Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
74%
|
2.70 | |
| BTTS | No |
55%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.99 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
89.1%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 0-3 |
-
|
26.00 |
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
LDU de Quito
32 matches
Independiente del Valle
30 matches
| LDU de Quito | Statistic | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 23 |
| 7 | Draws | 2 |
| 10 | Losses | 5 |
| 36 | Goals For | 68 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.27 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.62 | Shots On Goal | 6.07 |
| 14.45 | Total Shots | 17.55 |
| 5.34 | Corners | 6.17 |
| 49.6% | Ball Possession | 54.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Independiente del Valle. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with LDU de Quito expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Independiente del Valle in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independiente del Valle having the stronger overall control. Independiente del Valle look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Independiente del Valle carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 55 points while LDU de Quito sit 6 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
From their first 22 matches, LDU de Quito have collected 32 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 21:17 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Deyverson (4 goals), M. Estrada (3 goals), R. Redes (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (1 assists), M. Estrada (1 assists), R. Redes (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Independiente del Valle come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 55 points after 22 matches. They have recorded 18 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with a 55:22 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Matías Perello (6 goals), Emerson Pata (6 goals), Djorkaeff Reasco (5 goals), with creative support from Arón Rodríguez (4 assists), Juan Viacava (4 assists), Djorkaeff Reasco (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 10 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 6 times, Independiente del Valle won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:12 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Macara
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
UCV
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Macara
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 56:22 | 34 | 58 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 39 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 38 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 35 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
LDU de Quito
Home
|
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 35 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 7 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 32 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 25 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 14:23 | -9 | 23 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 9:29 | -20 | 14 |
L
L
D
L
L
|