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13.05.2026 19:00
Stadio Olimpico
Referee: M. Guida
Lazio
Match Timeline
Inter
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Mattia Zaccagni
Lazio
🟨
6'
Yann Bisseck
Inter
⚽
14'
A. Marusic
Inter
🟨
16'
Alessandro Bastoni
Inter
⚽
35'
L. Martinez · Assist: D. Dumfries
Inter
🟨
38'
Mario Gila
Lazio
🔄
46'
Patric ↔ N. Rovella
Lazio
🔄
66'
G. Isaksen ↔ M. Cancellieri
Lazio
🔄
68'
D. Dumfries ↔ Luis Henrique
Inter
🔄
68'
P. Sucic ↔ H. Mkhitaryan
Inter
🔄
72'
A. Marusic ↔ M. Lazzari
Lazio
🔄
72'
M. Zaccagni ↔ B. Dia
Lazio
🔄
77'
A. Bastoni ↔ Carlos Augusto
Inter
🔄
77'
L. Martinez ↔ A. Bonny
Inter
🔄
78'
T. Basic ↔ Pedro
Lazio
🔄
82'
M. Thuram ↔ A. Diouf
Inter
🟨
84'
Pedro
Lazio
🟨
85'
Nicolò Barella
Inter
🟨
85'
Federico Dimarco
Inter

Lazio vs Inter Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 76%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
76%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Lazio Win 32.5%
Draw 15.9%
Inter Win 51.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lazio1.04
Inter1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lazio Lazio
L W D D W
8 GF / 8 GA
Inter Inter
W W D W W
13 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
2.22
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
13
BTTS Yes
25
12
Over 2.5
30
3.85
Shots on Goal
5.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lazio Lazio 40 matches
Inter Inter 51 matches
Lazio Statistic Inter
14 Wins 35
15 Draws 6
11 Losses 10
44 Goals For 113
41 Goals Against 48
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 2.22
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
13 BTTS Yes 25
26 Over 1.5 43
12 Over 2.5 30
7 Over 3.5 18
16 Clean Sheets 23
16 Failed To Score 4
3.85 Shots On Goal 5.88
10.65 Total Shots 17.06
3.73 Corners 6.1
49.7% Ball Possession 58.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lazio won 2 times, Inter won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:34 from Lazio's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
Predicted formations: Lazio 4-3-3 / Inter 3-5-2
H2H summary: Lazio wins 2, draws 3, Inter wins 10