Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
90.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
68.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Las Palmas
Valladolid
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Las Palmas
38 matches
Valladolid
38 matches
| Las Palmas | Statistic | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 11 |
| 12 | Draws | 10 |
| 9 | Losses | 17 |
| 50 | Goals For | 40 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 16 |
| 4.11 | Shots On Goal | 4.05 |
| 11.79 | Total Shots | 12.78 |
| 4.29 | Corners | 5.54 |
| 54.9% | Ball Possession | 49.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Las Palmas's more proactive style and Valladolid's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Las Palmas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 63 points compared to Valladolid in 15 on 43, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Valladolid. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Las Palmas come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.
Operating from 5 place with 63 points from 37 games, Las Palmas bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 17 wins, 12 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 49:31, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Fuster (8 goals), A. Garcia (7 goals), Jese (7 goals), with creative support from M. Fuster (8 assists), L. Amatucci (4 assists), Jese (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Valladolid approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 43 points from 37 matches. The overall return of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 16 defeats with a 40:48 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Chuki (7 goals), J. Latasa (6 goals), Peter González (6 goals), with creative support from Chuki (7 assists), S. Biuk (5 assists), Julien Ponceau (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Las Palmas won 4 times, Valladolid won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:7 from Las Palmas's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.
Las Palmas
4
2
5
1
3
5
Lineups
Las Palmas
Cadiz
Las Palmas
NEOM
Las Palmas
União de Leiria
Las Palmas
Al-Ittihad FC
Las Palmas
Orlando Pirates
Las Palmas
Malaga
Las Palmas
Malaga
Las Palmas
Deportivo La Coruna
Las Palmas
Zaragoza
Las Palmas
Almeria
Las Palmas
FC Andorra
Las Palmas
Cadiz
Las Palmas
Leganes
Las Palmas
Malaga
Las Palmas
Huesca
Las Palmas
Granada CF
Las Palmas
Eibar
Las Palmas
Sporting Gijon
Las Palmas
Albacete
Las Palmas
AD Ceuta FC
Valladolid
Sporting Gijon
Valladolid
Gimnástica Segoviana
Valladolid
Groningen
Valladolid
CD Coria
Valladolid
Getafe
Valladolid
Almeria
Valladolid
Deportivo La Coruna
Valladolid
Racing Santander
Valladolid
Zaragoza
Valladolid
Real Sociedad II
Valladolid
FC Andorra
Valladolid
Eibar
Valladolid
Cultural Leonesa
Valladolid
Cadiz
Valladolid
Burgos
Valladolid
Mirandes
Valladolid
Leganes
Valladolid
Malaga
Valladolid
Huesca
Valladolid
Sporting Gijon
Las Palmas
NEOM
Las Palmas
União de Leiria
Las Palmas
Al-Ittihad FC
Las Palmas
Malaga
Las Palmas
Zaragoza
Las Palmas
Leganes
Las Palmas
Huesca
Las Palmas
Granada CF
Las Palmas
Sporting Gijon
Las Palmas
AD Ceuta FC
Las Palmas
Castellón
Las Palmas
Burgos
Las Palmas
Cordoba
Las Palmas
Deportivo La Coruna
Las Palmas
Cultural Leonesa
Las Palmas
Mirandes
Las Palmas
Albacete
Las Palmas
Racing Santander
Las Palmas
Eibar
Las Palmas
Cadiz
Valladolid
Sporting Gijon
Valladolid
Gimnástica Segoviana
Valladolid
Groningen
Valladolid
Almeria
Valladolid
Racing Santander
Valladolid
FC Andorra
Valladolid
Cultural Leonesa
Valladolid
Mirandes
Valladolid
Malaga
Valladolid
Sporting Gijon
Valladolid
Granada CF
Valladolid
Cordoba
Valladolid
AD Ceuta FC
Valladolid
Leganes
Valladolid
Eibar
Valladolid
Huesca
Valladolid
Real Sociedad II
Valladolid
Cadiz
Valladolid
Portugalete
Valladolid
Deportivo La Coruna
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 29 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 21 | 77 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 18 | 74 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 23 | 73 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Las Palmas
Home
|
42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 17 | 73 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
| 6 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 19 | 72 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 15 | 72 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 12 | 67 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 6 | 61 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | -4 | 61 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | -12 | 61 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 1 | 59 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 8 | 58 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | -6 | 48 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | -9 | 47 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | -8 | 46 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Valladolid
Away
|
42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 18 | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | -20 | 43 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | -22 | 40 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | -22 | 38 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | -29 | 37 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | -24 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
L
|