Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
9.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Le Havre
Marseille
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Le Havre
33 matches
Marseille
44 matches
| Le Havre | Statistic | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 22 |
| 14 | Draws | 6 |
| 13 | Losses | 16 |
| 30 | Goals For | 90 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 60 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.05 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 31 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 18 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.64 | Shots On Goal | 5.77 |
| 11.36 | Total Shots | 14.82 |
| 4.45 | Corners | 5.39 |
| 47.6% | Ball Possession | 57.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Marseille's more proactive style and Le Havre's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Marseille arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Marseille. Marseille carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 53 points while Le Havre sit 14 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Le Havre expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Marseille in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Marseille having the stronger overall control.
Le Havre sit 14 with 32 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 14 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 30:43, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through I. Soumare (7 goals), R. Ndiaye (4 goals), F. Doucoure (3 goals), with creative support from I. Soumare (5 assists), R. Ndiaye (4 assists), Sofiane Boufal (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Marseille approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 53 points from 32 matches. Across the season they have posted 16 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 59:44 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Greenwood (15 goals), P. Aubameyang (9 goals), A. Gouiri (7 goals), with creative support from M. Greenwood (6 assists), P. Aubameyang (5 assists), Igor Paixão (5 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Le Havre won 0 times, Marseille won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:23 from Le Havre's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.14 goals per game.
Le Havre
2
3
4
4
4
1
Lineups
Le Havre
Amiens
Le Havre
Lorient
Le Havre
Lille
Le Havre
Metz
Le Havre
Angers
Le Havre
Nice
Le Havre
Auxerre
Le Havre
Paris FC
Le Havre
Lyon
Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
Nantes
Le Havre
Toulouse
Le Havre
Strasbourg
Le Havre
Lens
Le Havre
Monaco
Le Havre
Rennes
Le Havre
Angers
Le Havre
Amiens
Le Havre
Lyon
Marseille
Rennes
Marseille
Nantes
Marseille
Nice
Marseille
Lorient
Marseille
Metz
Marseille
Monaco
Marseille
Lille
Marseille
Auxerre
Marseille
Toulouse
Marseille
Toulouse
Marseille
Lyon
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
Marseille
Strasbourg
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
Rennes
Marseille
Paris FC
Marseille
Club Brugge KV
Marseille
Lens
Marseille
Liverpool
Marseille
Angers
Le Havre
Amiens
Le Havre
Metz
Le Havre
Auxerre
Le Havre
Lyon
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
Toulouse
Le Havre
Strasbourg
Le Havre
Monaco
Le Havre
Angers
Le Havre
Amiens
Le Havre
Paris FC
Le Havre
Lille
Le Havre
Nantes
Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29
Le Havre
Rennes
Le Havre
Lorient
Le Havre
Nice
Le Havre
Lens
Le Havre
Marseille
Le Havre
Monaco
Marseille
Nantes
Marseille
Lorient
Marseille
Monaco
Marseille
Toulouse
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
Paris FC
Marseille
Club Brugge KV
Marseille
Angers
Marseille
Bayeux
Marseille
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Marseille
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
Lille
Marseille
Nice
Marseille
Auxerre
Marseille
Lens
Marseille
Sporting CP
Marseille
Metz
Marseille
Strasbourg
Marseille
Real Madrid
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Marseille
Away
|
34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 |
Le Havre
Home
|
34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|