AUSTRIA BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Raiffeisen Arena
Referee: M. Hameter
Lask Linz
Match Timeline
Red Bull Salzburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
33'
S. Adeniran · Assist: Alemao
Lask Linz
36'
K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen
Lask Linz
🔄
55'
D. Redzic ↔ K. Alajbegovic
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
61'
S. Kalajdzic ↔ K. Danek
Lask Linz
🔄
64'
M. Usor ↔ C. Lang
Lask Linz
🔄
70'
Y. Vertessen ↔ K. Konate
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
70'
S. Diabate ↔ E. Baidoo
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
86'
F. Kratzig ↔ E. Aguilar
Red Bull Salzburg
87'
K. Konate · Assist: J. Schuster
Red Bull Salzburg
🟨
88'
Krystof Daněk
Lask Linz
🟨
90+2'
Modou Kéba Cissé
Lask Linz
🔄
90'
K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen ↔ F. Flecker
Lask Linz
🔄
90'
S. Adeniran ↔ X. Mbuyamba
Lask Linz

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lask Linz Win 57.5%
Draw 5.8%
Red Bull Salzburg Win 36.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lask Linz1.65
Red Bull Salzburg1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lask Linz Lask Linz
WWDLW
68 GF / 46 GA
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
WLDWL
82 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
21
BTTS Yes
29
21
Over 2.5
27
4.97
Shots on Goal
5.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lask Linz Lask Linz 36 matches
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 47 matches
Lask Linz Statistic Red Bull Salzburg
21 Wins 20
7 Draws 10
8 Losses 17
68 Goals For 82
46 Goals Against 60
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
21 BTTS Yes 29
29 Over 1.5 38
21 Over 2.5 27
16 Over 3.5 20
11 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 11
4.97 Shots On Goal 5.45
15.9 Total Shots 15.31
5.43 Corners 4.62
49.8% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Red Bull Salzburg. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lask Linz expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Red Bull Salzburg in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Red Bull Salzburg having the stronger overall control.

Lask Linz Analysis

Lask Linz come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 37 points after 22 matches. With 11 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:30, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Usor (13 goals), Samuel Adeniran (8 goals), Kasper Jørgensen (6 goals), with creative support from M. Usor (5 assists), Samuel Adeniran (5 assists), Sascha Horvath (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Red Bull Salzburg Analysis

Placed 2 with 37 points from 22 outings, Red Bull Salzburg continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 42:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Ratkov (9 goals), K. Alajbegovic (8 goals), Y. Vertessen (8 goals), with creative support from Frans Krätzig (6 assists), M. Kjaergaard (5 assists), S. Kitano (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lask Linz won 6 times, Red Bull Salzburg won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:29 from Lask Linz's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Lask Linz 3-4-1-2 / Red Bull Salzburg 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: Lask Linz wins 6, draws 1, Red Bull Salzburg wins 8
Stats
Lask Linz Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 5
9 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 1
2 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 2
4 Shots insidebox 7
7 Shots outsidebox 3
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
238 Total passes 538
173 Passes accurate 454
1.03 expected_goals 1.34
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lask Linz
Formation
Red Bull Salzburg
L. Jungwirth
L. Jungwirth
K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen
K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen
M. Cisse
M. Cisse
Alemao
🎯
Alemao
A. Andrade
A. Andrade
G. Bello
G. Bello
M. Usor
M. Usor
M. Bogarde
M. Bogarde
S. Horvath
S. Horvath
S. Adeniran
S. Adeniran
S. Kalajdzic
S. Kalajdzic
A. Schlager
A. Schlager
S. Lainer
S. Lainer
J. Schuster
🎯
J. Schuster
T. Drexler
T. Drexler
F. Kratzig
F. Kratzig
S. Kitano
S. Kitano
S. Diabate
S. Diabate
M. Kjaergaard
M. Kjaergaard
D. Redzic
D. Redzic
K. Onisiwo
K. Onisiwo
Y. Vertessen
Y. Vertessen
Lask Linz 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
L. Jungwirth
G
20
K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen
⚽ 36' ↓ 90'
D
48
M. Cisse
🟨 90+2'
D
43
Alemao
🎯 33'
D
16
A. Andrade
D
2
G. Bello
D
8
M. Usor
↓ 64'
M
6
M. Bogarde
M
30
S. Horvath
M
7
S. Adeniran
⚽ 33' ↓ 90'
M
10
S. Kalajdzic
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
33
T. Schutzenauer
G
29
F. Flecker
↑ 90'
F
11
M. Entrup
F
4
I. Coulibaly
M
9
K. Danek
↑ 61' 🟨 88'
M
27
C. Lang
↑ 64'
F
3
X. Mbuyamba
↑ 90'
D
44
L. Kacavenda
M
52
K. Cheikne
M
Red Bull Salzburg 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
A. Schlager
G
22
S. Lainer
D
44
J. Schuster
🎯 87'
D
21
T. Drexler
D
13
F. Kratzig
↓ 86'
D
8
S. Kitano
M
5
S. Diabate
↓ 70'
M
14
M. Kjaergaard
M
24
D. Redzic
↓ 55'
F
9
K. Onisiwo
F
11
Y. Vertessen
↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
52
C. Zawieschitzky
G
3
A. Terzic
D
91
A. Chase
D
27
K. Alajbegovic
↑ 55'
F
19
K. Konate
⚽ 87' ↑ 70'
F
15
M. Diambou
M
49
M. K. Yeo
M
43
E. Aguilar
↑ 86'
F
20
E. Baidoo
↑ 70'
F
Last matches: Lask Linz
18.07.26
Fri
Lask Linz
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Lask Linz
Fenerbahçe
1
2
L
09.07.26
Fri
Lask Linz
FC Ingolstadt 04
0
2
L
03.07.26
Fri
Lask Linz
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Lask Linz
WSPG Wels
5
0
W
24.06.26
Fri
Lask Linz
Bad Schallerbach
6
0
W
17.05.26
Bun
Lask Linz
Austria Vienna
3
0
W
04.05.26
Bun
Lask Linz
Rapid Vienna
3
1
W
01.05.26
Cup
Lask Linz
SCR Altach
4
2
W
26.04.26
Bun
Lask Linz
TSV Hartberg
5
1
W
22.04.26
Bun
Lask Linz
Sturm Graz
1
1
D
19.04.26
Bun
Lask Linz
Sturm Graz
1
1
D
10.04.26
Bun
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
3
2
W
05.04.26
Bun
Lask Linz
Austria Vienna
4
1
W
22.03.26
Bun
Lask Linz
Rapid Vienna
2
4
L
18.03.26
Cup
Lask Linz
Ried
2
1
W
13.03.26
Bun
Lask Linz
TSV Hartberg
0
0
D
08.03.26
Bun
Lask Linz
Wolfsberger AC
3
1
W
01.03.26
Bun
Lask Linz
Austria Vienna
2
2
D
22.02.26
Bun
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
1
5
L
Last matches: Red Bull Salzburg
18.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Energie Cottbus
5
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Başakşehir
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Gamba Osaka
0
3
L
09.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Gornik Zabrze
2
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Seekirchen
5
0
W
17.05.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
1
3
L
03.05.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
1
1
D
26.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
0
1
L
22.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Austria Vienna
3
1
W
19.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Austria Vienna
3
1
W
10.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
2
3
L
05.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
2
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
0
W
20.03.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
1
1
D
15.03.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
0
1
L
08.03.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
0
1
L
04.03.26
Cup
Red Bull Salzburg
SCR Altach
0
1
L
01.03.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
0
0
D
22.02.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
5
1
W
H2H: Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg
10.05.26
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
2
1
W
10.04.26
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
2
3
W
22.02.26
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
1
5
L
23.08.25
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
3
0
L
02.02.25
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
2
1
W
23.11.24
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
1
2
W
17.08.24
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
L
19.05.24
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
7
1
L
12.04.24
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
3
1
W
09.03.24
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
L
02.02.24
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
2
3
L
21.10.23
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
0
1
W
14.05.23
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
L
16.04.23
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
0
0
D
12.03.23
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
2
L
Last matches: Lask Linz
18.07.26
Fri
Lask Linz
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Lask Linz
Fenerbahçe
1
2
L
04.05.26
Bun
Lask Linz
Rapid Vienna
3
1
W
01.05.26
Cup
Lask Linz
SCR Altach
4
2
W
19.04.26
Bun
Lask Linz
Sturm Graz
1
1
D
05.04.26
Bun
Lask Linz
Austria Vienna
4
1
W
13.03.26
Bun
Lask Linz
TSV Hartberg
0
0
D
08.03.26
Bun
Lask Linz
Wolfsberger AC
3
1
W
22.02.26
Bun
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
1
5
L
07.02.26
Bun
Lask Linz
WSG Wattens
1
0
W
30.01.26
Cup
Lask Linz
FC BW Linz
3
2
W
23.01.26
Fri
Lask Linz
SKU Amstetten
1
2
L
23.01.26
Fri
Lask Linz
SKN ST. Polten
3
0
W
15.01.26
Fri
Lask Linz
Jagiellonia
4
1
W
10.01.26
Fri
Lask Linz
BSC Young Boys
3
0
W
30.11.25
Bun
Lask Linz
Rapid Vienna
3
0
W
09.11.25
Bun
Lask Linz
SCR Altach
1
0
W
25.10.25
Bun
Lask Linz
Grazer AK
1
0
W
05.10.25
Bun
Lask Linz
TSV Hartberg
3
3
D
21.09.25
Bun
Lask Linz
FC BW Linz
2
0
W
H2H at home: Lask Linz
10.05.26
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
2
1
W
22.02.26
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
1
5
L
02.02.25
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
2
1
W
17.08.24
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
L
12.04.24
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
3
1
W
09.03.24
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
L
02.02.24
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
2
3
L
14.05.23
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
L
12.03.23
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
2
L
Last matches: Red Bull Salzburg
18.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Energie Cottbus
5
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Seekirchen
5
0
W
26.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
0
1
L
19.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Austria Vienna
3
1
W
05.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
2
1
W
20.03.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
1
1
D
08.03.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
0
1
L
22.02.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
5
1
W
15.02.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Grazer AK
1
1
D
01.02.26
Cup
Red Bull Salzburg
Wolfsberger AC
1
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Red Bull Salzburg
Aston Villa
2
3
L
10.01.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
11.12.25
UEF
Red Bull Salzburg
SC Freiburg
0
1
L
06.12.25
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
FC BW Linz
2
0
W
30.11.25
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
SCR Altach
1
1
D
27.11.25
UEF
Red Bull Salzburg
Bologna
1
4
L
09.11.25
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
1
1
D
26.10.25
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Austria Vienna
3
0
W
02.10.25
UEF
Red Bull Salzburg
Lyon
0
2
L
28.09.25
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
H2H away: Red Bull Salzburg
10.05.26
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
2
1
L
22.02.26
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
1
5
W
02.02.25
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
2
1
L
17.08.24
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
W
12.04.24
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
3
1
L
09.03.24
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
W
02.02.24
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
2
3
W
14.05.23
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
W
12.03.23
H2H
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
2
W

Standings

Bundesliga: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 2 8 33:26 7 38
?
2 22 10 7 5 42:26 16 37
?
3 22 11 4 7 32:30 2 37
?
4 22 11 3 8 34:30 4 36
?
5 22 9 6 7 26:25 1 33
?
6 22 8 9 5 29:24 5 33
?
7 22 8 7 7 31:30 1 31
?
8 22 7 8 7 22:23 -1 29
?
9 22 8 4 10 26:30 -4 28
?
10 22 7 5 10 31:32 -1 26
?
11 22 4 8 10 22:36 -14 20
?
12 22 4 3 15 20:36 -16 15
?
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)