LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
65.5%
|
1.67 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.88 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.9%
|
1.21 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
7.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
12.00 |
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
LDU de Quito
43 matches
Universidad Catolica
33 matches
| LDU de Quito | Statistic | Universidad Catolica |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 15 |
| 11 | Draws | 9 |
| 13 | Losses | 9 |
| 48 | Goals For | 56 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.7 |
| 0.84 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.38 | Shots On Goal | 4.84 |
| 13.6 | Total Shots | 14.25 |
| 5.25 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 50.2% | Ball Possession | 58.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with LDU de Quito expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Universidad Catolica in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universidad Catolica having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Universidad Catolica. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
LDU de Quito arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 46 points after 30 matches. The record of 13 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 31:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Estrada (6 goals), Deyverson (5 goals), Yerlin Quinonez (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (2 assists), Yerlin Quinonez (2 assists), M. Estrada (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Operating from 2 place with 51 points from 30 games, Universidad Catolica bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 51:27, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Fajardo (10 goals), D. Clavijo (5 goals), M. Alonso (5 goals), with creative support from M. Díaz (10 assists), J. Fajardo (3 assists), D. Clavijo (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 1 times, Universidad Catolica won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:7 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 40 | 74 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Universidad Catolica
Away
|
30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 24 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 50 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
LDU de Quito
Home
|
30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 46 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 36 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|