ITALY › SERIE A
07.01.2026 19:45
Stadio Olimpico
Referee: Simone Sozza, Italy
Lazio
Match Timeline
Fiorentina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Marin Pongračić
Fiorentina
🟨
21'
Robin Gosens
Fiorentina
🟨
26'
Matteo Cancellieri
Lazio
🔄
29'
T. Basic ↔ M. Vecino
Lazio
⚽
52'
D. Cataldi · Assist: M. Vecino
Lazio
🟨
55'
Fabiano Parisi
Fiorentina
⚽
56'
R. Gosens · Assist: N. Fagioli
Fiorentina
🔄
60'
R. Piccoli ↔ M. Kean
Fiorentina
🔄
68'
C. Ndour ↔ M. Solomon
Fiorentina
🔄
69'
R. Gosens ↔ L. Ranieri
Fiorentina
🟨
71'
Nicolò Fagioli
Fiorentina
🔄
72'
G. Isaksen ↔ Pedro
Lazio
🔄
80'
M. Lazzari ↔ E. Hysaj
Lazio
🟨
83'
Mattia Zaccagni
Lazio
VAR
87'
Albert Guðmundsson
Fiorentina
⚽
89'
A. Gudmundsson
Fiorentina
🟨
90'
Luca Pellegrini
Lazio
🟨
90+8'
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
Fiorentina
🔄
90+2'
F. Parisi ↔ H. Nicolussi Caviglia
Fiorentina
🔄
90+2'
A. Gudmundsson ↔ P. Mari
Fiorentina
⚽
90'
Pedro
Lazio

Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Lazio Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fiorentina Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lazio1.14
Fiorentina1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lazio Lazio
WWDLW
19 GF / 14 GA
Fiorentina Fiorentina
WLDWL
32 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.23
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
3
BTTS Yes
14
3
Over 2.5
15
3.89
Shots on Goal
3.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lazio Lazio 19 matches
Fiorentina Fiorentina 26 matches
Lazio Statistic Fiorentina
7 Wins 7
6 Draws 6
6 Losses 13
19 Goals For 32
14 Goals Against 35
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
3 BTTS Yes 14
10 Over 1.5 19
3 Over 2.5 15
2 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 8
3.89 Shots On Goal 3.81
11 Total Shots 13.88
3.84 Corners 4.88
49.9% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lazio won 7 times, Fiorentina won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:16 from Lazio's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Lazio 4-3-3 / Fiorentina 4-3-3
H2H summary: Lazio wins 7, draws 3, Fiorentina wins 5

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9
Lazio Home
38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B