FRANCE LIGUE 3
19.09.2026 12:45
Stade Charles Massot

Le Puy Foot vs Villefranche Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Le Puy Foot Win 77%
Draw 14%
Villefranche Win 9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Le Puy Foot1.56
Villefranche1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Le Puy Foot Le Puy Foot
WWDLW
8 GF / 12 GA
Villefranche Villefranche
WLDWL
7 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
2.57
4
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Le Puy Foot Le Puy Foot 9 matches
Villefranche Villefranche 7 matches
Le Puy Foot Statistic Villefranche
2 Wins 1
3 Draws 1
4 Losses 5
8 Goals For 7
12 Goals Against 18
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.57
4 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Villefranche arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Villefranche having the stronger overall control. Le Puy Foot arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 7 points compared to Villefranche in 18 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Villefranche. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Le Puy Foot Analysis

Le Puy Foot are currently 9 in the standings with 7 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 4:4 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Villefranche Analysis

With 3 points from 5 games and a place of 18, Villefranche still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 5:13, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Le Puy Foot won 6 times, Villefranche won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Le Puy Foot's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.54 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91%)
H2H summary: Le Puy Foot wins 6, draws 4, Villefranche wins 3

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 12:2 10 14
W D W W W
2 6 4 0 2 12:5 7 12
W W L W L
3 6 3 3 0 7:4 3 12
D D W D W
4 6 3 2 1 12:10 2 11
L D D W W
5 6 2 4 0 7:2 5 10
D W W D D
6 6 2 3 1 7:6 1 9
W D D W D
7 6 3 0 3 10:11 -1 9
W L L W W
8 6 3 0 3 5:8 -3 9
W L W L W
9 6 2 2 2 4:6 -2 8
L D D W L
10 6 2 2 2 6:8 -2 8
W D W L D
11 6 2 2 2 6:2 4 8
D W W L L
12 6 2 2 2 10:7 3 8
W W L L D
13 6 2 1 3 5:6 -1 7
L D L W L
14 6 2 1 3 6:8 -2 7
L D L W L
15 6 1 2 3 5:9 -4 5
L D D L W
16 6 1 1 4 3:7 -4 4
L D W L L
17 6 1 1 4 5:13 -8 4
D L L L W
18 6 1 0 5 3:11 -8 3
L L L L L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation