ser
Lecce
AS Roma
0
2
L
27.12.25
Ser
Lecce
Como
0
3
L
12.12.25
Ser
Lecce
Pisa
1
0
W
30.11.25
Ser
Lecce
Torino
2
1
W
08.11.25
Ser
Lecce
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
28.10.25
Ser
Lecce
Napoli
0
1
L
18.10.25
Ser
Lecce
Sassuolo
0
0
D
28.09.25
Ser
Lecce
Bologna
2
2
D
19.09.25
Ser
Lecce
Cagliari
1
2
L
29.08.25
Ser
Lecce
AC Milan
0
2
L
H2H at home: Lecce
09.05.26
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
L
01.12.24
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
1
1
D
21.01.24
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
0
3
L
29.10.22
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
L
26.10.19
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
1
1
D
08.01.12
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
L
20.02.11
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
2
0
W
Last matches: Juventus
18.07.26
Fri
Juventus
FC Basel 1893
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Juventus
Torino
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventus
AC Milan
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Juventus
Atalanta
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Juventus
Udinese
1
0
W
01.03.26
Ser
Juventus
AS Roma
3
3
D
17.02.26
UEF
Juventus
Galatasaray
2
5
L
14.02.26
Ser
Juventus
Inter
2
3
L
05.02.26
Cop
Juventus
Atalanta
0
3
L
01.02.26
Ser
Juventus
Parma
4
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Juventus
Monaco
0
0
D
17.01.26
Ser
Juventus
Cagliari
0
1
L
06.01.26
Ser
Juventus
Sassuolo
3
0
W
27.12.25
Ser
Juventus
Pisa
2
0
W
14.12.25
Ser
Juventus
Bologna
1
0
W
07.12.25
Ser
Juventus
Napoli
1
2
L
25.11.25
UEF
Juventus
Bodo/Glimt
3
2
W
22.11.25
Ser
Juventus
Fiorentina
1
1
D
01.11.25
Ser
Juventus
Cremonese
2
1
W
26.10.25
Ser
Juventus
Lazio
0
1
L
H2H away: Juventus
09.05.26
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
W
01.12.24
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
1
1
D
21.01.24
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
0
3
W
29.10.22
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
W
26.10.19
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
1
1
D
08.01.12
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
W
20.02.11
H2H
Lecce
Juventus
2
0
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17
Lecce Home
38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Lecce 4 missing
-
S. Fofana
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
K. Gaspar
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Berisha
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
R. Sottil
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
Juventus 2 missing
-
J. Cabal
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
A. Milik
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT