Le Havre vs Marseille Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
9.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Le Havre
Marseille
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Le Havre
33 matches
Marseille
44 matches
| Le Havre | Statistic | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 22 |
| 14 | Draws | 6 |
| 13 | Losses | 16 |
| 30 | Goals For | 90 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 60 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.05 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 31 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 18 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.64 | Shots On Goal | 5.77 |
| 11.36 | Total Shots | 14.82 |
| 4.45 | Corners | 5.39 |
| 47.6% | Ball Possession | 57.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Marseille's more proactive style and Le Havre's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Marseille arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Marseille. Marseille carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 53 points while Le Havre sit 14 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Le Havre expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Marseille in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Marseille having the stronger overall control.
Le Havre sit 14 with 32 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 14 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 30:43, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through I. Soumare (7 goals), R. Ndiaye (4 goals), F. Doucoure (3 goals), with creative support from I. Soumare (5 assists), R. Ndiaye (4 assists), Sofiane Boufal (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Marseille approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 53 points from 32 matches. Across the season they have posted 16 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 59:44 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Greenwood (15 goals), P. Aubameyang (9 goals), A. Gouiri (7 goals), with creative support from M. Greenwood (6 assists), P. Aubameyang (5 assists), Igor Paixão (5 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Le Havre won 0 times, Marseille won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:23 from Le Havre's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.14 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Marseille
Away
|
34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 |
Le Havre
Home
|
34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|