ECUADOR LIGA PRO
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Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.2%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
LDU de Quito Win 44.8%
Draw 19.8%
Orense SC Win 35.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
LDU de Quito1.23
Orense SC1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WWDLW
29 GF / 21 GA
Orense SC Orense SC
WLDWL
21 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
9
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
8
3.38
Shots on Goal
4.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 24 matches
Orense SC Orense SC 15 matches
LDU de Quito Statistic Orense SC
12 Wins 6
5 Draws 4
7 Losses 5
29 Goals For 21
21 Goals Against 19
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
9 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 2
3.38 Shots On Goal 4.53
13.43 Total Shots 10.8
4.81 Corners 3.47
48.7% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Orense SC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with LDU de Quito expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Orense SC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orense SC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

LDU de Quito Analysis

LDU de Quito sit 6 with 24 points after 15 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 16:13 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Deyverson (4 goals), J. Corozo (3 goals), R. Redes (2 goals), with creative support from M. Estrada (2 assists), J. Quintero (2 assists), Deyverson (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Orense SC Analysis

Orense SC are currently 7 in the standings with 22 points from 15 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 21:19 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Agustin Herrera (6 goals), A. Mena (3 goals), E. S. Zambrano Pesantez (2 goals), with creative support from E. S. Zambrano Pesantez (3 assists), V. Burgoa (2 assists), P. Velasco (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 7 times, Orense SC won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:15 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
Predicted formations: LDU de Quito 5-3-2 / Orense SC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: LDU de Quito wins 7, draws 1, Orense SC wins 6
Last matches: LDU de Quito
18.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
26.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
3
2
W
24.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
21.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
2
0
W
15.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
12.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
07.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
0
2
L
02.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
28.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0
1
L
23.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
0
1
L
08.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
1
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
0
W
18.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
Last matches: Orense SC
23.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
19.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Macara
2
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
3
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Delfin SC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Libertad
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Aucas
2
3
L
19.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
2
W
15.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Emelec
1
2
L
10.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
H2H: LDU de Quito vs Orense SC
30.05.26
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
0
0
D
21.02.26
H2H
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
1
2
W
06.12.25
H2H
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
2
1
L
05.11.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
4
0
W
29.06.25
H2H
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
2
1
L
01.03.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
4
0
W
06.10.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
2
0
W
19.04.24
H2H
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
1
0
L
23.09.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
1
0
W
22.04.23
H2H
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
2
1
L
04.09.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
1
2
L
20.04.22
H2H
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
3
0
L
21.11.21
H2H
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
30.05.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
2
1
W
06.11.20
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
4
0
W
Last matches: LDU de Quito
18.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
26.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
3
2
W
21.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
2
0
W
15.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
15.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
2
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
4
2
W
H2H at home: LDU de Quito
30.05.26
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
0
0
D
05.11.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
4
0
W
01.03.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
4
0
W
06.10.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
2
0
W
23.09.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
1
0
W
04.09.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
1
2
L
30.05.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
2
1
W
06.11.20
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
4
0
W
Last matches: Orense SC
19.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Macara
2
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
3
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Aucas
2
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Emelec
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
H2H away: Orense SC
30.05.26
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
0
0
D
05.11.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
4
0
L
01.03.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
4
0
L
06.10.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
2
0
L
23.09.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
1
0
L
04.09.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
1
2
W
30.05.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
2
1
L
06.11.20
H2H
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
4
0
L

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 1 3 32:18 14 37
W L W W W
2 16 8 3 5 18:17 1 27
W D W W W
3 16 7 5 4 26:14 12 26
L W D L L
4 16 7 5 4 18:13 5 26
L W W L D
5 16 7 5 4 19:16 3 26
D W L W L
6 15 7 3 5 16:13 3 24
D W W W L
7 15 6 4 5 21:19 2 22
L W W W D
8 16 6 2 8 17:16 1 20
W W L W L
9 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
D L L W L
10 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 19
W W D D L
11 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
L D L L L
12 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
D L W L W
14 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
L W L D W
15 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
L L D L W
16 16 3 3 10 7:19 -12 12
W L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs