FRANCE LIGUE 1
19.09.2026 18:45
MMArena

Le Mans vs Lorient Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 42.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
42.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
86.3%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Le Mans Win 41.4%
Draw 15.9%
Lorient Win 42.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Le Mans1.41
Lorient1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Le Mans Le Mans
WWDLW
17 GF / 16 GA
Lorient Lorient
WLDWL
16 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
8
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
4.5
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Le Mans Le Mans 11 matches
Lorient Lorient 10 matches
Le Mans Statistic Lorient
3 Wins 5
5 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
17 Goals For 16
16 Goals Against 12
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
8 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 1
4.5 Shots On Goal 3.5
10.25 Total Shots 10.75
3 Corners 2.25
45.3% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Le Mans won 1 times, Lorient won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Le Mans's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
Predicted formations: Le Mans 3-1-4-2 / Lorient 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Le Mans wins 1, draws 0, Lorient wins 3

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 7:2 5 10
W W D W
2 4 3 1 0 6:2 4 10
D W W W
3 4 3 1 0 8:5 3 10
W W W D
4 4 2 2 0 6:2 4 8
D W D W
5 4 2 2 0 6:2 4 8
D W W D
6 4 2 1 1 9:8 1 7
D W W L
7 4 1 2 1 6:6 0 5
L W D D
8 4 1 2 1 6:6 0 5
W L D D
9 4 1 2 1 4:4 0 5
D W L D
10 4 1 1 2 8:7 1 4
D L L W
11 4 1 1 2 4:5 -1 4
D L W L
12 4 1 1 2 4:9 -5 4
L L W D
13 4 1 0 3 6:6 0 3
L L L W
14 4 0 3 1 7:8 -1 3
D D L D
15 4 1 0 3 5:11 -6 3
W L L L
16 4 0 2 2 2:4 -2 2
D L D L
17 4 0 2 2 4:7 -3 2
D L D L
18 4 0 2 2 1:5 -4 2
L D L D
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