ECUADOR LIGA PRO
04.08.2026 00:00
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Referee: Lenin Quinonez, Ecuador
LDU de Quito
Match Timeline
Delfin SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
41'
Ricardo Adé
LDU de Quito
VAR
45+8'
Jesús Pretell
LDU de Quito
🔄
46'
J. W. Cuero Mercado ↔ R. Redes
LDU de Quito
🔄
56'
M. Reyes ↔ K. Ushina
Delfin SC
🔄
56'
D. Luna ↔ A. A. Cisneros Montenegro
Delfin SC
🟨
59'
Richard Mina
LDU de Quito
🔄
60'
J. Rodriguez ↔ Deyverson
LDU de Quito
VAR
68'
Rodney Redes
LDU de Quito
76'
T. Ozaeta · Assist: K. Ushina
Delfin SC
🔄
81'
G. Heredia ↔ L. Castro
Delfin SC
🔄
81'
T. Ozaeta ↔ J. Arce
Delfin SC
89'
M. Estrada · Assist: Deyverson
LDU de Quito
🔄
90+6'
F. Cornejo ↔ R. Mina
LDU de Quito
90'
M. Estrada · Assist: Y. Quinonez
LDU de Quito

LDU de Quito vs Delfin SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 76.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
76.5%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
LDU de Quito Win 54.6%
Draw 21.9%
Delfin SC Win 23.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
LDU de Quito1.02
Delfin SC0.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WWDLW
34 GF / 25 GA
Delfin SC Delfin SC
WLDWL
14 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
0.61
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
10
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
5
3.43
Shots on Goal
3.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 31 matches
Delfin SC Delfin SC 23 matches
LDU de Quito Statistic Delfin SC
14 Wins 7
7 Draws 5
10 Losses 11
34 Goals For 14
25 Goals Against 21
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 0.61
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
10 BTTS Yes 6
18 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
12 Clean Sheets 8
12 Failed To Score 11
3.43 Shots On Goal 3.36
13.93 Total Shots 11.41
5.25 Corners 3.36
48.8% Ball Possession 39.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by LDU de Quito's more proactive style and Delfin SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Delfin SC. LDU de Quito arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 32 points compared to Delfin SC in 15 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Delfin SC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with LDU de Quito expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Delfin SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Delfin SC having the stronger overall control.

LDU de Quito Analysis

LDU de Quito are currently 6 in the standings with 32 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 21:17 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Deyverson (4 goals), M. Estrada (3 goals), R. Redes (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (1 assists), M. Estrada (1 assists), R. Redes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Delfin SC Analysis

With 23 points from 22 games and a place of 15, Delfin SC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 13:21, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Erick Mendoza (3 goals), Kevin Ushiña (2 goals), Franco Ayunta (1 goals), with creative support from Franco Ayunta (1 assists), Thiago Ozaeta (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 7 times, Delfin SC won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:18 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.1%)
Predicted formations: LDU de Quito 3-5-2 / Delfin SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: LDU de Quito wins 7, draws 4, Delfin SC wins 4

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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