ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Referee: Lenin Quinonez, Ecuador
LDU de Quito
Match Timeline
Delfin SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
41'
Ricardo Adé
LDU de Quito
VAR
45+8'
Jesús Pretell
LDU de Quito
🔄
46'
J. W. Cuero Mercado ↔ R. Redes
LDU de Quito
🔄
56'
M. Reyes ↔ K. Ushina
Delfin SC
🔄
56'
D. Luna ↔ A. A. Cisneros Montenegro
Delfin SC
🟨
59'
Richard Mina
LDU de Quito
🔄
60'
J. Rodriguez ↔ Deyverson
LDU de Quito
VAR
68'
Rodney Redes
LDU de Quito
76'
T. Ozaeta · Assist: K. Ushina
Delfin SC
🔄
81'
G. Heredia ↔ L. Castro
Delfin SC
🔄
81'
T. Ozaeta ↔ J. Arce
Delfin SC
89'
M. Estrada · Assist: Deyverson
LDU de Quito
🔄
90+6'
F. Cornejo ↔ R. Mina
LDU de Quito
90'
M. Estrada · Assist: Y. Quinonez
LDU de Quito

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.07
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.94
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
76.5%
1.07
BTTS No
60.3%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.94
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.95
Correct Score 1-0
-
6.00
Probability Distribution
LDU de Quito Win 54.6%
Draw 21.9%
Delfin SC Win 23.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
LDU de Quito1.02
Delfin SC0.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WWDLW
34 GF / 25 GA
Delfin SC Delfin SC
WLDWL
14 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
0.61
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
10
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
5
3.43
Shots on Goal
3.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 31 matches
Delfin SC Delfin SC 23 matches
LDU de Quito Statistic Delfin SC
14 Wins 7
7 Draws 5
10 Losses 11
34 Goals For 14
25 Goals Against 21
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 0.61
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
10 BTTS Yes 6
18 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
12 Clean Sheets 8
12 Failed To Score 11
3.43 Shots On Goal 3.36
13.93 Total Shots 11.14
5.25 Corners 3.41
48.8% Ball Possession 39.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by LDU de Quito's more proactive style and Delfin SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Delfin SC. LDU de Quito arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 32 points compared to Delfin SC in 15 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Delfin SC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with LDU de Quito expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Delfin SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Delfin SC having the stronger overall control.

LDU de Quito Analysis

LDU de Quito are currently 6 in the standings with 32 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 21:17 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Deyverson (4 goals), M. Estrada (3 goals), R. Redes (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (1 assists), M. Estrada (1 assists), R. Redes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Delfin SC Analysis

With 23 points from 22 games and a place of 15, Delfin SC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 13:21, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Erick Mendoza (3 goals), Kevin Ushiña (2 goals), Franco Ayunta (1 goals), with creative support from Franco Ayunta (1 assists), Thiago Ozaeta (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 7 times, Delfin SC won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:17 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.1%)
Predicted formations: LDU de Quito 3-5-2 / Delfin SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: LDU de Quito wins 7, draws 4, Delfin SC wins 4
Stats
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
Delfin SC Delfin SC
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
3
8 Corner Kicks 1
10 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 0
74% Ball Possession 26%
29 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Goal 2
12 Shots off Goal 1
8 Blocked Shots 3
23 Shots insidebox 3
6 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 7
474 Total passes 168
404 Passes accurate 94
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

LDU de Quito
Formation
Delfin SC
G. Valle
G. Valle
J. W. Cuero Mercado
J. W. Cuero Mercado
R. Mina
R. Mina
R. Ade
R. Ade
J. Carabali
J. Carabali
Y. Quinonez
🎯
Y. Quinonez
F. Cornejo
F. Cornejo
J. Pretell
J. Pretell
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
M. Estrada
⚽ 2
M. Estrada
J. Corozo
J. Corozo
B. Heras
B. Heras
E. Rubio
E. Rubio
A. Bedoya
A. Bedoya
O. Medina
O. Medina
E. Zuniga
E. Zuniga
M. Reyes
M. Reyes
G. Heredia
G. Heredia
J. Morocho
J. Morocho
T. Ozaeta
T. Ozaeta
D. Luna
D. Luna
F. Ayunta
F. Ayunta
LDU de Quito 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
G. Valle
G
28
J. W. Cuero Mercado
↓ 46'
D
3
R. Mina
🟨 59'
D
4
R. Ade
🟨 41'
D
67
J. Carabali
D
23
Y. Quinonez
🎯 90'
D
20
F. Cornejo
↓ 90+6'
M
8
J. Pretell
M
31
J. Rodriguez
↓ 60'
M
11
M. Estrada
⚽ 89' ⚽ 90'
F
13
J. Corozo
F
Substitutes
12
A. Villa
G
22
A. Dominguez
G
26
I. Zambrano
M
21
E. Castillo
M
27
R. Mina
↑ 90+6'
16
Deyverson
🎯 89' ↑ 60'
F
99
C. Luna Tobar
M
7
R. Redes
↑ 46'
F
25
P. Ortiz
32
A. Gomez
Delfin SC 4-4-2
Starting XI
21
B. Heras
G
17
E. Rubio
D
32
A. Bedoya
D
5
O. Medina
14
E. Zuniga
D
55
M. Reyes
↓ 56'
M
34
G. Heredia
↓ 81'
M
18
J. Morocho
M
50
T. Ozaeta
⚽ 76' ↓ 81'
M
10
D. Luna
↓ 56'
F
9
F. Ayunta
F
Substitutes
22
J. Cardenas
G
78
K. Ushina
🎯 76' ↑ 56'
M
33
A. A. Cisneros Montenegro
↑ 56'
D
16
L. Castro
↑ 81'
M
39
E. Caicedo
F
3
D. Aimar
D
77
B. Hernandez
D
11
F. Perinciolo
M
31
J. Arce
↑ 81'
D
7
A. Alvarez
27
E. Yepez
F
51
C. Banguera
M
Last matches: LDU de Quito
27.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
23.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
1
D
18.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
12.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Libertad
0
0
D
05.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
1
L
01.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
3
0
W
18.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
26.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
3
2
W
24.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
21.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
2
0
W
15.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
12.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
07.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
0
2
L
02.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
28.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0
1
L
23.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
Last matches: Delfin SC
26.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
21.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Libertad
0
1
L
18.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Macara
2
1
W
15.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
11.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
2
L
05.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Emelec
1
1
D
31.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
24.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
16.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
2
2
D
09.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
4
L
03.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
W
28.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Aucas
0
1
L
22.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Orense SC
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Libertad
0
0
D
18.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Macara
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Manta FC
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
H2H: LDU de Quito vs Delfin SC
11.04.26
H2H
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
1
0
L
06.07.25
H2H
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
0
4
W
08.03.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
3
0
W
29.09.24
H2H
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
3
2
L
16.04.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
2
1
W
08.10.23
H2H
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
09.05.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
1
1
D
08.03.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
4
0
W
08.10.22
H2H
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
3
0
L
15.05.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
3
2
W
07.11.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
1
1
D
22.06.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
4
2
W
23.05.21
H2H
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
17.12.20
H2H
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
2
0
L
26.08.20
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
1
0
W
Last matches: LDU de Quito
18.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
12.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Libertad
0
0
D
01.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
3
0
W
18.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
26.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
3
2
W
21.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
2
0
W
15.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
15.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
2
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
4
2
W
H2H at home: LDU de Quito
08.03.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
3
0
W
16.04.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
2
1
W
09.05.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
1
1
D
08.03.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
4
0
W
15.05.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
3
2
W
07.11.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
1
1
D
22.06.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
4
2
W
26.08.20
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
1
0
W
Last matches: Delfin SC
21.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Libertad
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
11.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
2
L
31.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
16.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
2
2
D
09.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
4
L
28.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Aucas
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Orense SC
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Macara
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Emelec
1
1
D
H2H away: Delfin SC
08.03.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
3
0
L
16.04.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
2
1
L
09.05.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
1
1
D
08.03.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
4
0
L
15.05.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
3
2
L
07.11.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
1
1
D
22.06.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
4
2
L
26.08.20
H2H
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 10.12
Draw 4.94
Home 1.32
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 9.37
Draw 2.54
Home 1.78
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 1.75 1.42
Over 2.0 1.44
Over 2.25 1.67
Over 2.5 1.89
Over 2.75 2.15
Over 3.0 2.60
Over 3.5 3.28
Over 4.5 6.65
Under 1.5 3.60
Under 1.75 2.78
Under 2.0 2.81
Under 2.25 2.24
Under 2.5 1.94
Under 2.75 1.72
Under 3.0 1.51
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.00
Draw 4.50
Home 1.36
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.50
Draw 2.38
Home 1.83
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 8.50
Draw 2.75
Home 1.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 11.40
Draw 5.05
Home 1.27
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 9.30
Draw 2.26
Home 1.76
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 8.90
Draw 2.83
Home 1.53
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.15
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 1.75 1.35
Over 2.0 1.45
Over 2.25 1.69
Over 2.5 1.91
Over 2.75 2.14
Over 3.0 2.59
Over 3.25 2.86
Over 3.5 3.22
Over 3.75 3.92
Over 4.0 5.69
Over 4.25 5.70
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.0 9.95
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 8.65
Under 0.75 8.30
Under 1.0 7.70
Under 1.25 4.38
Under 1.5 3.24
Under 1.75 2.88
Under 2.0 2.54
Under 2.25 2.09
Under 2.5 1.83
Under 2.75 1.62
Under 3.0 1.45
Under 3.25 1.34
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 3.75 1.18
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.25 1.08
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 11.00
Draw 5.30
Home 1.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.5 1.75
Over 3.5 2.85
Over 4.5 5.10
Under 1.5 3.55
Under 2.5 1.93
Under 3.5 1.35
Under 4.5 1.12

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 19 1 3 56:22 34 58
W W W W W
2 23 11 6 6 38:19 19 39
W D W W W
3 23 11 5 7 30:23 7 38
W W W L W
4 23 11 5 7 26:25 1 38
W L L W L
5 23 9 8 6 24:18 6 35
D L L W D
6 23 10 5 8 23:18 5 35
W W D L L
7 23 8 8 7 24:22 2 32
D W D W D
8 23 9 4 10 21:28 -7 31
L W L L D
9 23 8 6 9 24:26 -2 30
W W W L W
10 23 7 7 9 29:34 -5 28
W L D W L
11 23 7 7 9 20:25 -5 28
L D D W D
12 23 7 5 11 27:35 -8 26
L L W L L
13 23 8 2 13 20:29 -9 26
L W L L L
14 23 7 7 9 19:28 -9 25
L L D L W
15 23 6 5 12 14:23 -9 23
L L L W W
16 23 3 5 15 9:29 -20 14
L L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs