AUSTRIA BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Raiffeisen Arena
Referee: M. Hameter
Lask Linz
Match Timeline
Red Bull Salzburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
33'
S. Adeniran · Assist: Alemao
Lask Linz
36'
K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen
Lask Linz
🔄
55'
D. Redzic ↔ K. Alajbegovic
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
61'
S. Kalajdzic ↔ K. Danek
Lask Linz
🔄
64'
M. Usor ↔ C. Lang
Lask Linz
🔄
70'
Y. Vertessen ↔ K. Konate
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
70'
S. Diabate ↔ E. Baidoo
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
86'
F. Kratzig ↔ E. Aguilar
Red Bull Salzburg
87'
K. Konate · Assist: J. Schuster
Red Bull Salzburg
🟨
88'
Krystof Daněk
Lask Linz
🟨
90+2'
Modou Kéba Cissé
Lask Linz
🔄
90'
K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen ↔ F. Flecker
Lask Linz
🔄
90'
S. Adeniran ↔ X. Mbuyamba
Lask Linz

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lask Linz Win 57.5%
Draw 5.8%
Red Bull Salzburg Win 36.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lask Linz1.65
Red Bull Salzburg1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lask Linz Lask Linz
WWDLW
68 GF / 46 GA
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
WLDWL
82 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
21
BTTS Yes
29
21
Over 2.5
27
4.97
Shots on Goal
5.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lask Linz Lask Linz 36 matches
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 47 matches
Lask Linz Statistic Red Bull Salzburg
21 Wins 20
7 Draws 10
8 Losses 17
68 Goals For 82
46 Goals Against 60
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
21 BTTS Yes 29
29 Over 1.5 38
21 Over 2.5 27
16 Over 3.5 20
11 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 11
4.97 Shots On Goal 5.45
15.9 Total Shots 15.31
5.43 Corners 4.62
49.8% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Red Bull Salzburg. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lask Linz expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Red Bull Salzburg in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Red Bull Salzburg having the stronger overall control.

Lask Linz Analysis

Lask Linz come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 37 points after 22 matches. With 11 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:30, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Usor (13 goals), Samuel Adeniran (8 goals), Kasper Jørgensen (6 goals), with creative support from M. Usor (5 assists), Samuel Adeniran (5 assists), Sascha Horvath (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Red Bull Salzburg Analysis

Placed 2 with 37 points from 22 outings, Red Bull Salzburg continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 42:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Ratkov (9 goals), K. Alajbegovic (8 goals), Y. Vertessen (8 goals), with creative support from Frans Krätzig (6 assists), M. Kjaergaard (5 assists), S. Kitano (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Lask Linz 3-4-1-2 / Red Bull Salzburg 4-2-2-2

Standings

Bundesliga: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 2 8 33:26 7 38
?
2 22 10 7 5 42:26 16 37
?
3 22 11 4 7 32:30 2 37
?
4 22 11 3 8 34:30 4 36
?
5 22 9 6 7 26:25 1 33
?
6 22 8 9 5 29:24 5 33
?
7 22 8 7 7 31:30 1 31
?
8 22 7 8 7 22:23 -1 29
?
9 22 8 4 10 26:30 -4 28
?
10 22 7 5 10 31:32 -1 26
?
11 22 4 8 10 22:36 -14 20
?
12 22 4 3 15 20:36 -16 15
?
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)