ITALY SERIE A
21.02.2026 17:00
Stadio Via del Mare
Referee: G. Manganiello
Lecce
Match Timeline
Inter
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
4'
K. Gaspar ↔ J. Siebert
Lecce
🟨
10'
Stefan de Vrij
Inter
🟨
17'
Tiago Gabriel
Lecce
VAR
53'
Federico Dimarco
Inter
🔄
60'
R. Sottil ↔ L. Banda
Lecce
🔄
60'
O. Gandelman ↔ O. Ngom
Lecce
🔄
60'
P. Sucic ↔ H. Mkhitaryan
Inter
🔄
60'
S. de Vrij ↔ M. Akanji
Inter
🔄
69'
M. Thuram ↔ A. Bonny
Inter
🔄
69'
Luis Henrique ↔ A. Diouf
Inter
75'
H. Mkhitaryan
Inter
82'
M. Akanji · Assist: F. Dimarco
Inter
🔄
83'
L. Coulibaly ↔ N. Stulic
Lecce
🔄
83'
S. Pierotti ↔ K. Ndri
Lecce
🟨
87'
Alessandro Bastoni
Inter
🔄
88'
A. Bastoni ↔ Carlos Augusto
Inter

Lecce vs Inter Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Lecce Win 0%
Draw 0%
Inter Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lecce0.79
Inter1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lecce Lecce
WWDLW
19 GF / 34 GA
Inter Inter
WLDWL
84 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
2.27
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
8
BTTS Yes
18
9
Over 2.5
23
2.48
Shots on Goal
6.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lecce Lecce 27 matches
Inter Inter 37 matches
Lecce Statistic Inter
7 Wins 27
6 Draws 2
14 Losses 8
19 Goals For 84
34 Goals Against 34
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 2.27
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
8 BTTS Yes 18
16 Over 1.5 31
9 Over 2.5 23
3 Over 3.5 14
9 Clean Sheets 17
14 Failed To Score 2
2.48 Shots On Goal 6.14
9.89 Total Shots 17.73
4.59 Corners 6.11
42.6% Ball Possession 59%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Lecce won 1 times, Inter won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:30 from Lecce's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Lecce 4-3-3 / Inter 3-5-2
H2H summary: Lecce wins 1, draws 2, Inter wins 11

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter Away
38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17
Lecce Home
38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B