FRANCE › LIGUE 2
02.05.2026 18:00
Stade Marie-Marvingt
Referee: P. Gaillouste
Le Mans
Match Timeline
Reims
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
M. Gbane · Assist: T. Leoni
Reims
⚽
36'
S. Yohou · Assist: A. Lauray
Le Mans
🟨
55'
Sergio Akieme
Reims
🔄
64'
D. Gueye ↔ A. Rabillard
Le Mans
🔄
65'
E. Quarshie ↔ A. Bourabaa
Le Mans
🔄
65'
Zabi ↔ Y. Benhattab
Reims
🔄
65'
T. Diarra ↔ J. Patrick
Reims
🔄
79'
E. Colas ↔ W. Harhouz
Le Mans
🔄
79'
A. Lauray ↔ M. Rossignol
Le Mans
🔄
83'
T. Leoni ↔ A. Tia
Reims
🔄
84'
M. Busi ↔ H. Sekine
Reims
🔄
84'
M. Daramy ↔ A. Bojang
Reims
🔄
90'
H. Voyer ↔ I. Cossier
Le Mans

Le Mans vs Reims Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
50%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Le Mans Win 54.9%
Draw 0%
Reims Win 45.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Le Mans1.2
Reims1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Le Mans Le Mans
WWDLW
52 GF / 37 GA
Reims Reims
WLDWL
61 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
19
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
18
4.08
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Le Mans Le Mans 37 matches
Reims Reims 38 matches
Le Mans Statistic Reims
16 Wins 17
16 Draws 14
5 Losses 7
52 Goals For 61
37 Goals Against 34
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
19 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 12
15 Clean Sheets 19
8 Failed To Score 9
4.08 Shots On Goal 5
10.69 Total Shots 13.5
5.36 Corners 5.11
48.9% Ball Possession 57.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Le Mans expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Reims in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Reims having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Reims.

Le Mans Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 58 points from 32 games, Le Mans bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 15 wins, 13 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 47:30, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by D. Gueye (10 goals), A. Rabillard (9 goals), E. Colas (5 goals), with creative support from A. Rabillard (5 assists), Lucas Calodat (4 assists), D. Gueye (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Reims Analysis

Reims come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 52 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 13 draws, and 6 losses, while the 47:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Nakamura (10 goals), H. Ibrahim (6 goals), A. Tia (5 goals), with creative support from Theo Leoni (6 assists), T. Teuma (5 assists), Sergio Akieme (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Le Mans won 0 times, Reims won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:12 from Le Mans's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Le Mans 3-1-4-2 / Reims 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Le Mans wins 0, draws 3, Reims wins 4

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5 34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6
Reims Away
34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16 34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
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