AUSTRIA › BUNDESLIGA
04.05.2026 18:30
Raiffeisen Arena
Referee: A. Harkam
Lask Linz
Match Timeline
Rapid Vienna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Saša Kalajdžić
Lask Linz
⚽
12'
J. Antiste · Assist: E. Kara
Rapid Vienna
⚽
52'
S. Horvath · Assist: S. Kalajdzic
Lask Linz
🔄
63'
J. Antiste ↔ Y. Demir
Rapid Vienna
⚽
63'
S. Adeniran
Lask Linz
🔄
70'
K. Danek ↔ M. Usor
Lask Linz
🔄
71'
E. Kara ↔ A. Weimann
Rapid Vienna
🔄
71'
P. Dahl ↔ N. Wurmbrand
Rapid Vienna
⚽
75'
M. Usor · Assist: M. Bogarde
Lask Linz
🔄
81'
A. Ahoussou ↔ T. Borkeeiet
Rapid Vienna
🔄
81'
J. M. Scholler ↔ T. Gulliksen
Rapid Vienna
🔄
82'
S. Kalajdzic ↔ X. Mbuyamba
Lask Linz
🔄
83'
K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen ↔ F. Flecker
Lask Linz
🟨
90+9'
Florian Flecker
Lask Linz
🟨
90+9'
Tobias Borkeeiet
Rapid Vienna
🟥
90+7'
Matthias Seidl
Rapid Vienna
🔄
90+1'
S. Adeniran ↔ I. Coulibaly
Lask Linz
🔄
90+1'
S. Horvath ↔ C. Lang
Lask Linz

Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 27.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 29%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
27.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
29%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Lask Linz Win 69.4%
Draw 0%
Rapid Vienna Win 30.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lask Linz1.65
Rapid Vienna1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lask Linz Lask Linz
WWDLW
65 GF / 45 GA
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
WLDWL
55 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
20
BTTS Yes
24
20
Over 2.5
20
5
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lask Linz Lask Linz 35 matches
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 45 matches
Lask Linz Statistic Rapid Vienna
20 Wins 18
7 Draws 11
8 Losses 16
65 Goals For 55
45 Goals Against 60
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
20 BTTS Yes 24
28 Over 1.5 35
20 Over 2.5 20
15 Over 3.5 9
11 Clean Sheets 12
5 Failed To Score 10
5 Shots On Goal 3.8
15.86 Total Shots 12.12
5.48 Corners 5.44
50% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Rapid Vienna. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lask Linz expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Rapid Vienna in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rapid Vienna having the stronger overall control.

Lask Linz Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 37 points from 22 games, Lask Linz bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 11 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:30, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Usor (12 goals), Samuel Adeniran (7 goals), Kasper Jørgensen (6 goals), with creative support from M. Usor (5 assists), Samuel Adeniran (5 assists), George Bello (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Rapid Vienna Analysis

Placed 5 with 33 points from 22 outings, Rapid Vienna continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 26:25 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Kara (6 goals), Bendegúz Bolla (4 goals), Matthias Seidl (4 goals), with creative support from Matthias Seidl (6 assists), P. Dahl (4 assists), C. M'Buyi (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lask Linz won 7 times, Rapid Vienna won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:18 from Lask Linz's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Lask Linz 3-4-1-2 / Rapid Vienna 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Lask Linz wins 7, draws 5, Rapid Vienna wins 3

Standings

Bundesliga: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 2 8 33:26 7 38
?
2 22 10 7 5 42:26 16 37
?
3 22 11 4 7 32:30 2 37
?
4 22 11 3 8 34:30 4 36
?
5 22 9 6 7 26:25 1 33
?
6 22 8 9 5 29:24 5 33
?
7 22 8 7 7 31:30 1 31
?
8 22 7 8 7 22:23 -1 29
?
9 22 8 4 10 26:30 -4 28
?
10 22 7 5 10 31:32 -1 26
?
11 22 4 8 10 22:36 -14 20
?
12 22 4 3 15 20:36 -16 15
?
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)