Las Palmas vs Valladolid Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
71.6%
|
1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
1.80 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.9%
|
1.46 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
6.00 |
Las Palmas
Valladolid
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Las Palmas
12 matches
Valladolid
12 matches
| Las Palmas | Statistic | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 6 | Losses | 4 |
| 17 | Goals For | 17 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.86 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 10.43 | Total Shots | 11.71 |
| 4.29 | Corners | 3.29 |
| 54.3% | Ball Possession | 49.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Las Palmas expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Valladolid in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Valladolid having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Valladolid. Las Palmas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 10 points compared to Valladolid in 19 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Las Palmas sit 11 with 10 points after 6 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 8:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Miyashiro (2 goals), Jesé (2 goals), Manu Fuster (1 goals), with creative support from T. Miyashiro (2 assists), Manu Fuster (1 assists), Iñaki González Zambrano (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Valladolid sit 19 with 5 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 3:8 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Luis Chacón (1 goals), Juanmi Latasa (1 goals), with creative support from J. Ponceau (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Las Palmas won 4 times, Valladolid won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:7 from Las Palmas's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:7 | 11 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 8 | 18 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 11 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Las Palmas
Home
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 10 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 |
Valladolid
Away
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 7 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 6 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:17 | -11 | 4 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
L
|