SWITZERLAND SUPER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stade de la Tuiliere
Referee: H. Qovanaj
Lausanne
Match Timeline
FC Luzern
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
J. Roche · Assist: K. Sow
Lausanne
VAR
19'
Jamie Roche
Lausanne
🟨
36'
Abdou Karim Sow
Lausanne
🟨
45+2'
Olivier Custodio
Lausanne
🔄
46'
N. Beloko ↔ B. Lekoueiry
Lausanne
53'
K. Sow
FC Luzern
🔄
65'
M. Poaty ↔ S. Fofana
Lausanne
🔄
65'
A. Ajdini ↔ O. Renovales
Lausanne
65'
A. Vasovic
FC Luzern
🟨
67'
Pius Dorn
FC Luzern
🔄
67'
K. Spadanuda ↔ L. Villiger
FC Luzern
🔄
71'
T. Bair ↔ S. Traore
Lausanne
🔄
78'
O. Custodio ↔ F. Mollet
Lausanne
🟨
80'
Matteo Di Giusto
FC Luzern
90'
A. Vasovic · Assist: L. Villiger
FC Luzern

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 6.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
6.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lausanne Win 34.2%
Draw 6.9%
FC Luzern Win 58.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lausanne1.62
FC Luzern1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lausanne Lausanne
WWDLW
71 GF / 67 GA
FC Luzern FC Luzern
WLDWL
66 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
29
BTTS Yes
26
30
Over 2.5
28
5.17
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lausanne Lausanne 48 matches
FC Luzern FC Luzern 34 matches
Lausanne Statistic FC Luzern
18 Wins 11
13 Draws 10
17 Losses 13
71 Goals For 66
67 Goals Against 62
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
29 BTTS Yes 26
39 Over 1.5 32
30 Over 2.5 28
15 Over 3.5 19
13 Clean Sheets 5
10 Failed To Score 4
5.17 Shots On Goal 4.38
15.13 Total Shots 14.41
5.06 Corners 5.29
49.8% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and FC Luzern's more proactive style and Lausanne's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Luzern. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Lausanne have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lausanne expected to line up in 4-3-3 and FC Luzern in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Luzern having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Lausanne Analysis

Lausanne sit 3 with 42 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 50:57 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on O. Janneh (7 goals), G. Diakite (6 goals), T. Bair (6 goals), with creative support from G. Diakite (6 assists), Olivier Custodio (4 assists), B. Soppy (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Luzern Analysis

FC Luzern arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 43 points after 34 matches. The record of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 66:62 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Di Giusto (12 goals), L. M. Silva Ferreira (7 goals), O. Kabwit (7 goals), with creative support from M. Di Giusto (12 assists), O. Kabwit (6 assists), Pius Dorn (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lausanne won 1 times, FC Luzern won 8 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:31 from Lausanne's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
Predicted formations: Lausanne 4-3-3 / FC Luzern 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Lausanne wins 1, draws 6, FC Luzern wins 8
Stats
Lausanne Lausanne
FC Luzern FC Luzern
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 7
6 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Goal 7
7 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 15
2 Shots outsidebox 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
379 Total passes 390
302 Passes accurate 317
1.65 expected_goals 1.80
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lausanne
Formation
FC Luzern
K. Letica
K. Letica
B. Soppy
B. Soppy
K. Mouanga
K. Mouanga
K. Sow
🎯
K. Sow
M. Poaty
M. Poaty
N. Beloko
N. Beloko
J. Roche
J. Roche
O. Custodio
O. Custodio
N. Butler-Oyedeji
N. Butler-Oyedeji
T. Bair
T. Bair
A. Ajdini
A. Ajdini
P. Loretz
P. Loretz
P. Dorn
P. Dorn
B. Freimann
B. Freimann
A. Bajrami
A. Bajrami
A. Ciganiks
A. Ciganiks
T. Owusu
T. Owusu
T. Abe
T. Abe
K. Spadanuda
K. Spadanuda
M. Di Giusto
M. Di Giusto
O. Kabwit
O. Kabwit
A. Vasovic
⚽ 2
A. Vasovic
Lausanne 4-3-3
Starting XI
25
K. Letica
G
2
B. Soppy
D
14
K. Mouanga
D
71
K. Sow
⚽ 53' 🎯 16' 🟨 36'
D
18
M. Poaty
↓ 65'
D
16
N. Beloko
↓ 46'
M
8
J. Roche
⚽ 16'
M
10
O. Custodio
↓ 78' 🟨 45+2'
M
11
N. Butler-Oyedeji
F
9
T. Bair
↓ 71'
F
7
A. Ajdini
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
1
T. Castella
G
91
F. Mollet
↑ 78'
M
27
B. Lekoueiry
↑ 46'
M
93
S. Fofana
↑ 65'
D
59
O. Renovales
↑ 65'
F
17
S. Traore
↑ 71'
F
6
T. Bergvall
D
5
D. Ngonzo
D
47
S. N'Diaye
M
FC Luzern 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
1
P. Loretz
G
20
P. Dorn
🟨 67'
D
46
B. Freimann
D
4
A. Bajrami
D
14
A. Ciganiks
D
24
T. Owusu
M
6
T. Abe
M
7
K. Spadanuda
↓ 67'
M
11
M. Di Giusto
🟨 80'
M
16
O. Kabwit
F
19
A. Vasovic
⚽ 65' ⚽ 90'
F
Substitutes
41
J. Bock
G
9
A. Grbic
F
10
S. Karweina
F
5
S. Knezevic
D
27
L. Villiger
🎯 90' ↑ 67'
F
2
S. Ottiger
D
29
L. Winkler
M
73
L. M. Silva Ferreira
M
Last matches: Lausanne
25.07.26
Sup
Lausanne
Grasshoppers
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Lausanne
Yverdon Sport
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lausanne
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Lausanne
Breitenrain
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Lausanne
Flamengo
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Lausanne
Étoile Carouge
1
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Lausanne
La Sarraz-Eclépens
3
0
W
20.06.26
Fri
Lausanne
Renens
9
0
W
16.05.26
Sup
Lausanne
Grasshoppers
1
3
L
12.05.26
Sup
Lausanne
Servette FC
0
2
L
09.05.26
Sup
Lausanne
FC Winterthur
1
2
L
25.04.26
Sup
Lausanne
FC Zurich
3
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Lausanne
FC Sion
0
3
L
04.04.26
Sup
Lausanne
FC Winterthur
2
1
W
22.03.26
Sup
Lausanne
FC Luzern
0
4
L
15.03.26
Sup
Lausanne
BSC Young Boys
0
2
L
08.03.26
Sup
Lausanne
Grasshoppers
3
2
W
04.03.26
Sup
Lausanne
FC Zurich
2
1
W
01.03.26
Sup
Lausanne
FC Basel 1893
1
2
L
26.02.26
UEF
Lausanne
Sigma Olomouc
1
2
L
Last matches: FC Luzern
25.07.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Thun
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
FC Luzern
St. Truiden
1
2
L
10.07.26
Fri
FC Luzern
FC WIL 1900
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
3
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
FC Luzern
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3
2
W
16.05.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
3
0
W
12.05.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Zurich
1
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Servette FC
3
3
D
25.04.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Grasshoppers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
2
2
D
06.04.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Servette FC
0
3
L
22.03.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Lausanne
4
0
W
15.03.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
1
2
L
07.03.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
3
1
W
04.03.26
Sup
FC Luzern
BSC Young Boys
1
2
L
28.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Thun
1
2
L
22.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
4
2
W
14.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Zurich
4
1
W
10.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Grasshoppers
4
3
W
07.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Sion
0
0
D
H2H: Lausanne vs FC Luzern
02.05.26
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
1
3
L
22.03.26
H2H
FC Luzern
Lausanne
4
0
L
21.12.25
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
0
4
L
19.10.25
H2H
FC Luzern
Lausanne
2
2
D
11.05.25
H2H
FC Luzern
Lausanne
1
1
D
30.03.25
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
1
4
L
19.01.25
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
0
0
D
05.10.24
H2H
FC Luzern
Lausanne
2
2
D
15.05.24
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
0
2
L
07.04.24
H2H
FC Luzern
Lausanne
0
0
D
28.01.24
H2H
FC Luzern
Lausanne
2
1
L
08.10.23
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
3
1
W
01.05.22
H2H
FC Luzern
Lausanne
3
0
L
27.02.22
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
1
2
L
31.10.21
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
1
1
D
Last matches: Lausanne
25.07.26
Sup
Lausanne
Grasshoppers
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Lausanne
Yverdon Sport
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lausanne
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Lausanne
Breitenrain
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lausanne
Étoile Carouge
1
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Lausanne
La Sarraz-Eclépens
3
0
W
16.05.26
Sup
Lausanne
Grasshoppers
1
3
L
25.04.26
Sup
Lausanne
FC Zurich
3
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
Lausanne
FC Winterthur
2
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Lausanne
BSC Young Boys
0
2
L
01.03.26
Sup
Lausanne
FC Basel 1893
1
2
L
26.02.26
UEF
Lausanne
Sigma Olomouc
1
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Lausanne
Servette FC
3
3
D
08.02.26
Sup
Lausanne
FC ST. Gallen
1
1
D
24.01.26
Sup
Lausanne
Grasshoppers
1
1
D
08.01.26
Fri
Lausanne
Neuchatel Xamax FC
4
2
W
21.12.25
Sup
Lausanne
FC Luzern
0
4
L
18.12.25
UEF
Lausanne
Fiorentina
1
0
W
07.12.25
Sup
Lausanne
FC Lugano
0
0
D
30.11.25
Sup
Lausanne
FC Thun
2
1
W
H2H at home: Lausanne
02.05.26
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
1
3
L
21.12.25
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
0
4
L
30.03.25
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
1
4
L
19.01.25
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
0
0
D
15.05.24
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
0
2
L
08.10.23
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
3
1
W
27.02.22
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
1
2
L
31.10.21
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
1
1
D
Last matches: FC Luzern
10.07.26
Fri
FC Luzern
FC WIL 1900
2
0
W
16.05.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
3
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Grasshoppers
2
1
W
06.04.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Servette FC
0
3
L
07.03.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
3
1
W
28.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Thun
1
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Zurich
4
1
W
07.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Sion
0
0
D
24.01.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Sion
1
1
D
05.01.26
Fri
FC Luzern
VfB Stuttgart
2
3
L
21.12.25
Sup
FC Luzern
Lausanne
4
0
W
14.12.25
Sup
FC Luzern
BSC Young Boys
0
2
L
06.12.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Thun
1
4
L
08.11.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Zurich
2
3
L
30.10.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
0
2
L
25.10.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
2
2
D
28.09.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
2
1
W
31.08.25
Sup
FC Luzern
Servette FC
2
2
D
24.08.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
1
0
W
26.07.25
Sup
FC Luzern
Grasshoppers
3
2
W
H2H away: FC Luzern
02.05.26
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
1
3
W
21.12.25
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
0
4
W
30.03.25
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
1
4
W
19.01.25
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
0
0
D
15.05.24
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
0
2
W
08.10.23
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
3
1
L
27.02.22
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
1
2
W
31.10.21
H2H
Lausanne
FC Luzern
1
1
D

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 24 2 7 75:37 38 74
D L L L L
2 33 17 9 7 64:40 24 60
D W W L W
3 33 16 9 8 50:38 12 57
W D L W W
4 33 15 8 10 51:45 6 53
L L L W L
5 33 13 13 7 51:35 16 52
D D W W W
6 33 13 9 11 65:60 5 48
D W W L L
7 33 10 10 13 64:61 3 40
W W D W W
8 33 9 13 11 57:57 0 40
W W D W W
9 33 10 9 14 47:57 -10 39
L L L L W
10 33 10 4 19 45:63 -18 34
L L W D L
11 33 6 9 18 40:65 -25 27
W D W W L
12 33 4 7 22 35:86 -51 19
L L W D L
Championship round
Relegation Round