Lazio vs Monza Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.8%
|
1.78 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.75 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.78 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.37 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.60 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Lazio
Monza
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lazio
13 matches
Monza
13 matches
| Lazio | Statistic | Monza |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 1 | Losses | 5 |
| 33 | Goals For | 26 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 2.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 6.14 |
| 14.17 | Total Shots | 16.14 |
| 4.83 | Corners | 5 |
| 50.3% | Ball Possession | 47.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lazio's more proactive style and Monza's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Monza. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lazio arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 13 points compared to Monza in 16 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lazio expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Monza in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Monza having the stronger overall control. Lazio come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.
Operating from 3 place with 13 points from 5 games, Lazio bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 8:3 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Davide Frattesi (3 goals), Tijjani Noslin (2 goals), Mattia Zaccagni (1 goals), with creative support from Mattia Zaccagni (2 assists), Nuno Tavares (2 assists), Danilho Doekhi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Monza sit 16 with 4 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 8:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gustavo Varela (4 goals), Ricardo Mangas (1 goals), Andrea Colpani (1 goals), with creative support from Ricardo Mangas (2 assists), Samuele Birindelli (2 assists), Ebenezer Akinsanmiro (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Lazio won 4 times, Monza won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:4 from Lazio's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | 10 | 16 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Lazio
Home
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 16 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 14 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 |
Monza
Away
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|