ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Olimpico
Referee: M. Caputi
Lazio
Match Timeline
Pisa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Mario Gila
Lazio
23'
S. Moreo · Assist: M. Aebischer
Pisa
🟨
29'
Tijjani Noslin
Lazio
33'
F. Dele-Bashiru · Assist: R. Belahyane
Lazio
35'
Pedro · Assist: T. Noslin
Lazio
🔄
46'
M. Gila ↔ O. Provstgaard
Lazio
🔄
46'
E. Akinsanmiro ↔ M. Hojholt
Pisa
🔄
61'
Pedro ↔ B. Dia
Lazio
🔄
61'
M. Aebischer ↔ F. Loyola
Pisa
🔄
62'
F. Stojilkovic ↔ G. Piccinini
Pisa
🔄
71'
M. Cancellieri ↔ D. Maldini
Lazio
🔄
71'
M. Leris ↔ J. Cuadrado
Pisa
🟨
72'
Gabriele Piccinini
Pisa
🔄
77'
A. Calabresi ↔ B. Bettazzi
Pisa
🔄
82'
L. Pellegrini ↔ M. Lazzari
Lazio
🔄
82'
F. Dele-Bashiru ↔ A. Przyborek
Lazio

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
72%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lazio Win 100%
Draw 0%
Pisa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lazio1.35
Pisa0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lazio Lazio
WWDLW
44 GF / 45 GA
Pisa Pisa
WLDWL
25 GF / 70 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
0.64
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
13
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
19
3.76
Shots on Goal
2.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lazio Lazio 42 matches
Pisa Pisa 39 matches
Lazio Statistic Pisa
14 Wins 2
15 Draws 13
13 Losses 24
44 Goals For 25
45 Goals Against 70
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 0.64
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
13 BTTS Yes 15
28 Over 1.5 24
12 Over 2.5 19
7 Over 3.5 12
16 Clean Sheets 6
18 Failed To Score 23
3.76 Shots On Goal 2.72
10.48 Total Shots 9.36
3.64 Corners 3.51
49.6% Ball Possession 40.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Pisa. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lazio expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Pisa in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pisa having the stronger overall control. Pisa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lazio arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 51 points compared to Pisa in 20 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Lazio Analysis

So far, Lazio have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 51 points from 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 12 draws, and 12 losses, while the 39:39 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Isaksen (5 goals), M. Cancellieri (4 goals), Pedro (4 goals), with creative support from Danilo Cataldi (3 assists), T. Basic (3 assists), Valentín Castellanos (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Pisa Analysis

Pisa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 18 points from 37 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 12 draws, and 23 defeats, and the 25:69 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Moreo (6 goals), M. Nzola (4 goals), Antonio Caracciolo (3 goals), with creative support from M. Leris (3 assists), Matteo Tramoni (2 assists), S. Angori (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Lazio won 1 times, Pisa won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Lazio's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Lazio 4-3-3 / Pisa 3-5-2
Missing players: Lazio 7, Pisa 6
H2H summary: Lazio wins 1, draws 1, Pisa wins 0
Stats
Lazio Lazio
Pisa Pisa
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 1
9 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 0
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 8
7 Shots outsidebox 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 7
536 Total passes 552
474 Passes accurate 488
1.11 expected_goals 1.56
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lazio
Formation
Pisa
A. Furlanetto
A. Furlanetto
A. Marusic
A. Marusic
M. Gila
M. Gila
A. Romagnoli
A. Romagnoli
L. Pellegrini
L. Pellegrini
F. Dele-Bashiru
F. Dele-Bashiru
T. Basic
T. Basic
R. Belahyane
🎯
R. Belahyane
M. Cancellieri
M. Cancellieri
T. Noslin
🎯
T. Noslin
Pedro
Pedro
A. Semper
A. Semper
A. Calabresi
A. Calabresi
S. Canestrelli
S. Canestrelli
R. Bozhinov
R. Bozhinov
M. Leris
M. Leris
M. Aebischer
🎯
M. Aebischer
E. Akinsanmiro
E. Akinsanmiro
I. Vural
I. Vural
S. Angori
S. Angori
S. Moreo
S. Moreo
F. Stojilkovic
F. Stojilkovic
Lazio 4-3-3
Starting XI
55
A. Furlanetto
G
77
A. Marusic
D
34
M. Gila
↓ 46' 🟨 10'
D
13
A. Romagnoli
D
3
L. Pellegrini
↓ 82'
D
7
F. Dele-Bashiru
⚽ 33' ↓ 82'
M
26
T. Basic
M
21
R. Belahyane
🎯 33'
M
22
M. Cancellieri
↓ 71'
F
14
T. Noslin
🎯 35' 🟨 29'
F
9
Pedro
⚽ 35' ↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
99
G. Giacomone
G
72
N. Pannozzo
G
23
E. Hysaj
D
29
M. Lazzari
↑ 82'
M
4
Patric
D
2
S. Gigot
D
18
G. Isaksen
F
19
B. Dia
↑ 61'
F
27
D. Maldini
↑ 71'
F
25
O. Provstgaard
↑ 46'
D
20
P. Ratkov
F
28
A. Przyborek
↑ 82'
M
71
V. Farcomeni
M
Pisa 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
A. Semper
G
33
A. Calabresi
↓ 77'
D
5
S. Canestrelli
D
2
R. Bozhinov
D
7
M. Leris
↓ 71'
M
20
M. Aebischer
🎯 23' ↓ 61'
M
14
E. Akinsanmiro
↓ 46'
M
21
I. Vural
M
3
S. Angori
M
32
S. Moreo
⚽ 23'
F
81
F. Stojilkovic
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
12
Nicolas Andrade
G
22
S. Scuffet
G
39
R. Albiol
D
11
J. Cuadrado
↑ 71'
M
15
I. Toure
M
8
M. Hojholt
↑ 46'
M
19
S. Iling Junior
F
9
H. Meister
F
42
B. Bettazzi
↑ 77'
M
23
C. Stengs
M
36
G. Piccinini
↑ 62' 🟨 72'
M
35
F. Loyola
↑ 61'
D
17
R. Durosinmi
F
Last matches: Lazio
17.05.26
Ser
Lazio
AS Roma
0
2
L
13.05.26
Cop
Lazio
Inter
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Lazio
Inter
0
3
L
04.05.26
Ser
Lazio
Cremonese
2
1
W
27.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Udinese
3
3
D
22.04.26
Cop
Lazio
Atalanta
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Napoli
2
0
W
13.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Fiorentina
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Parma
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Bologna
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Lazio
AC Milan
1
0
W
09.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Sassuolo
2
1
W
04.03.26
Cop
Lazio
Atalanta
2
2
D
01.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Torino
0
2
L
21.02.26
Ser
Lazio
Cagliari
0
0
D
14.02.26
Ser
Lazio
Atalanta
0
2
L
11.02.26
Cop
Lazio
Bologna
1
1
D
08.02.26
Ser
Lazio
Juventus
2
2
D
30.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Genoa
3
2
W
24.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Lecce
0
0
D
Last matches: Pisa
17.05.26
Ser
Pisa
Napoli
0
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Pisa
Cremonese
0
3
L
01.05.26
Ser
Pisa
Lecce
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Pisa
Parma
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Pisa
Genoa
1
2
L
10.04.26
Ser
Pisa
AS Roma
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Pisa
Torino
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Pisa
Como
0
5
L
15.03.26
Ser
Pisa
Cagliari
3
1
W
07.03.26
Ser
Pisa
Juventus
0
4
L
02.03.26
Ser
Pisa
Bologna
0
1
L
23.02.26
Ser
Pisa
Fiorentina
0
1
L
13.02.26
Ser
Pisa
AC Milan
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ser
Pisa
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
31.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Sassuolo
1
3
L
23.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Inter
2
6
L
16.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Atalanta
1
1
D
10.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Udinese
2
2
D
06.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Como
0
3
L
03.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Genoa
1
1
D
H2H: Lazio vs Pisa
23.05.26
H2H
Lazio
Pisa
2
1
W
30.10.25
H2H
Pisa
Lazio
0
0
D
Last matches: Lazio
13.05.26
Cop
Lazio
Inter
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Lazio
Inter
0
3
L
27.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Udinese
3
3
D
04.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Parma
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ser
Lazio
AC Milan
1
0
W
09.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Sassuolo
2
1
W
04.03.26
Cop
Lazio
Atalanta
2
2
D
14.02.26
Ser
Lazio
Atalanta
0
2
L
30.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Genoa
3
2
W
19.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Como
0
3
L
07.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Fiorentina
2
2
D
04.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Napoli
0
2
L
20.12.25
Ser
Lazio
Cremonese
0
0
D
07.12.25
Ser
Lazio
Bologna
1
1
D
04.12.25
Cop
Lazio
AC Milan
1
0
W
23.11.25
Ser
Lazio
Lecce
2
0
W
03.11.25
Ser
Lazio
Cagliari
2
0
W
26.10.25
Ser
Lazio
Juventus
1
0
W
04.10.25
Ser
Lazio
Torino
3
3
D
21.09.25
Ser
Lazio
AS Roma
0
1
L
H2H at home: Lazio
23.05.26
H2H
Lazio
Pisa
2
1
W
Last matches: Pisa
10.05.26
Ser
Pisa
Cremonese
0
3
L
25.04.26
Ser
Pisa
Parma
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ser
Pisa
AS Roma
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Pisa
Como
0
5
L
07.03.26
Ser
Pisa
Juventus
0
4
L
23.02.26
Ser
Pisa
Fiorentina
0
1
L
06.02.26
Ser
Pisa
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
23.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Inter
2
6
L
10.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Udinese
2
2
D
03.01.26
Ser
Pisa
Genoa
1
1
D
21.12.25
Ser
Pisa
Cagliari
2
2
D
12.12.25
Ser
Pisa
Lecce
0
1
L
24.11.25
Ser
Pisa
Sassuolo
2
2
D
02.11.25
Ser
Pisa
Torino
2
2
D
24.10.25
Ser
Pisa
AC Milan
2
2
D
05.10.25
Ser
Pisa
Bologna
0
4
L
25.09.25
Cop
Pisa
Torino
0
1
L
22.09.25
Ser
Pisa
Napoli
2
3
L
24.08.25
Ser
Pisa
Atalanta
1
1
D
17.08.25
Cop
Pisa
Cesena
0
0
D
H2H away: Pisa
23.05.26
H2H
Lazio
Pisa
2
1
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9
Lazio Home
38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20
Pisa Away
38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Lazio 7 missing
-
I. Provedel
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
N. Rovella
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
M. Zaccagni
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
Patric
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
-
E. Motta
Questionable Thigh Injury
OUT
-
N. Tavares
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
K. Taylor
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
Pisa 6 missing
-
A. Caracciolo
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
F. Coppola
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Denoon
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
Lorran
Missing Fixture Coach's decision
OUT
-
M. Marin
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Tramoni
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT