ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Referee: G. Gonzalez
LDU de Quito
Match Timeline
Aucas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Luis Arroyo
Aucas
🔄
39'
J. Corozo ↔ R. Redes
LDU de Quito
🔄
60'
G. Villamil ↔ K. Minda
LDU de Quito
🔄
60'
C. Luna Tobar ↔ J. Medina
LDU de Quito
🔄
60'
J. Caicedo ↔ Y. Quinonez
LDU de Quito
🟨
69'
Hamilton Piedra
Aucas
🔄
71'
S. Porozo ↔ S. Tapiero
Aucas
🔄
72'
J. Pretell ↔ E. Castillo
LDU de Quito
🔄
72'
A. Mena ↔ E. Preciado
Aucas
🔄
75'
R. Quinonez ↔ R. Bolanos
Aucas
🟨
87'
Kevin Minda
LDU de Quito
🔄
90'
P. Guzman ↔ D. Luna
Aucas
🔄
90'
L. Arroyo ↔ D. S. Espinosa
Aucas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
87.5%
-
Probability Distribution
LDU de Quito Win 33.2%
Draw 17.5%
Aucas Win 49.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
LDU de Quito1.13
Aucas1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WWDLW
16 GF / 11 GA
Aucas Aucas
WLDWL
12 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.09
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
4
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
2
3.18
Shots on Goal
4.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 12 matches
Aucas Aucas 11 matches
LDU de Quito Statistic Aucas
7 Wins 5
1 Draws 3
4 Losses 3
16 Goals For 12
11 Goals Against 9
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
4 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
3.18 Shots On Goal 4.89
13 Total Shots 13.78
4.82 Corners 6.22
46.2% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Aucas's more proactive style and LDU de Quito's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aucas. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with LDU de Quito expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Aucas in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aucas having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Aucas look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

LDU de Quito Analysis

From their first 9 matches, LDU de Quito have collected 13 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 7:9 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Corozo (3 goals), C. Luna Tobar (1 goals), Deyverson (1 goals), with creative support from M. Estrada (2 assists), Deyverson (1 assists), A. Alvarado (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aucas Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 15 points from 9 games, Aucas bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a 10:8 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on B. Miranda (6 goals), R. Quinonez (2 goals), A. Mena (1 goals), with creative support from Santiago Morales (2 assists), A. Mena (1 assists), Piero Guzmán (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 4 times, Aucas won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:18 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.5%)
Predicted formations: LDU de Quito 4-2-3-1 / Aucas 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: LDU de Quito wins 4, draws 6, Aucas wins 5
Stats
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
Aucas Aucas
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
10
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 4
11 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 2
49% Ball Possession 51%
3 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 10
0 Blocked Shots 1
1 Shots insidebox 12
2 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Goalkeeper Saves 0
401 Total passes 429
338 Passes accurate 356
0.27 expected_goals 1.59
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

LDU de Quito
Formation
Aucas
A. Dominguez
A. Dominguez
D. I. de la Cruz
D. I. de la Cruz
G. F. Allala Menendez
G. F. Allala Menendez
L. Segovia
L. Segovia
L. Quinonez
L. Quinonez
J. Caicedo
J. Caicedo
J. Corozo
J. Corozo
J. Pretell
J. Pretell
G. Villamil
G. Villamil
C. Luna Tobar
C. Luna Tobar
M. Estrada
M. Estrada
H. Piedra
H. Piedra
A. Zova
A. Zova
L. Gustavino
L. Gustavino
J. Ontaneda
J. Ontaneda
S. Morales
S. Morales
R. Quinonez
R. Quinonez
P. Guzman
P. Guzman
A. L. Spina
A. L. Spina
A. Mena
A. Mena
L. Arroyo
L. Arroyo
S. Porozo
S. Porozo
LDU de Quito 5-4-1
Starting XI
22
A. Dominguez
G
31
D. I. de la Cruz
D
30
G. F. Allala Menendez
D
44
L. Segovia
D
33
L. Quinonez
D
26
J. Caicedo
↓ 60'
D
13
J. Corozo
↓ 39'
M
8
J. Pretell
↓ 72'
M
15
G. Villamil
↓ 60'
M
99
C. Luna Tobar
↓ 60'
M
11
M. Estrada
F
Substitutes
12
A. Villa
G
10
A. Alvarado
M
28
J. W. Cuero Mercado
D
21
E. Castillo
↑ 72'
M
16
Deyverson
F
14
J. Quintero
D
5
K. Minda
↑ 60' 🟨 87'
M
9
J. Medina
↑ 60'
F
7
R. Redes
↑ 39'
F
23
Y. Quinonez
↑ 60'
F
25
P. Ortiz
32
A. Gomez
Aucas 5-3-2
Starting XI
13
H. Piedra
🟨 69'
G
37
A. Zova
D
16
L. Gustavino
D
3
J. Ontaneda
D
2
S. Morales
D
28
R. Quinonez
↓ 75'
D
21
P. Guzman
↓ 90'
M
6
A. L. Spina
M
18
A. Mena
↓ 72'
M
29
L. Arroyo
↓ 90' 🟨 16'
F
33
S. Porozo
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
1
I. Chaves
G
5
T. Serpa
M
99
E. Japa
91
D. Luna
↑ 90'
F
10
E. Preciado
↑ 72'
F
14
S. Tapiero
↑ 71'
M
89
A. Sosa
F
20
D. S. Espinosa
↑ 90'
F
11
R. Bolanos
↑ 75'
Last matches: LDU de Quito
05.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
1
L
01.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
3
0
W
18.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
26.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
3
2
W
24.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
21.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
2
0
W
15.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
12.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
07.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
0
2
L
02.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
28.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
0
1
L
08.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
1
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
0
W
18.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
Last matches: Aucas
08.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
31.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
26.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Manta FC
3
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
3
L
09.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Libertad
2
3
L
28.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Delfin SC
1
0
W
17.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
0
W
24.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Orense SC
3
2
W
19.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
2
2
D
08.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
H2H: LDU de Quito vs Aucas
23.04.26
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
09.08.25
H2H
Aucas
LDU de Quito
1
0
L
18.04.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
3
1
W
17.08.24
H2H
Aucas
LDU de Quito
0
1
W
16.03.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
1
2
L
13.08.23
H2H
Aucas
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
04.03.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
1
1
D
04.02.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
02.02.23
H2H
Aucas
LDU de Quito
1
4
W
07.08.22
H2H
Aucas
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
19.03.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
4
4
D
01.11.21
H2H
Aucas
LDU de Quito
1
0
L
16.05.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
1
3
L
15.11.20
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
4
1
W
22.08.20
H2H
Aucas
LDU de Quito
2
0
L
Last matches: LDU de Quito
01.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
3
0
W
18.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
26.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
3
2
W
21.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
2
0
W
15.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
15.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
2
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
4
2
W
H2H at home: LDU de Quito
23.04.26
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
18.04.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
3
1
W
16.03.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
1
2
L
04.03.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
1
1
D
04.02.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
19.03.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
4
4
D
16.05.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
1
3
L
15.11.20
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
4
1
W
Last matches: Aucas
31.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
3
L
02.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Libertad
2
3
L
17.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
H2H away: Aucas
23.04.26
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
18.04.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
3
1
L
16.03.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
1
2
W
04.03.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
1
1
D
04.02.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
19.03.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
4
4
D
16.05.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
1
3
W
15.11.20
H2H
LDU de Quito
Aucas
4
1
L

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 1 3 36:18 18 40
W W L W W
2 17 8 5 4 20:13 7 29
W L W W L
3
Aucas Away
17 8 5 4 20:16 4 29
W D W L W
4 17 8 3 6 19:14 5 27
L W D W W
5 17 8 3 6 18:19 -1 27
L W D W W
6 17 7 5 5 28:17 11 26
L L W D L
7 17 7 2 8 19:17 2 23
W W W L W
8 17 6 5 6 16:18 -2 23
W D L L W
9 17 6 4 7 22:24 -2 22
L L L W W
10 17 5 6 6 22:23 -1 21
W D D L L
11 17 5 5 7 18:19 -1 20
W D L W L
12 17 6 5 6 14:17 -3 20
D W W D D
13 17 5 4 8 14:20 -6 19
L L D L L
14 17 4 5 8 9:16 -7 17
D L L D L
15 17 4 5 8 17:25 -8 17
L L W L D
16 17 3 3 11 7:23 -16 12
L W L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs