ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
02.05.2026 21:30
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Referee: Bryan Loayza, Ecuador
LDU de Quito
Match Timeline
Guayaquil City FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
6'
Deyverson
LDU de Quito
⚽
9'
Jeison Medina
LDU de Quito
🟨
34'
Pablo Mancilla
Guayaquil City FC
⚽
35'
Deyverson
LDU de Quito
🟨
43'
Jesús Pretell
LDU de Quito
🟨
45+8'
Gabriel Villamil
LDU de Quito
🟨
57'
Gonzalo Valle
LDU de Quito
🔄
58'
R. Redes ↔ A. Alvarado
LDU de Quito
🔄
58'
J. Pretell ↔ K. Minda
LDU de Quito
🟨
69'
Gian Franco Allala
LDU de Quito
🔄
70'
J. Quintero ↔ R. Ade
LDU de Quito
🔄
70'
Deyverson ↔ M. Estrada
LDU de Quito
🔄
72'
P. Mancilla ↔ J. Ordonez
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
77'
L. Quinonez ↔ J. Caicedo
LDU de Quito
🟨
83'
Michael Estrada
LDU de Quito
🟨
88'
Josue Caicedo
LDU de Quito
🔄
90'
P. Gonzalez ↔ J. Vivar
Guayaquil City FC

LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
LDU de Quito Win 38%
Draw 12.7%
Guayaquil City FC Win 49.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
LDU de Quito1.04
Guayaquil City FC0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WWDLW
16 GF / 13 GA
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
WLDWL
13 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
0.93
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
5
2.86
Shots on Goal
3.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 15 matches
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 14 matches
LDU de Quito Statistic Guayaquil City FC
7 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 5
16 Goals For 13
13 Goals Against 14
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 4
2.86 Shots On Goal 3.27
12 Total Shots 8.82
4.64 Corners 3
46.9% Ball Possession 54.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with LDU de Quito expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Guayaquil City FC in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Guayaquil City FC having the stronger overall control. Guayaquil City FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Guayaquil City FC.

LDU de Quito Analysis

With 14 points from 11 games and a place of 8, LDU de Quito still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 9:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Corozo (3 goals), C. Luna Tobar (1 goals), Deyverson (1 goals), with creative support from M. Estrada (2 assists), Deyverson (1 assists), A. Alvarado (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guayaquil City FC Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 18 points from 11 games, Guayaquil City FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 10:10, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through E. Mero (4 goals), D. Diaz (2 goals), P. Gonzalez (2 goals), with creative support from J. J. Ayovi Caicedo (4 assists), D. Diaz (1 assists), P. Gonzalez (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 9 times, Guayaquil City FC won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:10 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Predicted formations: LDU de Quito 3-4-3 / Guayaquil City FC 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: LDU de Quito wins 9, draws 5, Guayaquil City FC wins 1

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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