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ITALY › SERIE A
28.09.2025 16:00
Stadio Via del Mare
Referee: Francesco Fourneau, Italy
Lecce
Match Timeline
Bologna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
L. Coulibaly
Lecce
🟨
29'
Thijs Dallinga
Bologna
⚽
45'
R. Orsolini
Bologna
🔄
46'
C. Kouassi ↔ D. Veiga
Lecce
🟨
55'
Kialonda Gaspar
Lecce
🟨
61'
Ylber Ramadani
Lecce
🔄
62'
R. Orsolini ↔ F. Bernardeschi
Bologna
🟨
66'
Antonino Gallo
Lecce
🔄
66'
N. Stulic ↔ F. Camarda
Lecce
🔄
68'
T. Dallinga ↔ S. Castro
Bologna
🔄
68'
G. Fabbian ↔ J. Odgaard
Bologna
🔄
68'
J. Rowe ↔ N. Cambiaghi
Bologna
🔄
69'
A. Gallo ↔ C. Ndaba
Lecce
⚽
71'
J. Odgaard · Assist: E. Holm
Bologna
🔄
77'
L. Coulibaly ↔ K. Ndri
Lecce
🔄
77'
Tete Morente ↔ L. Banda
Lecce
🔄
83'
E. Holm ↔ L. De Silvestri
Bologna
🟨
89'
Federico Bernardeschi
Bologna
🟨
90+5'
Francesco Camarda
Lecce
⚽
90'
F. Camarda · Assist: M. Berisha
Lecce

Lecce vs Bologna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Lecce Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bologna Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lecce0.72
Bologna1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lecce Lecce
WWDLW
4 GF / 11 GA
Bologna Bologna
WLDWL
3 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
0.6
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
2
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
1
2.33
Shots on Goal
3.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lecce Lecce 6 matches
Bologna Bologna 5 matches
Lecce Statistic Bologna
1 Wins 2
1 Draws 0
4 Losses 3
4 Goals For 3
11 Goals Against 4
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
2 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 1
3 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 3
2.33 Shots On Goal 3.4
7.67 Total Shots 12.2
3.67 Corners 5.2
40% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Lecce won 1 times, Bologna won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:24 from Lecce's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Lecce 4-3-3 / Bologna 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lecce wins 1, draws 4, Bologna wins 9

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17
Lecce Home
38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B