ITALY › SERIE A
06.01.2026 17:00
Stadio Via del Mare
Referee: Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
Lecce
Match Timeline
AS Roma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Lameck Banda
Lecce
⚽
14'
E. Ferguson
AS Roma
🟨
28'
Youssef Maleh
Lecce
🔄
46'
L. Banda ↔ K. Ndri
Lecce
🔄
56'
R. Sottil ↔ S. Pierotti
Lecce
🔄
60'
E. Ferguson ↔ A. Dovbyk
AS Roma
🔄
60'
S. El Shaarawy ↔ K. Tsimikas
AS Roma
🔄
64'
F. Camarda ↔ N. Stulic
Lecce
🔄
64'
Y. Ramadani ↔ O. Gorter
Lecce
⚽
71'
A. Dovbyk · Assist: N. Pisilli
AS Roma
🔄
75'
M. Kaba ↔ T. J. Helgason
Lecce
🔄
79'
P. Dybala ↔ M. Soule
AS Roma
🟨
86'
Kialonda Gaspar
Lecce
🟨
86'
Bryan Cristante
AS Roma
🔄
86'
↔ A. Romano
AS Roma

Lecce vs AS Roma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Lecce Win 0%
Draw 0%
AS Roma Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lecce0.73
AS Roma1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lecce Lecce
WWDLW
14 GF / 26 GA
AS Roma AS Roma
WLDWL
30 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.74
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
6
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
9
2.68
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lecce Lecce 19 matches
AS Roma AS Roma 24 matches
Lecce Statistic AS Roma
5 Wins 15
5 Draws 0
9 Losses 9
14 Goals For 30
26 Goals Against 17
0.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
6 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 7
2.68 Shots On Goal 5
9.47 Total Shots 13.71
4.89 Corners 5.5
42.3% Ball Possession 57.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lecce won 1 times, AS Roma won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:29 from Lecce's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Lecce 4-3-3 / AS Roma 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Lecce wins 1, draws 2, AS Roma wins 12

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17
Lecce Home
38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B